BHP Group Limited American (BHP) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
As of 2026-11-02, BHP Group Limited American (NYSE: BHP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $79.16 (-3.25% 1D, market cap $207.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BHP ranks #91 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), BHP carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, HCC (Warrior Met Coal Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 79.3x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.52B) and CNR (Core Natural Resources Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $4.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BHP leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while BHP leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
For BHP Group Limited American (BHP), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #91 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.4) create a -9 pt regime headwind
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, BHP faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($86.21) or 200D SMA ($81.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($80.23) toward Bear Floor ($62.58).
BHP Group Limited American (BHP) dropped -3.25% to $79.16, trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($52.18 – $98.71). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
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European equities traded in the US as American depositary receipts were tracking lower late Tuesday
Under the agreement, BHP may invest up to $40m in exploration activities at the 24,000ha Anillo Project.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BHP today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BHP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BHP Group Limited American (BHP) ranks #91 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #4 by equity capitalization ($207.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BHP leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while BHP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BHP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHP
ACTIVE
BHP Group Limited American | C- | 61/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -3.25% | $207.99B | Benchmark Subject |
| HCC Warrior Met Coal Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 79.3x | 22.4% | 1.8% | +0.41% | $4.52B | /hcc-vs-bhp → |
| CNR Core Natural Resources Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -4.0% | -0.25% | $4.33B | /cnr-vs-bhp → |
| BTU Peabody Energy Corporation | E | 24/100 | — | — | -2.1% | -0.22% | $2.71B | /btu-vs-bhp → |
| AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | -4.1% | -1.62% | $2.05B | /amr-vs-bhp → |
BHP Group Limited American (BHP) operates in Coal Mining (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $207.99B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.
As of 2026-11-02, BHP Group Limited American (NYSE: BHP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $79.16 (-3.25% 1D, market cap $207.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BHP ranks #91 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), BHP carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, HCC (Warrior Met Coal Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 79.3x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.52B) and CNR (Core Natural Resources Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $4.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BHP leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while BHP leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
For BHP Group Limited American (BHP), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #91 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
BHP last traded at $79.16 (-3.25% on volume of 3,275,598 shares), positioning the stock -8.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($86.21) and -3.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($81.63). Across its 52-week range of $52.18 to $98.71, BHP sits at the 58.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($76.07 to $82.25).
Why BHP Stock dropped -3.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, BHP scores 61 out of 100, a C- grade labeled "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%), Whale 13F Flow at 11/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.14; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 3.74; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.39). The strongest pillar is the balance sheet, which supports downside resilience. The cash-generation and macro-fit pillars sit at mid-range, and the low FCF yield of 2.21% implies that the current price leaves limited cash return per dollar invested. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a neutral posture: financial strength is evident, but the valuation tradeoff (P/E TTM of 32.8 against a 2.21% FCF yield) and the market-sensitivity profile (Beta 1.14) argue against assuming a clear upside driver from the data alone. Upside would depend on improving cash returns relative to the current price; downside exposure is amplified by above-market beta.
Sector: Energy. Industry: Coal Mining. Exchange: NYSE. Per the company profile, BHP Group Limited American is a NYSE-listed Energy issuer operating in Coal Mining. Not available in source data for products, customers, or revenue model.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Sector: Energy; Industry: Coal Mining. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or bottlenecks.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BHP Group Limited American (BHP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Inflation pressures have central banks lifting interest rates, which has pushed many investors to look harder at reliable cash income rather than speculative stories. Fully franked dividends can help keep more of each do
Samarium sells for 346 times more in North America than in China, and new Western magnet plants are racing ahead of the metal supply they need.
AI heavyweights are pouring up to $828b into new infrastructure this year, and that rush has shaken global markets and cut more than $1t from Nasdaq 100 values in a single day. When growth stories are questioned, attenti
BHP closes financing on Harvest34 with construction starting next week at 3125 34th Street; every home will carry a project-based voucher allowing families to pay about 30% of their income in rentBOULDER, Colo., Oct. 30,
Nickel market update: small surplus, rising demand, lower spot prices, and key company moves. Read the full analysis now.
Oil refineries have become prime targets in recent conflicts, which has strained global fuel supply and kept energy costs under pressure. For Australian dividend stocks, that kind of backdrop can keep investors focused o
High inflation and stubbornly high interest rates in the US keep pressure on borrowing costs worldwide, which puts regular income front and centre for many Australian investors. Reliable dividends can feel more attractiv
Welcome to the BHP (BHP Group Limited American) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Coal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BHP, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless BHP Group Limited American expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BHP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Coal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $81.82 (52-wk range $52.18 - $98.71), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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