Fierce Biotech report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why BOLT Stock surged +3.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BOLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: BOLT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $6.59 (+3.62% 1D, market cap $12.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BOLT ranks #550 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BOLT compare to JAGX and HIND in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), BOLT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, JAGX (Jaguar Health Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.6M) and HIND (Vyome Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BOLT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BOLT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOLT?
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Per BOLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001641281), Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. generated $7.7M in revenue (+0.1% YoY), -$33.4M in net income, and -$39.9M in free cash flow against $56.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 75% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 72.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BOLT Turnaround Squeeze
While BOLT currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.25) and Max Pain ($6.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.17.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why BOLT Stock surged +3.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) surged +3.62% to $6.59, trading at 75% of its 52-week range ($3.1 – $7.78). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 75% of its 52-week range ($3.1 – $7.78) with RSI-14 at 72.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $6.59 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investorideas.com report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Pharma Letter report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
citybiz report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Lilly intends to merge its U.S. and international divisions when a top executive retires. Elsewhere, Astellas closed in on what it believes to be a “best-in-class” cancer immunotherapy prospect.
Unusual volume in US small-cap stocks: RBNE, SHFS, AARD, XXII and others traded well above 50-day averages, with sharp losses and double-digit gains.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BOLT)
- ✓Walkthrough of BOLT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
BOLT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BOLT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BOLT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BOLT)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BOLT vs. JAGX, HIND, BFRI, BIVI)
Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) ranks #550 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #869 by equity capitalization ($12.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BOLT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BOLT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. BOLT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 37/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOLT
ACTIVE
Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +3.62% | $12.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| JAGX Jaguar Health Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | 67.2% | -35.0% | -20.59% | $12.6M | /jagx-vs-bolt → |
| HIND Vyome Holdings Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | 68.4% | -35.0% | +2.86% | $12.6M | /hind-vs-bolt → |
| BFRI Biofrontera Inc. | E | 26/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -6.29% | $13.0M | /bfri-vs-bolt → |
| BIVI BioVie Inc. (Class A) | E | 32/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +3.62% | $12.4M | /bivi-vs-bolt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001641281In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) reported GAAP revenue of $7.7M (+0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.7M , and -2.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$33.4M, operating cash flow of -$39.9M, and free cash flow of -$39.9M (+34.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BOLT closed FY2025 with $56.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $7.7M | -$33.4M | -$39.9M | -$39.9M | $56.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $7.7M | -$63.1M | -$61.3M | -$61.3M | $99.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $7.9M | -$69.2M | -$69.5M | -$69.5M | — | — |
3. BOLT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BOLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: BOLT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $6.59 (+3.62% 1D, market cap $12.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BOLT ranks #550 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BOLT compare to JAGX and HIND in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), BOLT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, JAGX (Jaguar Health Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.6M) and HIND (Vyome Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BOLT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BOLT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOLT?
Per BOLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001641281), Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. generated $7.7M in revenue (+0.1% YoY), -$33.4M in net income, and -$39.9M in free cash flow against $56.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BOLT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BOLT last traded at $6.59 (+3.62% on volume of 249,919 shares), positioning the stock +55.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.25) and +46.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.51). Across its 52-week range of $3.10 to $7.78, BOLT sits at the 74.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.77 to $7.41).
BOLT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BOLT stock moving today?
Why BOLT Stock surged +3.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
BOLT — Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, BOLT scores 38 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 4 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%. For an investor, this indicates the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow, so value must rest on future outcomes rather than present earnings power.
- Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar, suggesting some institutional interest, though the rating does not disclose the magnitude or direction of specific holdings.
- Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score here means insider activity provides little supporting conviction signal.
- Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Beta of 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. The stock's market sensitivity is neutral, but the score reflects limited alignment with the prevailing regime.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These point to elevated financial fragility and weak fundamental quality signals.
Taken together, the rating frames BOLT as a speculative, cash-consuming company whose equity value is highly dependent on near-term financing and clinical or strategic outcomes. The score does not imply a precise price target; it reflects a weak composite profile across fundamentals, balance sheet, and insider signals, partially offset by institutional interest.
Business
Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. Per the profile, the company is a publicly traded biotechnology business. Source data does not specify its products, customers, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, reported revenue was $7.7M for FY 2025 and $7.7M for FY 2024. Per recent news, the company announced an acquisition of Prana Therapies alongside a $120 Million concurrent private placement to advance PRA-216 in inflammatory indications.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $7.7M | $-36.1M | $-33.4M | N/A | $-39.9M | $11.7M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $7.7M | $-73.0M | $-63.1M | N/A | $-61.3M | $7.2M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $7.9M | $-76.2M | $-69.2M | N/A | $-69.5M | N/A | N/A |
Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -60%, and net margin is -60%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported operating losses and negative free cash flow persisted across the three periods shown. Reported cash rose to $11.7M in FY 2025 from $7.2M in FY 2024, while debt is not available in source data.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Primary catalyst (per the news wire): Multiple outlets, including Fierce Biotech, Yahoo Finance, The Pharma Letter, marketscreener.com, and citybiz, report the Prana Therapies acquisition and a $120 Million financing. One marketscreener.com item references expected funding of $119.999995 million.
- Market reaction: An Investorideas.com item reports the stock "soars on acquisition news," and one item is tagged as a green-light catalyst. Current price of 6.36 reflects a -3.34% change per the market data.
- Risk watch items: Most items are tagged as yellow-light market wire, signaling mixed or unconfirmed signal strength. The financing is a concurrent private placement, which may imply dilution; source data does not quantify share issuance.
- Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are recorded.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. Investors should note that the acquisition of Prana Therapies and the PRA-216 program are the only identifiable ripple pathways in the news, and their operational interdependencies are not specified in source data.
Open Questions
- What are the specific terms, share count, and dilution impact of the $120 Million concurrent private placement?
- What is the status and stage of PRA-216, and what clinical or commercial milestones are associated with the Prana acquisition?
- What is BOLT's debt position, given debt is listed as N/A across all periods?
- Why does reported revenue hold flat at $7.7M across FY 2025 and FY 2024, and what drives it?
- What is the source and composition of the 14/20 institutional 13F flow, including the identity and size of major holders?
BOLT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Fierce Biotech report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investorideas.com report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Pharma Letter report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
citybiz report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
BOLT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.59?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BOLT (D- • RQD 38/100) a Buy at $6.36?
Welcome to the BOLT (Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 38/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on BOLT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BOLT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
BOLT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BOLT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $6.36 (52-wk range $3.10 - $7.78), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.