Biofrontera Inc. (BFRI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$0.87 -6.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.86

Biofrontera Inc. (BFRI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $13.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BFRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Biofrontera Inc. (NASDAQ: BFRI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $0.87 (-6.29% 1D, market cap $13.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BFRI ranks #930 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BFRI compare to ALLR and DARE in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), BFRI carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ALLR (Allarity Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $14.2M) and DARE (Dare Bioscience Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BFRI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BFRI leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BFRI?
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Per BFRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001858685), Biofrontera Inc. generated $41.7M in revenue (+11.7% YoY), -$10.5M in net income, and -$13.4M in free cash flow against $28.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.86 (-1.32%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510027
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.8% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE BFRI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BFRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BFRI SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$0.93-12.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$0.81+1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$0.82+6.1% Next Q
Current
27
Grade E$0.87-10.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BFRI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BFRI currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.14) and Max Pain ($0.91) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.74.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BFRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BFRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BFRI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $0.87: 11494.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.58
$6,667
$-3,333 (-33.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $0.75
$8,621
$-1,379 (-13.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $1.74
$20,000
+$10,000 (+100.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BFRI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BFRI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BFRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.62%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $0.88H $0.93L $0.87C $0.87VOL 148.7K
RES: $1.88SUP: $0.76SMA50: $1.14SMA200: $1.03
$1.73$1.46$1.19$0.92$0.65RES $1.88SUP $0.76$0.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BFRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BFRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BFRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BFRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BFRI)

Health Care Rank #930 of 1016 ⚔️ ALLR vs BFRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BFRI vs. ALLR, DARE, OPTH, RKTO)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Biofrontera Inc. (BFRI) ranks #930 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #865 by equity capitalization ($13.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BFRI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BFRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. OPTH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with BFRI at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BFRI ACTIVE
Biofrontera Inc.
E 27/100 — — -35.0% -6.29% $13.8M Benchmark Subject
ALLR
Allarity Therapeutics Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -2.20% $14.2M /allr-vs-bfri →
DARE
Dare Bioscience Inc.
D- 36/100 — 71.3% -35.0% +2.66% $13.4M /dare-vs-bfri →
OPTH
Optimi Health Corp.
D 47/100 — — — -7.31% $14.9M /opth-vs-bfri →
RKTO
Rocket One Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -35.0% -5.60% $12.8M /rkto-vs-bfri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001858685

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Biofrontera Inc. (BFRI) reported GAAP revenue of $41.7M (+11.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $37.3M , and +22.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.5M, operating cash flow of -$13.4M, and free cash flow of -$13.4M (-30.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, BFRI closed FY2025 with $28.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $41.7M -$10.5M -$13.4M -$13.4M $28.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $37.3M -$17.8M -$10.3M -$10.3M $22.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $34.1M -$20.1M -$24.9M -$24.9M — —

3. BFRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BFRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Biofrontera Inc. (NASDAQ: BFRI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $0.87 (-6.29% 1D, market cap $13.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BFRI ranks #930 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BFRI compare to ALLR and DARE in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), BFRI carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ALLR (Allarity Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $14.2M) and DARE (Dare Bioscience Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BFRI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BFRI leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BFRI?

Per BFRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001858685), Biofrontera Inc. generated $41.7M in revenue (+11.7% YoY), -$10.5M in net income, and -$13.4M in free cash flow against $28.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BFRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BFRI last traded at $0.87 (-6.29% on volume of 302,427 shares), positioning the stock -23.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.14) and -15.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.03). Across its 52-week range of $0.56 to $1.66, BFRI sits at the 28.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.98).

BFRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BFRI's 12-month stock price target?

Biofrontera Inc. (BFRI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $0.75 (-13.8% from $0.87), with a bull-case target of $1.74 and a bear-case floor of $0.58.

Is BFRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates BFRI E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 27/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 27/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BFRI — Biofrontera Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:50:54Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BFRI scores 27 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

Taken together, the lowest-scoring pillars sit on the cash-generation and insider-signal sides. A 0% FCF yield and -35% ROIC mean the reported financials do not currently show the business converting capital into cash returns, and the insider pillar's low score means the source data contains little supportive insider behavior. The balance sheet pillar is the highest-scoring of the five, but at 8/20 it is still weak, with a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on operating improvement or external catalysts rather than on current cash generation or insider conviction. The valuation tradeoff is that a $0.93 price with a $13.8M market cap is priced against negative returns, so any thesis depends on a turnaround the source data does not yet demonstrate.

Business

Biofrontera Inc. (BFRI) is listed on NASDAQ and classified under the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry, per the company profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reported revenue of $41.7M for FY 2025. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond these classifications.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$41.7M$-11.3M$-10.5MN/A$-13.4M$6.4MN/A
FY 2024$37.3M$-17.2M$-17.8MN/A$-10.3M$5.9MN/A
FY 2023$34.1M$-22.7M$-20.1MN/A$-24.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $34.1M (FY 2023) to $41.7M (FY 2025), while net losses narrowed from $-20.1M to $-10.5M over the same span. Market data reports an operating margin of -27.2%, a net margin of -25.3%, a gross margin of 0%, and ROIC of -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating's forensic balance sheet pillar. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same source, while reported debt figures in the financial table are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines include a Nasdaq notice regarding listing and/or registration removal for BFRI warrants, a Supplemental New Drug Application submission by Biofrontera, and several market-movement reports listing BFRI among pre-market or after-market movers. The warrant listing notice is the most direct risk item in the feed. The Supplemental New Drug Application submission is the most direct potential catalyst. The remaining items are third-party market-action reports without stated fundamental content. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the nature and timing of the Supplemental New Drug Application, and what product does it concern?
  • What are the reasons and implications of the Nasdaq notice regarding warrant listing or registration removal?
  • What are the reported debt levels, since the financial table lists debt as N/A?
  • What drove the FY 2025 revenue growth to $41.7M, and what is the path to positive cash flow given FY 2025 FCF of $-13.4M?
  • What explains the gap between the market-data Beta of 1.0 and the 52-week range of $0.56 to $1.66 relative to the current $0.93 price?

BFRI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Biofrontera Inc. (BFRI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BFRI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BFRI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.87?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BFRI 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BFRI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.82 (-11.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BFRI (E • RQD 27/100) a Buy at $0.93?

Welcome to the BFRI (Biofrontera Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 27/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.75 (-19.4%)
Spot @ $0.93

Pump the brakes on BFRI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BFRI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Biofrontera Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.18 (+26.9%)
Spot @ $0.93

BFRI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BFRI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.93 (52-wk range $0.56 - $1.66), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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