BioAge Labs Inc. (BIOA) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$5.87 -1.18% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.85

BioAge Labs Inc. (BIOA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $269.4M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BIOA Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BIOA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, BioAge Labs Inc. (NASDAQ: BIOA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $5.87 (-1.18% 1D, market cap $269.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BIOA ranks #759 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BIOA compare to LYEL and RCKT in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), BIOA carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LYEL (Lyell Immunopharma Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.5M) and RCKT (Rocket Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $267.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, QTTB leads on earnings multiple (8.9x) while QTTB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BIOA?
β–Ό

Per BIOA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001709941), BioAge Labs Inc. generated $9.0M in revenue, -$80.6M in net income, and -$82.3M in free cash flow against $294.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.85 (-0.40%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510031
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.1% Base Target
$27 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BIOA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BIOA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BIOA SCORES 31/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.66 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 5% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
23
Grade E$5.57-0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$5.56-1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$5.47+7.3% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$5.87-9.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (23) β†’ E (31)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BIOA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While BIOA currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.25) and Max Pain ($6.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.25.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BIOAβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBIOA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

BIOA Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (BIOA)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on BIOA. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BIOA)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of BIOA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BIOA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -64.68%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $5.94H $5.94L $5.87C $5.87VOL 801.4K
RES: $31.91SUP: $3.96SMA50: $7.25SMA200: $15.67
$27.43$21.30$15.17$9.04$2.91RES $31.91SUP $3.96$5.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BIOA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BIOA today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BIOA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BIOA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BIOA)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BIOA vs. LYEL, RCKT, QTTB, LRMR)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BioAge Labs Inc. (BIOA) ranks #759 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #529 by equity capitalization ($269.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, QTTB leads on earnings valuation at 8.9x trailing P/E, while QTTB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. QTTB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with BIOA at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BIOA ACTIVE
BioAge Labs Inc.
E 31/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -1.18% $269.4M Benchmark Subject
LYEL
Lyell Immunopharma Inc.
E 30/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -2.34% $270.5M /lyel-vs-bioa β†’
RCKT
Rocket Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 28/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -3.94% $267.9M /rckt-vs-bioa β†’
QTTB
Q32 Bio Inc.
D+ 53/100 8.9x β€” 85.0% +0.45% $265.2M /qttb-vs-bioa β†’
LRMR
Larimar Therapeutics Inc.
E 34/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -7.49% $256.6M /lrmr-vs-bioa β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001709941

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BioAge Labs Inc. (BIOA) reported GAAP revenue of $9.0M (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$80.6M, operating cash flow of -$81.6M, and free cash flow of -$82.3M (-58.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BIOA closed FY2025 with $294.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.66, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $9.0M -$80.6M -$81.6M -$82.3M $294.9M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$71.1M -$51.5M -$51.9M $358.2M $2.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$63.9M -$37.4M -$37.4M β€” β€”

3. BIOA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BIOA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BioAge Labs Inc. (NASDAQ: BIOA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $5.87 (-1.18% 1D, market cap $269.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BIOA ranks #759 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BIOA compare to LYEL and RCKT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), BIOA carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LYEL (Lyell Immunopharma Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.5M) and RCKT (Rocket Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $267.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, QTTB leads on earnings multiple (8.9x) while QTTB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BIOA?

Per BIOA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001709941), BioAge Labs Inc. generated $9.0M in revenue, -$80.6M in net income, and -$82.3M in free cash flow against $294.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BIOA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BIOA last traded at $5.87 (-1.18% on volume of 801,369 shares), positioning the stock -19.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.25) and -62.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.67). Across its 52-week range of $4.81 to $25.95, BIOA sits at the 5.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($5.14 to $6.60).

BIOA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are BIOA insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies BIOA leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 31/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BIOA β€” BioAge Labs Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:27Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BIOA scores 31 out of 100, grade E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars: the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 6 of 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), signaling that the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow. Whale 13F Flow scores 3 of 20 and Insider Conviction scores 3 of 20, indicating weak institutional and insider support in the rating model. Macro Regime Fit scores 8 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). Forensic Balance Sheet scores 11 of 20, with the Altman Z-Score at 5.66, Piotroski F-Score at 2/9, and Debt/Equity at 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the profile reads as a pre-profit company with negative operating and net margins, where the valuation case rests on future outcomes not visible in the reported financials. The balance sheet is comparatively stronger than the cash engine: the Altman Z-Score is elevated and reported cash is substantial relative to reported debt, which gives runway but does not offset operating losses. Upside drivers would need to come from revenue scaling or a change in the cash burn trajectory; the source data does not show either yet. Valuation tradeoffs are not measurable from the provided multiples, since P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are unavailable. The sharp 52-week range ($4.81 - $25.95) against a current price of $5.94 illustrates high price volatility relative to the reported fundamentals.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$9.0M$-92.8M$-80.6MN/A$-82.3M$188.9M$0.0M
FY 2024$0.0M$-78.2M$-71.1MN/A$-51.9M$354.3M$2.5M
FY 2023$0.0M$-48.4M$-63.9MN/A$-37.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating and net losses persisted across all three reported periods, with gross margin at 0%, operating margin at -60%, and net margin at -60%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 5.66 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, both per the forensic balance sheet pillar. Reported cash fell from $354.3M (FY 2024) to $188.9M (FY 2025), while debt was $0.0M in FY 2025 against $2.5M in FY 2024.

Open Questions

  • What specific products or pipeline assets generate or are expected to generate the $9.0M FY 2025 revenue, and what are the timelines?
  • What is the cash runway implied by the FY 2025 burn rate relative to the $188.9M reported cash?
  • Why are EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA unavailable, and what would the earnings trajectory look like under a normalized scenario?
  • What drove the reported change in cash and debt between FY 2024 and FY 2025?
  • What institutional, insider, or congressional holdings exist, given that the holders section is empty?

BIOA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BioAge Labs Inc. (BIOA) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BIOA Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BIOA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $5.87?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BIOA 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BIOA:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.23 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BIOA (E β€’ RQD 31/100) a Buy at $5.94?

Welcome to the BIOA (BioAge Labs Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.81 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $5.94

Pump the brakes on BIOA β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BIOA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless BioAge Labs Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.54 (+26.9%)
Spot @ $5.94

BIOA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BIOA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $5.94 (52-wk range $4.81 - $25.95), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%