Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BRSL / options

GENI (40) PRSU (53) PRKS (48) STUB (38) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$9.65 +0.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.64

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.77B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BRSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (NYSE: BRSL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $9.65 (+0.52% 1D, market cap $1.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BRSL ranks #821 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BRSL compare to GENI and PRSU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), BRSL carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.8%. By comparison, GENI (Genius Sports Limited) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.9%, cap $1.73B) and PRSU (Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 66.4x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $1.51B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRKS leads on earnings multiple (8.5x) while PRKS leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSL?

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Per BRSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001619762), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. generated $2.51B in revenue (-0.0% YoY), $147.0M in net income, and -$99.0M in free cash flow against $9.16B in total assets and $4.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.64 (-0.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRSL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BRSL SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.2) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$9.92-4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$9.43+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$9.50+1.6% Next Q

Current

Grade E$9.65-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BRSL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BRSL currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.26) and Max Pain ($10.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRSL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BRSL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6.7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BRSL)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BRSL.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BRSL)

✓Walkthrough of BRSL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BRSL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.05%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $9.29H $9.65L $9.29C $9.65VOL 2.23M

RES: $11.52SUP: $9.01SMA50: $10.26SMA200: $11.72

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRSL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BRSL Butterfly Map → + Track BRSL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRSL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRSL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRSL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRSL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #821 of 1011 ⚔️ GENI vs BRSL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BRSL vs. GENI, PRSU, PRKS, STUB)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) ranks #821 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #431 by equity capitalization ($1.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRKS leads on earnings valuation at 8.5x trailing P/E, while PRKS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PRSU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with BRSL at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BRSL ACTIVE Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025.	E	34/100	12.0x	—	16.8%	+0.52%	$1.77B	Benchmark Subject
GENI Genius Sports Limited	D-	40/100	—	23.0%	-26.9%	-1.55%	$1.73B	/geni-vs-brsl →
PRSU Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc.	D+	53/100	66.4x	92.3%	3.9%	-0.23%	$1.51B	/prsu-vs-brsl →
PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc.	D	48/100	8.5x	—	17.2%	-2.56%	$1.43B	/prks-vs-brsl →
STUB StubHub Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.69%	$2.22B	/stub-vs-brsl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001619762

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) reported GAAP revenue of $2.51B (-0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.51B , and -0.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $147.0M, operating cash flow of -$99.0M, and free cash flow of -$99.0M (-109.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRSL closed FY2025 with $9.16B in total assets against $4.06B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.51B	$147.0M	-$99.0M	-$99.0M	$9.16B	$4.06B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.51B	$348.0M	$1.05B	$1.05B	$10.28B	$5.15B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.53B	$156.0M	$1.01B	$1.01B	—	—

3. BRSL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BRSL compare to GENI and PRSU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRSL?

Where is BRSL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRSL last traded at $9.65 (+0.52% on volume of 1,615,250 shares), positioning the stock -5.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.26) and -17.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.72). Across its 52-week range of $9.10 to $17.59, BRSL sits at the 6.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($9.00 to $10.30).

BRSL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BRSL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BRSL.

Direct Sub-Reports: BRSL RQD Cockpit BRSL 12M Forecast BRSL Earnings & Move BRSL Dividends & DRIP BRSL Insiders & 13F BRSL Whale Options BRSL Profit Sankey BRSL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BRSL — Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BRSL carries an RQD Score of 34 out of 100, a letter grade of E, and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 10 / 20 (ROIC 16.8%; FCF yield -5.59%), indicating that the return on invested capital is respectable on paper but cash generation is negative relative to market value. Whale 13F Flow scores 5 / 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, a weak institutional signal. Insider Conviction scores 8 / 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, a below-midpoint reading. Macro Regime Fit scores 3 / 20 with a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity, the lowest pillar, suggesting limited tailwind from the prevailing macro backdrop. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 8 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 4.64), the forensic metrics pointing to elevated balance-sheet leverage and weak financial-health indicators. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside case rests mainly on the 16.8% ROIC and a trailing P/E of 12, while the valuation tradeoff is offset by negative free cash flow, very high leverage, and weak institutional and insider support. The rating therefore frames the stock as a forensic-risk name rather than a value candidate.

