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Why BJ Stock surged +3.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$110.67 +3.12% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.56

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 82/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (18.6% gross margin, 25% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- • BUY Cap $13.56B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BJ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BJ) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 82/100 at a spot price of $110.67 (+3.12% 1D, market cap $13.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BJ ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BJ compare to FIVE and BURL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), BJ carries a Roarable A- (82/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.0x, gross margin of 18.6%, and ROIC of 25.3%. By comparison, FIVE (Five Below Inc.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 37.7x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $13.27B) and BURL (Burlington Stores Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 25.0x, ROIC 22.8%, cap $14.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, M leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while BJ leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BJ?
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Per BJ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001531152), BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. generated $21.46B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $578.0M in net income, and $328.0M in free cash flow against $7.51B in total assets and $399.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (18.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.56 (+0.80%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 82/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 7% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.9% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • A-
025507510082
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk A-
Cash (15)Whales (18)SEC (18)Macro (16)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+10.8% Base Target
$145 Bull$123 Base$91 Bear
📬 FREE BJ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BJ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (82/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BJ SCORES 82/100 (A-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.83 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution15/20 pts (-5 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 5 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$103.39-0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
77
Grade B+$102.41+1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
79
Grade A-$103.44+7% Next Q
Current
82
Grade A-$110.67+8.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → A- (82)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BJ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 82/100 (A-) score, BJ faces multiple-compression risk if 23.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($97.08) or 200D SMA ($94.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($122.62) toward Bear Floor ($90.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BJ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BJ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why BJ Stock surged +3.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) surged +3.12% to $110.67, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($83.21 – $110.67). High-quality cash engine (18.6% gross margin, 25% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($83.21 – $110.67) with RSI-14 at 64.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.2% around $110.67 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable A- (Buy) backed by 18.6% gross margin and $328.0M annual free cash flow.
Live BJ Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 22h ago
BJ's (BJ) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why

Yahoo Finance report covering BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
BJ's (BJ) Stock Looks Above Fair Value Following Its 73% Run

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings has logged a solid multi year run, and the share price closed at US$107.32 most recently. With that kind of track record, the question now is whether the earnings of BJ's Wholesale Club still

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BJ Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BJ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.95%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $105.4H $110.7L $105.4C $110.7VOL 1.71M
RES: $115.4SUP: $91.37SMA50: $97.08SMA200: $94.68
$112.6$104.6$96.67$88.70$80.74RES $115.4SUP $91.37$110.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BJ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BJ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BJ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BJ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BJ)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #8 of 1009 ⚔️ FIVE vs BJ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BJ vs. FIVE, BURL, DLTR, M)

Industry: Department/Specialty Retail Stores (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) ranks #8 by composite RQD confidence (82/100, grade A-) and #134 by equity capitalization ($13.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, M leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while BJ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.3% ROIC and 18.6% gross margin. BJ currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 82/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BJ ACTIVE
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.
A- 82/100 23.0x 18.6% 25.3% +3.12% $13.56B Benchmark Subject
FIVE
Five Below Inc.
B 75/100 37.7x 36.0% 13.8% -0.82% $13.27B /five-vs-bj →
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc.
D+ 57/100 25.0x 43.8% 22.8% +0.71% $14.89B /burl-vs-bj →
DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc.
B+ 80/100 19.3x 36.4% 23.9% +3.53% $25.12B /dltr-vs-bj →
M
Macy's Inc
B 74/100 10.1x 38.0% 11.8% +0.91% $6.30B /m-vs-bj →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001531152 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) reported GAAP revenue of $21.46B (+4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $20.50B , and +7.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $578.0M, operating cash flow of $1.03B, and free cash flow of $328.0M (+4.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, BJ closed FY2025 with $7.51B in total assets against $399.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.83, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $21.46B $578.0M $1.03B $328.0M $7.51B $399.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-01 $20.50B $534.0M $900.9M $312.9M $7.07B $398.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-03 $19.97B $524.0M $718.9M -$179.7M $23.96B $5.61B

3. BJ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BJ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BJ) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 82/100 at a spot price of $110.67 (+3.12% 1D, market cap $13.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BJ ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BJ compare to FIVE and BURL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), BJ carries a Roarable A- (82/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.0x, gross margin of 18.6%, and ROIC of 25.3%. By comparison, FIVE (Five Below Inc.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 37.7x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $13.27B) and BURL (Burlington Stores Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 25.0x, ROIC 22.8%, cap $14.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, M leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while BJ leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BJ?

Per BJ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001531152), BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. generated $21.46B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $578.0M in net income, and $328.0M in free cash flow against $7.51B in total assets and $399.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (18.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BJ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BJ last traded at $110.67 (+3.12% on volume of 2,061,635 shares), positioning the stock +14.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($97.08) and +16.89% above its 200-day simple moving average ($94.68). Across its 52-week range of $83.21 to $108.08, BJ sits at the 100.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($104.92 to $116.42).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 82/100 (A-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BJ — BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 82/100, corresponding to a A- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $110.67 (+3.12% 1D, market capitalization $13.56B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 25.3%, gross margin of 18.6%, operating margin of 3.8%, and free cash flow yield of 2.46%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.14x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.83, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.18x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. Is listed on the NYSE in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Department/Specialty Retail Stores industry.. Its market capitalization is $13.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) reported $21.46B in annual revenue (up from $20.50B in FY2024, +4.7% YoY) and $578.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($19.97B revenue, $524.0M net income) through FY2025, BJ scaled operating cash flow to $1.03B and free cash flow to $328.0M, backed by $7.51B in total assets against $399.1M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (A- • RQD 82/100): Strong cash generator (18.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $83.21 – $108.08 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 23.0x trailing P/E and 9.7x EV/EBITDA against 3.8% operating margins and a 1.14x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Investors should note the absence of mapped links as a gap in the graph rather than as evidence of no dependencies.

  • Key Question #1: Can BJ sustain or expand its 3.8% operating margin and 25.3% ROIC against Department/Specialty Retail Stores peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $21.46B and free cash flow of $328.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $399.1M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BJ's 21.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.14x)?

BJ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. (BJ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BJ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BJ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $110.67?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BJ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BJ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $136.30 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, a 25.3% ROIC paired with a 4.83 Altman Z-Score and 0.18 Debt/Equity points to a high-return, low-stress ba

Per the Roarable RQD rating, a 25.3% ROIC paired with a 4.83 Altman Z-Score and 0.18 Debt/Equity points to a high-return, low-stress balance sheet.. When you look under the hood at BJ, Fundamental Cash Engine is 15/20 with 18.6% gross margins and 25.3% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (18/20) has been quietly accumulating below $108.08. My 12M target is $136.30.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 82/100 quality, though with 1.14 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $107.32 and keeping dry powder in case we test $99.81.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $80.49 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $107.32

Per the market data, a P/E of 23 and a 2.46% FCF yield leave limited cash yield for a buyer at the current $105.41 price.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on BJ: Per the market data, a P/E of 23 and a 2.46% FCF yield leave limited cash yield for a buyer at the current $105.41 price.. At 23.0x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Department/Specialty Retail Stores triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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