Yahoo Finance report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why BURL Stock dropped -2.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BURL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Burlington Stores Inc. (NYSE: BURL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $237.09 (-2.17% 1D, market cap $15.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BURL ranks #371 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BURL compare to FIVE and BJ in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), BURL carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.0x, gross margin of 43.8%, and ROIC of 22.8%. By comparison, FIVE (Five Below Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 37.7x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $13.52B) and BJ (BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 25.3%, cap $13.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DG leads on earnings multiple (19.0x) while BJ leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BURL?
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Per BURL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001579298), Burlington Stores Inc. generated $11.55B in revenue (+8.8% YoY), $610.2M in net income, and $171.6M in free cash flow against $9.92B in total assets and $2.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.69 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.5% FCF Margin ($171.6M FCF) & 43.8% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BURL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, BURL faces multiple-compression risk if 25.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.60% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 41.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($258.16) or 200D SMA ($306.88) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($237.09) toward Bear Floor ($184.93).
Why BURL Stock dropped -2.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) dropped -2.17% to $237.09, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($226.85 – $378.33). Stretched risk/reward at 25x P/E (23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($226.85 – $378.33) with RSI-14 at 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.9% around $237.09 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 43.8% gross margin and $171.6M annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Burlington Stores (BURL) has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly report.
KMB's third-quarter results are likely to reflect weak consumer spending and rising costs, while product innovation and efficiency gains may offer some support.
Eni's rising earnings estimates and attractive valuation bolster its bullish outlook, while Burlington Stores faces falling profit forecasts, slowing sales and mounting downside risks.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BURL)
- ✓Walkthrough of BURL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
BURL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BURL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BURL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BURL)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BURL vs. FIVE, BJ, DLTR, DG)
Industry: Department/Specialty Retail Stores (11 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) ranks #371 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #128 by equity capitalization ($15.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DG leads on earnings valuation at 19.0x trailing P/E, while BJ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.3% ROIC and 18.6% gross margin. BJ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with BURL at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BURL
ACTIVE
Burlington Stores Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 25.0x | 43.8% | 22.8% | -2.17% | $15.22B | Benchmark Subject |
| FIVE Five Below Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 37.7x | 36.0% | 13.8% | -1.85% | $13.52B | /five-vs-burl → |
| BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. | A- | 81/100 | 23.0x | 18.6% | 25.3% | +1.81% | $13.31B | /bj-vs-burl → |
| DLTR Dollar Tree Inc. | B+ | 79/100 | 19.3x | 36.4% | 23.9% | +1.39% | $24.77B | /dltr-vs-burl → |
| DG Dollar General Corporation | B | 73/100 | 19.0x | 30.7% | 10.4% | +1.70% | $28.70B | /dg-vs-burl → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001579298In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) reported GAAP revenue of $11.55B (+8.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.62B , and +19.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $610.2M, operating cash flow of $1.23B, and free cash flow of $171.6M (+1108.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BURL closed FY2025 with $9.92B in total assets against $2.32B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.69, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-31 | $11.55B | $610.2M | $1.23B | $171.6M | $9.92B | $2.32B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-02-01 | $10.62B | $503.6M | $863.4M | -$17.0M | $8.77B | $2.05B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-02-03 | $9.71B | $339.6M | $868.7M | $431.8M | $11.65B | $2.73B |
3. BURL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BURL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Burlington Stores Inc. (NYSE: BURL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $237.09 (-2.17% 1D, market cap $15.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BURL ranks #371 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BURL compare to FIVE and BJ in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), BURL carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.0x, gross margin of 43.8%, and ROIC of 22.8%. By comparison, FIVE (Five Below Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 37.7x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $13.52B) and BJ (BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 25.3%, cap $13.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DG leads on earnings multiple (19.0x) while BJ leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BURL?
Per BURL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001579298), Burlington Stores Inc. generated $11.55B in revenue (+8.8% YoY), $610.2M in net income, and $171.6M in free cash flow against $9.92B in total assets and $2.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (44% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BURL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BURL last traded at $237.09 (-2.17% on volume of 1,095,825 shares), positioning the stock -8.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($258.16) and -22.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($306.88). Across its 52-week range of $226.85 to $378.33, BURL sits at the 6.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($218.36 to $255.82).
BURL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BURL stock moving today?
Why BURL Stock dropped -2.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 25x P/E (23% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
BURL — Burlington Stores Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, BURL scores 58 out of 100, equivalent to a letter grade of D+ and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are as follows:
- Fundamental Cash Engine (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 22.8% and an FCF yield of 1.13%. The ROIC figure is strong relative to the other inputs, while the thin FCF yield signals that the cash generated per dollar of market value is modest at the current price.
- Whale 13F Flow (6 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning and scores low, indicating limited institutional tailwind in the source data.
- Insider Conviction (14 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow and scores moderately, though the underlying trade-level detail is not included in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit (7 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.97 and this pillar captures sector sensitivity. The low score suggests the stock does not screen favorably on macro regime alignment.
- Forensic Balance Sheet (16 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.69, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 1.11. This is the strongest pillar and points to a financially sound balance sheet.
Investor implications: the upside drivers in the source data are the high ROIC and the strong forensic balance sheet. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the P/E of 25 on a TTM basis against a forward P/E of 23.3 and an FCF yield of 1.13%, meaning the market is pricing in earnings growth that the cash-flow metrics do not yet confirm. Weak institutional flow and a low macro-fit score reduce the confidence an investor can place in near-term price momentum. This analysis is educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $11549.6M | $720.0M | $610.2M | N/A | $171.6M | $1232.5M | $2321.1M |
| FY 2024 | $10616.7M | $594.3M | $503.6M | N/A | $-17.0M | $994.7M | $2052.3M |
| FY 2023 | $9709.0M | $400.8M | $339.6M | N/A | $431.8M | N/A | $2726.3M |
Per the market data, gross margin is 43.8%, operating margin is 6.4%, and net margin is 5.3%, with ROIC of 22.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.69 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity of 1.11. Per the SEC financials, debt declined from $2726.3M in FY 2023 to $2321.1M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $1232.5M, and FCF turned positive at $171.6M in FY 2025 after a negative $-17.0M in FY 2024.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, the items are as follows:
- GREEN / CATALYST: A Moomoo report on earnings growth screening, and a Simply Wall St report questioning whether recent earnings shifted the investment narrative.
- YELLOW / MARKET WIRE: Yahoo Finance and GuruFocus items, the latter reporting that JPMorgan Chase & Co added BURL and that shares look roughly 10% undervalued on GF Value.
- RED / RISK WATCH: TradingView and Zacks "Bear of the Day" items flagging negative positioning.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply-chain designation is NONE, there are no butterfly links, and there are no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the EPS figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, since the source reports EPS as N/A for all periods?
- What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is recorded as N/A?
- What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, given that analyst data is empty?
- Which institutions and insiders drove the 13F and Form 4 flows that produced the pillar scores?
- What drove the FY 2025 FCF swing from -$17.0M to $171.6M, and is it repeatable?
BURL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Burlington Stores (BURL) has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly report.
BURL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $237.09?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BURL (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $242.36?
Welcome to the BURL (Burlington Stores Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Department/Specialty Retail Stores. Bulls point to capital efficiency (22.8% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on BURL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BURL, but look at what you are paying: 25.0x trailing P/E with 43.8% gross margins. Unless Burlington Stores Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
BURL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BURL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Department/Specialty Retail Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $242.36 (52-wk range $226.85 - $378.33), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.