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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BGSF / earnings
CTM (32) DLHC (40) STRR (18) ACCL (66) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

BGSF Inc. (BGSF) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.4% Move

$4.24 -1.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.22

BGSF Inc. (BGSF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $45.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BGSF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BGSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BGSF Inc. (NYSE: BGSF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $4.24 (-1.17% 1D, market cap $45.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BGSF ranks #720 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BGSF compare to CTM and DLHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BGSF carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.7%, and ROIC of -24.2%. By comparison, CTM (Castellum Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.2%, cap $46.0M) and DLHC (DLH Holdings Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.8%, cap $52.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCL leads on earnings multiple (35.4x) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGSF?
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Per BGSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001474903), BGSF Inc. generated $93.3M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and $142.0K in free cash flow against $57.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.22 (-0.40%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (12)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.5% Base Target
$7 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE BGSF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGSF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BGSF SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($142.0K FCF) & 35.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$4.55-11% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$4.05+3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$4.17+1.7% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$4.24-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BGSF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BGSF currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.82) and Max Pain ($4.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGSF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BGSF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~54 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.4% Swing Band

±$0.27 Expected Swing
$3.97 (-6.4%)Spot $4.24$4.51 (+6.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BGSF Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 41/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -10.6%

Model Bullish Setup (41/100)Model Risk Weight (59/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-28$93.3M-$11.4M$142.0K35.7%
FY 20242024-12-29$104.4M-$3.3M$24.4M36.8%
FY 20232023-12-31$125.1M-$10.2M$20.4M35.7%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BGSF)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BGSF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BGSF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.60%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $4.29H $4.29L $4.24C $4.24VOL 1.1K
RES: $5.48SUP: $3.83SMA50: $4.82SMA200: $5.48
$6.28$5.66$5.03$4.41$3.79RES $5.48SUP $3.83$4.242026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BGSF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BGSF Butterfly Map → + Track BGSF →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGSF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGSF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGSF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGSF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #720 of 1011 ⚔️ CTM vs BGSF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BGSF vs. CTM, DLHC, STRR, ACCL)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BGSF Inc. (BGSF) ranks #720 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #821 by equity capitalization ($45.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACCL leads on earnings valuation at 35.4x trailing P/E, while DLHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.8% ROIC and — gross margin. ACCL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with BGSF at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BGSF ACTIVE
BGSF Inc.
D- 41/100 — 35.7% -24.2% -1.17% $45.3M Benchmark Subject
CTM
Castellum Inc.
E 32/100 — 36.6% -6.2% -4.00% $46.0M /ctm-vs-bgsf →
DLHC
DLH Holdings Corp.
D- 40/100 — — 5.8% -0.82% $52.6M /dlhc-vs-bgsf →
STRR
Star Equity Holdings Inc.
E 18/100 — 46.4% -5.3% -0.10% $36.2M /strr-vs-bgsf →
ACCL
Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A)
C+ 66/100 35.4x 44.1% — -3.47% $34.9M /accl-vs-bgsf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001474903

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), BGSF Inc. (BGSF) reported GAAP revenue of $93.3M (-10.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $104.4M , and -25.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of $142.0K, and free cash flow of $142.0K (-99.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGSF closed FY2025 with $57.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.00, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $93.3M -$11.4M $142.0K $142.0K $57.8M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $104.4M -$3.3M $24.4M $24.4M $150.1M $32.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $125.1M -$10.2M $20.4M $20.4M — —

3. BGSF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BGSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BGSF Inc. (NYSE: BGSF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $4.24 (-1.17% 1D, market cap $45.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BGSF ranks #720 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BGSF compare to CTM and DLHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BGSF carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.7%, and ROIC of -24.2%. By comparison, CTM (Castellum Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.2%, cap $46.0M) and DLHC (DLH Holdings Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.8%, cap $52.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCL leads on earnings multiple (35.4x) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGSF?

Per BGSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001474903), BGSF Inc. generated $93.3M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and $142.0K in free cash flow against $57.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BGSF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BGSF last traded at $4.24 (-1.17% on volume of 1,062 shares), positioning the stock -12.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.82) and -22.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.48). Across its 52-week range of $3.25 to $6.75, BGSF sits at the 28.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($3.97 to $4.51).

BGSF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is BGSF's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, BGSF Inc. (BGSF)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is BGSF stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.4% event move for BGSF, spanning a range between $3.97 and $4.51.

Direct Sub-Reports: BGSF RQD Cockpit BGSF 12M Forecast BGSF Earnings & Move BGSF Dividends & DRIP BGSF Insiders & 13F BGSF Whale Options BGSF Profit Sankey BGSF News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BGSF — BGSF Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:16Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BGSF carries an RQD score of 41 and a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 11 of 20 (ROIC -24.2%; FCF yield 0.31%), indicating that the business is currently not generating meaningful returns on invested capital or free cash flow relative to its market value. Whale 13F Flow scores 4 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), the weakest pillar, suggesting little institutional sponsorship in the source data. Insider Conviction scores 5 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), signaling limited insider-side conviction. Macro Regime Fit scores 9 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), meaning the stock tracks the broad market without a clear defensive or cyclical edge. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 12 of 20 (Altman Z 4; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), the strongest pillar, though still mid-range. For a prospective investor today, the upside case rests on a turnaround in operating cash generation from a low base, while the valuation tradeoff is that a $45.8M market capitalization against negative operating and net margins leaves little margin for error. The rating does not constitute a recommendation; it summarizes the factual weakness of the cash engine and flow pillars relative to the balance sheet.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$93.3M$-8.9M$-11.4MN/A$0.1M$19.0M$0.0M
FY 2024$104.4M$-5.9M$-3.3MN/A$24.4M$0.0M$32.5M
FY 2023$125.1M$3.1M$-10.2MN/A$20.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $125.1M (FY 2023) to $93.3M (FY 2025), and operating income moved from $3.1M to $-8.9M over the same span. Per the market data, the gross margin is 35.7%, operating margin -9.5%, and net margin -12.2%, with ROIC at -24.2%. The Altman Z-Score is 4 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, per the Roarable RQD forensic pillar; Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported debt fell from $32.5M (FY 2024) to $0.0M (FY 2025), while cash rose to $19.0M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the catalysts are largely earnings-related and analyst-coverage items. A live results call is referenced for 9 a.m. ET Nov. 5, and a separate item references scheduled November 4 results. A Zacks initiation with a Neutral recommendation appears in two headlines. Each item is tagged YELLOW with the label MARKET WIRE. The feed contains no quantified results, guidance figures, or deal terms. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the actual results and guidance reported on the scheduled November 4–5 earnings call?
  • What explains the drop in reported cash from $19.0M in FY 2025 to the FY 2024 cash value shown as $0.0M, and is the year-over-year comparison accurate?
  • What are the company's P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA figures, given that all valuation multiples are unavailable?
  • Why does the profile report a $0.0B market capitalization while the market data reports $45.8M?
  • What are the supply-chain and customer dependencies, given the graph records none?

BGSF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BGSF Inc. (BGSF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BGSF Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BGSF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.24?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BGSF 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BGSF:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.78 (-11.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BGSF (D- • RQD 41/100) a Buy at $4.29?

Welcome to the BGSF (BGSF Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 41/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Professional Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.26 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $4.29

Pump the brakes on BGSF — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BGSF, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 35.7% gross margins. Unless BGSF Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.45 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $4.29

BGSF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BGSF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Professional Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.29 (52-wk range $3.25 - $6.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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