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BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$16.64 -6.88% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.40

BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 16/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $731.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BKSY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BKSY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 16/100 at a spot price of $16.64 (-6.88% 1D, market cap $731.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, BKSY ranks #709 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BKSY compare to UMAC and GILT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), BKSY carries a Roarable E (16/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.1%. By comparison, UMAC (Unusual Machines Inc.) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.7%, cap $775.8M) and GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 29.3x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $587.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILT leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while GILT leads on capital efficiency (5.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BKSY?
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Per BKSY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001753539), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) generated $106.6M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $70.3K in net income, and -$28.3M in free cash flow against $386.2M in total assets and $193.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.40 (-1.43%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (16/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510016
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (3)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.9% Base Target
$56 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE BKSY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BKSY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (16/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BKSY SCORES 16/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+5/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 25% Net Buy • Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (42.5) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$19.72-14.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
21
Grade E$16.87+13.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
19
Grade E$19.15-13.1% Next Q
Current
16
Grade E$16.64-12.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (24) → E (16)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BKSY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BKSY currently carries a cautious 16/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.80) and Max Pain ($17.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $55.52.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BKSY• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BKSY Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BKSY)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BKSY.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BKSY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BKSY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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BKSY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -54.20%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $19.20H $19.20L $16.64C $16.64VOL 924.5K
RES: $19.30SUP: $15.71SMA50: $20.80SMA200: $27.19
$55.45$44.80$34.14$23.48$12.82RES $19.30SUP $15.71$16.642026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BKSY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BKSY Butterfly Map → + Track BKSY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BKSY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BKSY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BKSY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BKSY)

Technology Rank #709 of 715 ⚔️ UMAC vs BKSY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BKSY vs. UMAC, GILT, SATL, HLIT)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) ranks #709 by composite RQD confidence (16/100, grade E) and #381 by equity capitalization ($731.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GILT leads on earnings valuation at 29.3x trailing P/E, while GILT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.6% ROIC and 29.5% gross margin. HLIT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with BKSY at 16/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BKSY ACTIVE
BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A)
E 16/100 — — -15.1% -6.88% $731.3M Benchmark Subject
UMAC
Unusual Machines Inc.
E 23/100 — 34.9% -27.7% -8.11% $775.8M /umac-vs-bksy →
GILT
Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.
D- 41/100 29.3x 29.5% 5.6% -4.76% $587.2M /gilt-vs-bksy →
SATL
Satellogic Inc. (Class A)
E 12/100 — — -35.0% -7.23% $510.4M /satl-vs-bksy →
HLIT
Harmonic Inc.
D 48/100 — 48.5% 3.0% -0.39% $1.12B /hlit-vs-bksy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001753539 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) reported GAAP revenue of $106.6M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $102.1M , and +12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $70.3K, operating cash flow of -$28.3M, and free cash flow of -$28.3M (-343.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BKSY closed FY2025 with $386.2M in total assets against $193.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $106.6M $70.3K -$28.3M -$28.3M $386.2M $193.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $102.1M $57.2K -$6.4M -$6.4M $254.1M $105.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $94.5M $53.9K -$17.4M -$17.4M — —

3. BKSY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BKSY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BKSY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 16/100 at a spot price of $16.64 (-6.88% 1D, market cap $731.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, BKSY ranks #709 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BKSY compare to UMAC and GILT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), BKSY carries a Roarable E (16/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.1%. By comparison, UMAC (Unusual Machines Inc.) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.7%, cap $775.8M) and GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 29.3x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $587.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILT leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while GILT leads on capital efficiency (5.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BKSY?

Per BKSY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001753539), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) generated $106.6M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $70.3K in net income, and -$28.3M in free cash flow against $386.2M in total assets and $193.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BKSY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BKSY last traded at $16.64 (-6.88% on volume of 926,672 shares), positioning the stock -20.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.80) and -38.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.19). Across its 52-week range of $12.41 to $52.88, BKSY sits at the 10.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($14.56 to $18.72).

Direct Sub-Reports: BKSY RQD Cockpit BKSY 12M Forecast BKSY Earnings & Move BKSY Dividends & DRIP BKSY Insiders & 13F BKSY Whale Options BKSY Profit Sankey BKSY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 16/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BKSY — BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 16/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $16.64 (-6.88% 1D, market capitalization $731.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -15.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -44.0%, and free cash flow yield of -3.60%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.04x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Technology. Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment. Listed on the NYSE.. (Class A) operates in this industry with a market capitalization the profile rounds to $0.8B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) reported $106.6M in annual revenue (up from $102.1M in FY2024, +4.4% YoY) and $70.3K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($94.5M revenue, $53.9K net income) through FY2025, BKSY scaled operating cash flow to -$28.3M and free cash flow to -$28.3M, backed by $386.2M in total assets against $193.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 16/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -3.60% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.41 – $52.88 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -44.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (Technology), BKSY carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can BKSY sustain or expand its -44.0% operating margin and -15.1% ROIC against Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $106.6M and free cash flow of -$28.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $193.2M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BKSY's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BKSY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BKSY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BKSY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.64?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BKSY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BKSY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.55 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported revenue grew from $94.5M in FY 2023 to $106.6M in FY 2025, and the stock is up 0.47% on the day with 1,008,235 shares volume.

Reported revenue grew from $94.5M in FY 2023 to $106.6M in FY 2025, and the stock is up 0.47% on the day with 1,008,235 shares volume.. When you look under the hood at BKSY, Fundamental Cash Engine is 0/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -15.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $52.88. My 12M target is $20.55.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.19 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $17.87

A zero fundamental score with ROIC of -15.1%, FCF yield of -3.6%, Altman Z of 0.2, and debt rising to $193.2M signals forensic balance-

Fading this rally in BKSY at $17.87. A zero fundamental score with ROIC of -15.1%, FCF yield of -3.6%, Altman Z of 0.2, and debt rising to $193.2M signals forensic balance-sheet risk.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $17.87 (52-wk range $12.41–$52.88), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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