MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Why BKV (BKV) Stock Is Up TodayYahoo Finance report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why BKV Stock slipped -1.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$19.82 -1.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.73
BKV Corporation (BKV) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $2.20B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BKV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BKV Corporation (NYSE: BKV) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $19.82 (-1.34% 1D, market cap $2.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BKV ranks #185 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BKV compare to CTRI and EROK in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), BKV carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.0%. By comparison, CTRI (Centuri Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 97.1x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $2.15B) and EROK (EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKV leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while BKV leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BKV?
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Per BKV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001838406), BKV Corporation generated $1.14B in revenue (+41.6% YoY), $179.2M in net income, and -$24.7M in free cash flow against $3.94B in total assets and $937.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.73 (-0.43%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BKV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BKV SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (28% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 1.37 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$23.10-3.5% Next Q
44
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$22.29-5% Next Q
41
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$21.17-6.4% Next Q
39
CurrentGrade D-$19.82-8.3% Hist 90D α
36
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BKV Turnaround Squeeze
While BKV currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.94) and Max Pain ($20.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $34.45.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BKV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BKV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BKV Stock slipped -1.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
BKV Corporation (BKV) slipped -1.34% to $19.82, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($20.03 – $32.81). Stretched risk/reward at 13x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($20.03 – $32.81) with RSI-14 at 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.8% around $19.82 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live BKV Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHTradingView • 1d ago
BKV Corporation Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $33.18, Implies 57% UpsideTradingView report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Why Is BKV Stock Surging Wednesday?Benzinga report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTSeeking Alpha • 2d ago
BKV surges after securing equipment supply contract for 1,200 MW Texas power project (BKV:NYSE)Seeking Alpha report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 2d ago
Update: BKV Shares Rise After Signing Equipment Supply Contract for Potential Power Project in TexasYahoo Finance report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESimply Wall St • 2d ago
BKV (NYSE:BKV) - Stock AnalysisSimply Wall St report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 2d ago
211,778 BKV Corporation $BKV Shares Sold by Sapient Capital LLCMarketBeat report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETradingView • 2d ago
BKV Corporation Estimates – NYSE:BKVTradingView report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 8d ago
Has BKV (BKV) Fallen Far Enough to Look Cheap on Earnings?BKV shares have fallen sharply this year, which puts fresh focus on whether the current US$20.82 price still lines up with what the company earns. With sentiment under pressure, the question now is how much of BKV's earn
RISK WATCHYahoo • 11d ago
3 small-cap stocks that fall shortMany small-cap stocks have limited Wall Street coverage, giving savvy investors the chance to act before everyone else catches on. But the flip side is that these businesses have increased downside risk because they lack
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BKV)
- ✓Walkthrough of BKV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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BKV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.37%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $20.93H $20.93L $19.82C $19.82VOL 1.78M
RES: $23.11SUP: $19.70SMA50: $22.94SMA200: $26.49
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BKV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
3.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +41.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BKV today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BKV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BKV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BKV)
Energy Rank #185 of 211
⚔️ CTRI vs BKV Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (BKV vs. CTRI, EROK, VET, NEXT)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BKV Corporation (BKV) ranks #185 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #114 by equity capitalization ($2.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BKV leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while BKV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VET currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with BKV at 36/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKV
ACTIVE
BKV Corporation | D- | 36/100 | 12.8x | — | 9.0% | -1.34% | $2.20B | Benchmark Subject |
| CTRI Centuri Holdings Inc. | E | 33/100 | 97.1x | 8.3% | 5.0% | +3.29% | $2.15B | /ctri-vs-bkv → |
| EROK EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A) | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | +1.11% | $2.49B | /erok-vs-bkv → |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada) | C | 63/100 | — | — | — | -0.72% | $1.91B | /vet-vs-bkv → |
| NEXT NextDecade Corporation | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -2.1% | +0.60% | $1.79B | /next-vs-bkv → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001838406 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BKV Corporation (BKV) reported GAAP revenue of $1.14B (+41.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $805.7M , and +13.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $179.2M, operating cash flow of $280.4M, and free cash flow of -$24.7M (-346.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, BKV closed FY2025 with $3.94B in total assets against $937.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.37, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.14B | $179.2M | $280.4M | -$24.7M | $3.94B | $937.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $805.7M | -$138.7M | $115.4M | $10.0M | $3.10B | $849.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.01B | $123.6M | $260.3M | $260.3M | — | — |
3. BKV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BKV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, BKV Corporation (NYSE: BKV) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $19.82 (-1.34% 1D, market cap $2.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BKV ranks #185 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BKV compare to CTRI and EROK in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), BKV carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.0%. By comparison, CTRI (Centuri Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 97.1x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $2.15B) and EROK (EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKV leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while BKV leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BKV?