Business

Per the SEC financials and profile, Brightstar Lottery PLC (NYSE: BRSL) operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. The profile lists a market capitalization of $1.8B. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or revenue-generating mechanics beyond the sector and industry classification and the reported revenue figures.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$2511.0M	$0.0M	$147.0M	N/A	$-99.0M	$1446.0M	$4060.0M
FY 2024	$2512.0M	$686.0M	$348.0M	N/A	$1050.0M	$584.0M	$5153.0M
FY 2023	$2529.0M	$752.0M	$156.0M	N/A	$1012.0M	N/A	N/A

Per the market data, net margin is 5.9%, while gross and operating margins are each reported as 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 16.8%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9. Reported free cash flow turned negative to $-99.0M in FY 2025 after $1050.0M in FY 2024, and debt declined from $5153.0M to $4060.0M while cash rose to $1446.0M. Debt/Equity is reported at 4.64, indicating a highly leveraged balance sheet.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector membership (Consumer Discretionary / Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation) is the only available linkage, and the source data does not quantify sector correlations or identify second-order bottlenecks.

Open Questions

What is the composition and trajectory of the debt load behind the reported Debt/Equity of 4.64, and what is the maturity schedule?
What drove the swing from $1050.0M of FY 2024 free cash flow to $-99.0M in FY 2025, and is it recurring or one-time?
Why is operating income reported as $0.0M for FY 2025 while net income is $147.0M, and how do these reconcile?
What explains the gap between a 16.8% ROIC and negative free cash flow, and how is invested capital defined?
What are the revenue drivers and customer concentration within the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation business?

BRSL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. (BRSL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BRSL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago

Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (RSI) Q3 Earnings Top Estimates

Rush Street Interactive (RSI) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +7.14% and -1.69%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 5d ago

Brightstar Lottery PLC Repurchases 1,004,500 Ordinary Shares for $9,792,915.42

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 10d ago

Brightstar Lottery PLC Announces Repurchase of 357,600 Ordinary Shares

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 13d ago

Truist Securities Maintains Hold on Brightstar Lottery, Lowers Price Target to $11

Truist Securities analyst Barry Jonas maintains Brightstar Lottery (NYSE:BRSL) with a Hold and lowers the price target from $13 to $11.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 20d ago

Brightstar Lottery Enters Five-Year Licensing Agreement With Pan American World Airways To Develop And Distribute Pan Am-Themed Omnichannel Lottery Games Worldwide

Deal includes compelling instant tickets, innovative draw-based games, and engaging iLottery games. In addition to traditional game development, Brightstar will leverage Pan Am's decades of experience in the

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 26d ago

How Brightstar Lottery’s (BRSL) EUR 500 Million Refinancing Could Shape Its Investment Story

In late September 2026, IGT announced a collaboration with Ceremony of Roses to create a new immersive, concert-style gaming experience, unveiling the Queen Video Slots game on its Summit75 cabinet at the 2026 Global Gam

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 83d ago

Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Revenue hit $584 million as same-store sales accelerated and iLottery wagers surged 22%.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 131d ago

This is why Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL) is a Top UK Dividend Stock

Brightstar Lottery PLC (NYSE:BRSL) is one of the UK’s highest dividend stocks. While Brightstar Lottery PLC (NYSE:BRSL) has paid dividends for over 10 years, it boasts a quarterly dividend of $0.23 a share with a dividen

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BRSL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.65?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BRSL 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.45 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BRSL (E • RQD 34/100) a Buy at $9.60?

Welcome to the BRSL (Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.8% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.49 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $9.60

Pump the brakes on BRSL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BRSL, but look at what you are paying: 12.0x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading under the Legal Name to begin at the market open on July 21 2025. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.52 (+20.0%)

Spot @ $9.60

BRSL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BRSL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.60 (52-wk range $9.10 - $17.59), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.