Yahoo Finance report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why BRCB Stock slipped -1.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BRCB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-03, Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BRCB) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $10.40 (-1.79% 1D, market cap $520.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BRCB ranks #803 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BRCB compare to LOCO and DIN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BRCB carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, LOCO (El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $465.6M) and DIN (Dine Brands Global Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 26.0x, ROIC —, cap $449.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while PZZA leads on capital efficiency (30.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRCB?
▼
Per BRCB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002068577), Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) generated $200.3M in revenue (+24.5% YoY), -$60.0K in net income, and -$32.7M in free cash flow against $336.4M in total assets and $25.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 1.98 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (71.4) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BRCB Turnaround Squeeze
While BRCB currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.38) and Max Pain ($10.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.11.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why BRCB Stock slipped -1.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) slipped -1.79% to $10.40, trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($6.11 – $25.82). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($6.11 – $25.82) with RSI-14 at 71.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $10.40 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
New Location Marks 9th Store in California Black Rock Coffee Bar Opening October 30 in Riverside, CA Black Rock Coffee Bar New Riverside, CA Location - Opening 10/30! Scottsdale, AZ, Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Bla
New Location Marks 8th Store in California Black Rock Coffee Bar Opening October 25 in Rancho Cucamonga Black Rock Coffee Bar New California Location Coming on October 25th Scottsdale, AZ, Oct. 23, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE)
BRCB, CSIQ and VLRS have been added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on October 16, 2026.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BRCB)
- ✓Walkthrough of BRCB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
BRCB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +24.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRCB today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRCB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRCB)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BRCB vs. LOCO, DIN, PZZA, KRUS)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) ranks #803 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #581 by equity capitalization ($520.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOCO leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while PZZA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.5% ROIC and — gross margin. DIN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with BRCB at 34/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRCB
ACTIVE
Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) | E | 34/100 | — | — | 1.6% | -1.79% | $520.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. | C | 65/100 | 17.7x | — | 11.7% | -0.45% | $465.6M | /loco-vs-brcb → |
| DIN Dine Brands Global Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 26.0x | 40.9% | — | +1.00% | $449.5M | /din-vs-brcb → |
| PZZA Papa John's International Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 20.3x | — | 30.5% | -1.83% | $607.6M | /pzza-vs-brcb → |
| KRUS Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A) | E | 18/100 | — | — | -1.9% | +0.09% | $424.8M | /krus-vs-brcb → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002068577In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) reported GAAP revenue of $200.3M (+24.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $160.9M , and +50.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$60.0K, operating cash flow of $2.2M, and free cash flow of -$32.7M (-268.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRCB closed FY2025 with $336.4M in total assets against $25.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.98, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $200.3M | -$60.0K | $2.2M | -$32.7M | $336.4M | $25.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $160.9M | -$7.2M | $13.3M | -$8.9M | $212.9M | $89.3M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $133.2M | -$8.8M | $5.2M | $5.2M | — | — |
3. BRCB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BRCB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: BRCB) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $10.40 (-1.79% 1D, market cap $520.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BRCB ranks #803 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BRCB compare to LOCO and DIN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BRCB carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, LOCO (El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $465.6M) and DIN (Dine Brands Global Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 26.0x, ROIC —, cap $449.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while PZZA leads on capital efficiency (30.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRCB?
Per BRCB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002068577), Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) generated $200.3M in revenue (+24.5% YoY), -$60.0K in net income, and -$32.7M in free cash flow against $336.4M in total assets and $25.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BRCB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BRCB last traded at $10.40 (-1.79% on volume of 454,098 shares), positioning the stock +24.11% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.38) and -0.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.48). Across its 52-week range of $6.11 to $25.82, BRCB sits at the 21.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 71.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.10 to $11.70).
BRCB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BRCB stock moving today?
Why BRCB Stock slipped -1.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
BRCB — Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, BRCB scores 36 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 4 / 20 (ROIC 1.6%; FCF yield -6.17%). This is the weakest pillar and signals that the business is not currently converting capital into meaningful returns or free cash flow.
- Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is a below-midpoint reading, indicating limited evidence of strong institutional conviction in the source data.
- Insider Conviction: 5 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). This reading points to weak insider signaling.
- Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). A beta of 1.0 means the stock moves in line with the market, offering no defensive cushion in a risk-off environment.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20 (Altman Z 1.98; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.57). This is the strongest pillar, though still only moderate, and it is the main offset to the weak cash generation.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating frames a picture in which the balance sheet is not the immediate concern, but the cash engine and flow indicators are. The low ROIC and negative FCF yield suggest that valuation rests on expectations of future improvement rather than current cash returns. The 52-week range of $6.11 to $25.86 illustrates how volatile the price has been, and the current price of $10.59 sits well inside that range. Any upside thesis would depend on operating improvement translating into cash generation, while the downside risks center on continued cash burn and weak insider and institutional signals.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $200.3M | $0.9M | $-0.1M | N/A | $-32.7M | $28.4M | $25.9M |
| FY 2024 | $160.9M | $6.0M | $-7.2M | N/A | $-8.9M | $10.2M | $89.3M |
| FY 2023 | $133.2M | $2.0M | $-8.8M | N/A | $5.2M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $133.2M in FY 2023 to $200.3M in FY 2025, while net income remained negative across all three reported periods. Per the market data, the operating margin is 0.4%, the gross margin and net margin are each 0%, and ROIC is 1.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic balance sheet metrics include an Altman Z-Score of 1.98, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.57. Debt declined from $89.3M in FY 2024 to $25.9M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $28.4M, though FCF was $-32.7M in FY 2025.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news wire contains six items, all dated within the last 15 hours of the data timestamp and all flagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label:
- A Yahoo Finance item announcing a Third Quarter 2026 conference call.
- A TradingView estimates item for BRCB.
- A MarketBeat item reporting that the rating was lowered to "Strong Sell" at Zacks Research.
- A Stock Titan item on a new coffee shop opening in Riverside with a promotional medium-drink price.
- A Benzinga item listing Consumer Discretionary stocks moving in an intraday session.
- A MarketBeat item reporting an average target price of $11.50.
Risk watch items from the wire include the downgrade to "Strong Sell" and the sharp contrast between the $11.50 average target and the Zacks rating. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What drives the gap between the $11.50 average target price and the "Strong Sell" rating reported by Zacks Research, and which analysts contribute to the target?
- Why is FY 2025 free cash flow at $-32.7M despite positive operating income of $0.9M, and what capital expenditures or working capital changes account for the difference?
- What are the reported EPS, P/E, and forward earnings estimates, which the source data does not provide?
- How did the cash balance and debt structure change in FY 2023, for which cash and debt are not reported?
- What is the company's unit economics and store-level growth trajectory behind the revenue increase from $133.2M to $200.3M?
BRCB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) (BRCB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
New Location Marks 9th Store in California Black Rock Coffee Bar Opening October 30 in Riverside, CA Black Rock Coffee Bar New Riverside, CA Location - Opening 10/30! Scottsdale, AZ, Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Bla
BRCB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.40?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BRCB (D- • RQD 36/100) a Buy at $10.59?
Welcome to the BRCB (Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 36/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on BRCB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BRCB, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
BRCB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BRCB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.59 (52-wk range $6.11 - $25.86), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.