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Why BORR Stock dropped -5.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$3.46 -5.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.42

Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.13B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BORR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Borr Drilling Limited (NYSE: BORR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $3.46 (-5.98% 1D, market cap $1.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BORR ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BORR compare to HPK and REPX in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), BORR carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, HPK (HighPeak Energy Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.10B) and REPX (Riley Exploration Permian Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.2x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $1.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, REPX leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while REPX leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BORR?
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Per BORR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001715497), Borr Drilling Limited generated $1.02B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $45.0M in net income, and $251.9M in free cash flow against $3.63B in total assets and $2.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.42 (-1.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 24.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.5% Base Target
$7 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE BORR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BORR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BORR SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 24.7% FCF Margin ($251.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$4.68-9.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$4.22+4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$4.39-21.2% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$3.46-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BORR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BORR currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.32) and Max Pain ($3.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.99.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BORR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BORR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why BORR Stock dropped -5.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) dropped -5.98% to $3.46, trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($2.89 – $6.66). Stretched risk/reward at 28x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($2.89 – $6.66) with RSI-14 at 37.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.46 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $251.9M annual free cash flow.
Live BORR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 15h ago
Seadrill (SDRL) Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Seadrill (SDRL) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +10.00% and +12.04%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BORR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BORR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BORR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.55%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $4.02H $4.02L $3.46C $3.46VOL 8.85M
RES: $5.37SUP: $3.09SMA50: $4.32SMA200: $4.89
$6.88$5.96$5.03$4.10$3.17RES $5.37SUP $3.09$3.462026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BORR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
21.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BORR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BORR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BORR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BORR)

Energy Rank #134 of 211 ⚔️ HPK vs BORR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (BORR vs. HPK, REPX, PDS, TBN)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #133 by equity capitalization ($1.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REPX leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while REPX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.2% ROIC and — gross margin. REPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with BORR at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BORR ACTIVE
Borr Drilling Limited
D 50/100 27.8x — 8.9% -5.98% $1.13B Benchmark Subject
HPK
HighPeak Energy Inc.
D+ 57/100 — — 4.6% -0.46% $1.10B /hpk-vs-borr →
REPX
Riley Exploration Permian Inc.
B 73/100 7.2x — 12.2% -1.53% $1.06B /repx-vs-borr →
PDS
Precision Drilling Corporation
C 63/100 — — — -1.25% $1.22B /pds-vs-borr →
TBN
Tamboran Resources Corporation
D- 37/100 — — -10.1% -1.29% $1.03B /tbn-vs-borr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001715497 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.02B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.01B , and +32.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $45.0M, operating cash flow of $251.9M, and free cash flow of $251.9M (+225.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BORR closed FY2025 with $3.63B in total assets against $2.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.55, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.02B $45.0M $251.9M $251.9M $3.63B $2.02B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.01B $82.1M $77.3M $77.3M $3.42B $1.99B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $771.6M $22.1M -$50.7M -$50.7M — —

3. BORR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BORR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Borr Drilling Limited (NYSE: BORR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $3.46 (-5.98% 1D, market cap $1.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BORR ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BORR compare to HPK and REPX in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), BORR carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, HPK (HighPeak Energy Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.10B) and REPX (Riley Exploration Permian Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.2x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $1.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, REPX leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while REPX leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BORR?

Per BORR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001715497), Borr Drilling Limited generated $1.02B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $45.0M in net income, and $251.9M in free cash flow against $3.63B in total assets and $2.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BORR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BORR last traded at $3.46 (-5.98% on volume of 9,727,033 shares), positioning the stock -19.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.32) and -29.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.89). Across its 52-week range of $2.89 to $6.66, BORR sits at the 15.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.03 to $3.89).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BORR — Borr Drilling Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.46 (-5.98% 1D, market capitalization $1.13B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 31.6%, and free cash flow yield of 20.16%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.55, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.65x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Oil & Gas Production industry (Energy sector) with an equity market capitalization of $1.24B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 31.6%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.9% (free cash flow yield of 20.16%). Within the Oil & Gas Production peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) reported $1.02B in annual revenue (up from $1.01B in FY2024, +1.0% YoY) and $45.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($771.6M revenue, $22.1M net income) through FY2025, BORR scaled operating cash flow to $251.9M and free cash flow to $251.9M, backed by $3.63B in total assets against $2.02B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 20.16% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.89 – $6.66 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 27.8x trailing P/E and 9.0x EV/EBITDA against 31.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply_chain field is NONE, and butterfly_links and proprietary_signals are empty. — for upstream or downstream dependencies. Sector and industry classification is Energy / Oil & Gas Production.

  • Key Question #1: Can BORR sustain or expand its 31.6% operating margin and 8.9% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.02B and free cash flow of $251.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.02B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BORR's 25.9x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BORR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BORR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BORR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.46?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BORR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BORR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.98 (+23.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a 20.16% FCF yield signals strong cash generation relative to the $1.25B market cap.

Here is why I am bullish on BORR here at $4.02: Per the RQD rating, a 20.16% FCF yield signals strong cash generation relative to the $1.25B market cap.. Compare BORR's 31.6% operating margin and 8.9% ROIC against the rest of Oil & Gas Production. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $3.82 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $4.02 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.01 (-25.1%)
Spot @ $4.02

Per the RQD rating, an Altman Z-Score of 0.55 and Debt/Equity of 1.65 indicate elevated balance-sheet risk against $2.02B in debt.

I respect the product at Borr Drilling Limited, but the stock at $4.02 is a different story. Per the RQD rating, an Altman Z-Score of 0.55 and Debt/Equity of 1.65 indicate elevated balance-sheet risk against $2.02B in debt.. FCF yield is 20.16% and RQD sits at 50/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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