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Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$12.73 +0.47% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.72

Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $439.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BNED Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BNED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Barnes & Noble Education Inc (NYSE: BNED) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $12.73 (+0.47% 1D, market cap $439.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BNED ranks #288 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BNED compare to SGU and HVT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), BNED carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.1x, gross margin of 23.4%, and ROIC of 10.3%. By comparison, SGU (Star Group L.P.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC β€”, cap $424.6M) and HVT (Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 23.2x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $456.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGU leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while BNED leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BNED?
β–Ό

Per BNED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0001634117), Barnes & Noble Education Inc generated $1.56B in revenue (+6.9% YoY), $16.9M in net income, and $33.9M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.72 (-0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 2.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 54.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (12)Macro (11)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$15 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BNED RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BNED)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BNED SCORES 62/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.2% FCF Margin ($33.9M FCF) & 23.4% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.5) create a -9 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$12.28+9.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$13.48+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$13.60-6.4% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$12.73+0.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (54) β†’ C (62)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BNED Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, BNED faces multiple-compression risk if 26.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 20.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.07) or 200D SMA ($10.77) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.96) toward Bear Floor ($10.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BNEDβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBNED Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BNED)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BNED.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BNED & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BNED
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BNED // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +26.79%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $12.72H $12.73L $12.67C $12.73VOL 258.0K
RES: $14.08SUP: $10.00SMA50: $12.07SMA200: $10.77
$15.17$13.43$11.68$9.94$8.20RES $14.08SUP $10.00$12.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BNED Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ BNED Butterfly Map β†’ + Track BNED β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
19.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BNED today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BNED. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BNED today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BNED)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #288 of 1009 βš”οΈ SGU vs BNED Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BNED vs. SGU, HVT, TITN, WOOF)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) ranks #288 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #597 by equity capitalization ($439.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SGU leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while BNED leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.3% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. HVT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with BNED at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BNED ACTIVE
Barnes & Noble Education Inc
C 62/100 26.1x 23.4% 10.3% +0.47% $439.2M Benchmark Subject
SGU
Star Group L.P.
C 63/100 5.8x 31.5% β€” -0.46% $424.6M /sgu-vs-bned β†’
HVT
Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.
B- 70/100 23.2x 60.7% 6.4% +3.72% $456.6M /hvt-vs-bned β†’
TITN
Titan Machinery Inc.
D+ 57/100 β€” 15.8% -0.7% -1.38% $561.5M /titn-vs-bned β†’
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 81.5x 38.7% 4.0% +4.98% $747.6M /woof-vs-bned β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-05-02 β€’ CIK 0001634117 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02), Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) reported GAAP revenue of $1.56B (+6.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.46B , and +9.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.9M, operating cash flow of $50.1M, and free cash flow of $33.9M (+134.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BNED closed FY2025 with $1.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.20, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-02 $1.56B $16.9M $50.1M $33.9M $1.13B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-03 $1.46B -$65.8M -$85.4M -$98.3M $1.09B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-27 $1.43B -$75.7M -$5.1M -$5.1M β€” β€”

3. BNED Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BNED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Barnes & Noble Education Inc (NYSE: BNED) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $12.73 (+0.47% 1D, market cap $439.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BNED ranks #288 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BNED compare to SGU and HVT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), BNED carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.1x, gross margin of 23.4%, and ROIC of 10.3%. By comparison, SGU (Star Group L.P.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC β€”, cap $424.6M) and HVT (Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 23.2x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $456.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGU leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while BNED leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BNED?

Per BNED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0001634117), Barnes & Noble Education Inc generated $1.56B in revenue (+6.9% YoY), $16.9M in net income, and $33.9M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BNED trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BNED last traded at $12.73 (+0.47% on volume of 167,303 shares), positioning the stock +5.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.07) and +18.20% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.77). Across its 52-week range of $5.90 to $14.75, BNED sits at the 77.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.4% ($11.79 to $13.67).

Direct Sub-Reports: BNED RQD Cockpit BNED 12M Forecast BNED Earnings & Move BNED Dividends & DRIP BNED Insiders & 13F BNED Whale Options BNED Profit Sankey BNED News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 62/100 (C) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BNED β€” Barnes & Noble Education Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-05-02

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 62/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $12.73 (+0.47% 1D, market capitalization $439.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.3%, gross margin of 23.4%, operating margin of 2.3%, and free cash flow yield of 7.68%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.20, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Other Specialty Stores industry. The company operates in specialty retail. FY 2025 revenue was $1.56B, indicating a large-scale retail revenue base.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-05-02), Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) reported $1.56B in annual revenue (up from $1.46B in FY2024, +6.9% YoY) and $16.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.43B revenue, -$75.7M net income) through FY2025, BNED scaled operating cash flow to $50.1M and free cash flow to $33.9M, backed by $1.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C β€’ RQD 62/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 7.68% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.90 – $14.75 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 26.1x trailing P/E and 8.6x EV/EBITDA against 2.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are β€” Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order bottlenecks cannot be assessed from this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can BNED sustain or expand its 2.3% operating margin and 10.3% ROIC against Other Specialty Stores peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.56B and free cash flow of $33.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BNED's 24.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BNED Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BNED Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BNED Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $12.73?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BNED 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BNED:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Verified $100K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.57 (+15.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Revenue grew to $1.56B and operating income swung to $36.5M in FY 2025, with a 7.68% FCF yield.

Revenue grew to $1.56B and operating income swung to $36.5M in FY 2025, with a 7.68% FCF yield.. When you look under the hood at BNED, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 23.4% gross margins and 10.3% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (12/20) has been quietly accumulating below $14.75. My 12M target is $14.57.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” BNED's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.77 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $12.67

An Altman Z-Score of 1.2 and a 26.1 trailing P/E leave little margin for error on a 2.3% operating margin.

Fading this rally in BNED at $12.67. An Altman Z-Score of 1.2 and a 26.1 trailing P/E leave little margin for error on a 2.3% operating margin.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $12.67 (52-wk range $5.90–$14.75), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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