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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BWMN / forecast
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Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$42.89 -0.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.81

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $743.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BWMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: BWMN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $42.89 (-0.02% 1D, market cap $743.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BWMN ranks #331 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BWMN compare to BBSI and KELYB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BWMN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 57.8x, gross margin of 53.4%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, BBSI (Barrett Business Services Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 14.4x, ROIC 33.6%, cap $788.4M) and KELYB (Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $949.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBSI leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while BBSI leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BWMN?
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Per BWMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847590), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. generated $490.0M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), $12.8M in net income, and $33.4M in free cash flow against $579.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.81 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 6.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C- · Rk C-
Cash (10)Whales (14)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$51 Bull$43 Base$34 Bear
📬 FREE BWMN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BWMN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BWMN SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±1.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.33 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (73.6) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$42.74+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$42.79+0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$42.87+0% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$42.89+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BWMN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, BWMN faces multiple-compression risk if 57.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 58x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.66) or 200D SMA ($34.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($43.28) toward Bear Floor ($33.76).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BWMN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BWMN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BWMN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $42.89: 233.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $33.76
$7,871
$-2,129 (-21.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $43.28
$10,091
+$91 (+0.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $51.07
$11,907
+$1,907 (+19.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4574%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$4869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BWMN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BWMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +32.09%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $42.86H $42.90L $42.86C $42.89VOL 312.5K
RES: $42.93SMA50: $42.66SMA200: $34.41
$44.39$39.16$33.92$28.68$23.44RES $42.93$42.892026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BWMN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BWMN Butterfly Map → + Track BWMN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
40.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BWMN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BWMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BWMN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BWMN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #331 of 1009 ⚔️ BBSI vs BWMN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BWMN vs. BBSI, KELYB, KELYA, KFRC)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) ranks #331 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #544 by equity capitalization ($743.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBSI leads on earnings valuation at 14.4x trailing P/E, while BBSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and 21.0% gross margin. KFRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with BWMN at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BWMN ACTIVE
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.
C- 60/100 57.8x 53.4% 6.2% -0.02% $743.7M Benchmark Subject
BBSI
Barrett Business Services Inc.
C+ 68/100 14.4x 21.0% 33.6% +2.67% $788.4M /bbsi-vs-bwmn →
KELYB
Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)
C 62/100 — 20.1% -5.8% -2.58% $949.7M /kelyb-vs-bwmn →
KELYA
Kelly Services Inc. (Class A)
C 63/100 — 20.1% -5.8% +1.51% $576.2M /kelya-vs-bwmn →
KFRC
Kforce Inc.
B 75/100 29.8x 27.2% 32.3% +1.50% $1.03B /kfrc-vs-bwmn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001847590 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) reported GAAP revenue of $490.0M (+14.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $426.6M , and +41.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.8M, operating cash flow of $35.8M, and free cash flow of $33.4M (+41.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, BWMN closed FY2025 with $579.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $490.0M $12.8M $35.8M $33.4M $579.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $426.6M $3.0M $24.3M $23.7M $505.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $346.3M -$6.6M $11.7M $11.7M — —

3. BWMN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BWMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: BWMN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $42.89 (-0.02% 1D, market cap $743.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BWMN ranks #331 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BWMN compare to BBSI and KELYB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BWMN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 57.8x, gross margin of 53.4%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, BBSI (Barrett Business Services Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 14.4x, ROIC 33.6%, cap $788.4M) and KELYB (Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $949.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBSI leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while BBSI leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BWMN?

Per BWMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847590), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. generated $490.0M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), $12.8M in net income, and $33.4M in free cash flow against $579.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BWMN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BWMN last traded at $42.89 (-0.02% on volume of 306,494 shares), positioning the stock +0.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.66) and +24.64% above its 200-day simple moving average ($34.41). Across its 52-week range of $25.07 to $45.00, BWMN sits at the 89.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 73.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($42.12 to $43.66).

Direct Sub-Reports: BWMN RQD Cockpit BWMN 12M Forecast BWMN Earnings & Move BWMN Dividends & DRIP BWMN Insiders & 13F BWMN Whale Options BWMN Profit Sankey BWMN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BWMN — Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 60/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $42.89 (-0.02% 1D, market capitalization $743.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.2%, gross margin of 53.4%, operating margin of 4.0%, and free cash flow yield of 4.50%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.33, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. Is listed on NASDAQ under the ticker BWMN..

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) reported $490.0M in annual revenue (up from $426.6M in FY2024, +14.9% YoY) and $12.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($346.3M revenue, -$6.6M net income) through FY2025, BWMN scaled operating cash flow to $35.8M and free cash flow to $33.4M, backed by $579.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 60/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 4.50% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $25.07 – $45.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 57.8x trailing P/E and 33.7x EV/EBITDA against 4.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Professional Services (Consumer Discretionary), BWMN carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 53.4%.

  • Key Question #1: Can BWMN sustain or expand its 4.0% operating margin and 6.2% ROIC against Professional Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $490.0M and free cash flow of $33.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BWMN's 48.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BWMN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BWMN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BWMN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $42.89?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BWMN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BWMN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $50.62 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $346.3M in FY 2023 to $490.0M in FY 2025 while operating income swung to $19.7M.

Here is why I am bullish on BWMN here at $42.90: Revenue grew from $346.3M in FY 2023 to $490.0M in FY 2025 while operating income swung to $19.7M.. Compare BWMN's 4.0% operating margin and 6.2% ROIC against the rest of Professional Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $40.75 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — BWMN's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.75 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $42.90

A trailing P/E of 57.8 and EV/EBITDA of 33.7 sit against a 6.2% ROIC and 4.5% FCF yield.

I respect the product at Bowman Consulting Group Ltd., but the stock at $42.90 is a different story. A trailing P/E of 57.8 and EV/EBITDA of 33.7 sit against a 6.2% ROIC and 4.5% FCF yield.. FCF yield is 4.5% and RQD sits at 60/100 (C-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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