Per BKV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001838406), BKV Corporation generated $1.14B in revenue (+41.6% YoY), $179.2M in net income, and -$24.7M in free cash flow against $3.94B in total assets and $937.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BKV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BKV last traded at $19.82 (-1.34% on volume of 1,698,261 shares), positioning the stock -13.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.94) and -25.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.49). Across its 52-week range of $20.03 to $32.81, BKV sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($18.27 to $21.37).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
BKV — BKV Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
BKV Corporation (BKV) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 36/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $19.82 (-1.34% 1D, market capitalization $2.20B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 26.6%, and free cash flow yield of -1.08%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.37, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.47x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
. Reported revenue of $1.14B for FY 2025 is shown in the SEC financials, but the source does not break revenue down by product or geography. Market capitalization is $2.3B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), BKV Corporation (BKV) reported $1.14B in annual revenue (up from $805.7M in FY2024, +41.6% YoY) and $179.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.01B revenue, $123.6M net income) through FY2025, BKV scaled operating cash flow to $280.4M and free cash flow to -$24.7M, backed by $3.94B in total assets against $937.7M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 36/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.08% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $20.03 – $32.81 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 12.8x trailing P/E and 5.3x EV/EBITDA against 26.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Oil & Gas Production (Energy), BKV carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can BKV sustain or expand its 26.6% operating margin and 9.0% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.14B and free cash flow of -$24.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $937.7M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is BKV's 10.8x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
BKV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BKV Corporation (BKV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Why BKV (BKV) Stock Is Up Today Yahoo Finance report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago
BKV Corporation Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $33.18, Implies 57% Upside TradingView report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 2d ago
Why Is BKV Stock Surging Wednesday? Benzinga report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 2d ago
BKV surges after securing equipment supply contract for 1,200 MW Texas power project (BKV:NYSE) Seeking Alpha report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 2d ago
Update: BKV Shares Rise After Signing Equipment Supply Contract for Potential Power Project in Texas Yahoo Finance report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 2d ago
BKV (NYSE:BKV) - Stock Analysis Simply Wall St report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 2d ago
211,778 BKV Corporation $BKV Shares Sold by Sapient Capital LLC MarketBeat report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 2d ago
BKV Corporation Estimates – NYSE:BKV TradingView report covering BKV Corporation (BKV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
BKV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.82?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BKV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $27.42 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Operating margin of 26.6% and a forward P/E of 10.8 versus trailing 12.8 point to expected earnings growth at a 5.3 EV/EBITDA.
Don't sleep on BKV's setup in Energy. Operating margin of 26.6% and a forward P/E of 10.8 versus trailing 12.8 point to expected earnings growth at a 5.3 EV/EBITDA.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (36/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — BKV's 9/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $18.00 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $20.93 Altman Z of 1.37, negative FCF yield of -1.08%, and debt of $937.7M against cash of $248.4M leave the balance sheet vulnerable.
Fading this rally in BKV at $20.93. Altman Z of 1.37, negative FCF yield of -1.08%, and debt of $937.7M against cash of $248.4M leave the balance sheet vulnerable.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $20.93 (52-wk range $20.03–$32.81), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.