Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BYD / earnings

CHH (59) RRR (51) WH (56) ATAT (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.6% Move

$72.83 +0.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $72.76

Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.12B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BYD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BYD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Boyd Gaming Corporation (NYSE: BYD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $72.83 (+0.55% 1D, market cap $5.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BYD ranks #494 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BYD compare to CHH and RRR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), BYD carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.7%. By comparison, CHH (Choice Hotels International Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 17.3%, cap $5.10B) and RRR (Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $5.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHH leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while ATAT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BYD?

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Per BYD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000906553), Boyd Gaming Corporation generated $4.09B in revenue (+4.1% YoY), $1.84B in net income, and $388.5M in free cash flow against $6.57B in total assets and $2.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $72.76 (-0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 9.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BYD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BYD SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.44 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 18.3% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$70.46+1.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$71.62+0.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$71.88+1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$72.83-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BYD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BYD currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($72.90) and Max Pain ($76.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $95.98.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BYD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BYD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.6% Swing Band

±$4.08 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BYD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.1%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$4.09B	$1.84B	$388.5M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$3.93B	$578.0M	$556.7M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$3.74B	$620.0M	$746.3M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BYD)

✓Walkthrough of BYD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BYD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.14%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $70.77H $72.83L $70.77C $72.83VOL 964.3K

RES: $94.33SUP: $59.10SMA50: $72.90SMA200: $81.66

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BYD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BYD Butterfly Map → + Track BYD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BYD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BYD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BYD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BYD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #494 of 1011 ⚔️ CHH vs BYD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BYD vs. CHH, RRR, WH, ATAT)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) ranks #494 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #266 by equity capitalization ($5.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHH leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while ATAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ATAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with BYD at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BYD ACTIVE Boyd Gaming Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	13.7%	+0.55%	$5.12B	Benchmark Subject
CHH Choice Hotels International Inc.	C-	59/100	13.8x	—	17.3%	-1.60%	$5.10B	/chh-vs-byd →
RRR Red Rock Resorts Inc. (Class A)	D	51/100	14.5x	—	13.7%	-0.10%	$5.17B	/rrr-vs-byd →
WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc.	D+	56/100	29.1x	—	16.2%	-2.25%	$5.61B	/wh-vs-byd →
ATAT Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited	B-	71/100	19.2x	—	85.0%	-0.43%	$4.44B	/atat-vs-byd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000906553

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) reported GAAP revenue of $4.09B (+4.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.93B , and +9.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.84B, operating cash flow of $976.7M, and free cash flow of $388.5M (-30.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, BYD closed FY2025 with $6.57B in total assets against $2.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.44, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.09B	$1.84B	$976.7M	$388.5M	$6.57B	$2.05B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.93B	$578.0M	$957.1M	$556.7M	$6.39B	$3.13B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.74B	$620.0M	$914.5M	$746.3M	$4.49B	$1.05B

3. BYD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BYD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BYD compare to CHH and RRR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BYD?

Where is BYD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BYD last traded at $72.83 (+0.55% on volume of 1,131,729 shares), positioning the stock -0.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($72.90) and -10.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($81.66). Across its 52-week range of $65.00 to $91.41, BYD sits at the 29.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($68.75 to $76.91).

BYD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is BYD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is BYD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.6% event move for BYD, spanning a range between $68.75 and $76.91.

Direct Sub-Reports: BYD RQD Cockpit BYD 12M Forecast BYD Earnings & Move BYD Dividends & DRIP BYD Insiders & 13F BYD Whale Options BYD Profit Sankey BYD News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BYD — Boyd Gaming Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BYD carries an RQD Score of 53, a letter grade of D+, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7 / 20 (ROIC 13.7%; FCF yield 7.59%), Whale 13F Flow at 8 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8 / 20 (Beta 1.05; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14 / 20 (Altman Z 2.44; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.78). The weakest pillars are Fundamental Cash Engine and Whale 13F Flow, each scoring 8 or below out of 20. The strongest pillar is Insider Conviction. For a prospective investor, the rating implies that the cash-generation case is the principal weakness, while the balance-sheet forensics are comparatively sound. The 7.59% FCF yield and 13.7% ROIC are the upside anchors cited in the rating, but the low pillar scores signal that these have not translated into strong institutional or macro support. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: EV/EBITDA of 5.5 and a 1.14% dividend yield sit alongside a 53 overall score, so any appeal rests on cash-flow durability rather than on a rating-supported thesis.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$4092.0M	$748.4M	$1843.3M	N/A	$388.5M	$353.4M	$2045.6M
FY 2024	$3930.2M	$927.8M	$578.0M	N/A	$556.7M	$316.7M	$3132.6M
FY 2023	$3738.5M	$901.8M	$620.0M	N/A	$746.3M	N/A	$1049.8M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $3738.5M in FY 2023 to $4092.0M in FY 2025, while operating income declined from $901.8M to $748.4M over the same span. FY 2025 net income of $1843.3M exceeds operating income, and the source data reports a net margin of 45% and a gross margin of 0%; the source data does not explain this relationship. Per the market data, the operating margin is 18.3% and ROIC is 13.7%. Per the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar, the Altman Z-Score is 2.44, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.78. Debt fell from $3132.6M in FY 2024 to $2045.6M in FY 2025, while FCF declined from $746.3M in FY 2023 to $388.5M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Market wire (Yahoo! Finance Canada, YELLOW): General market-action report on BYD; no specific fundamental catalyst stated in the source data.
Market wire (Seeking Alpha, YELLOW): Headline "Boyd Gaming: The Market Sees Trouble, I See An Opportunity." No further detail is provided in the source data.
Risk watch (TradingView, RED): Headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $88.65, which the source states implies 23% upside.
Catalyst (marketscreener.com, GREEN): Headline "Boyd Gaming Shares Rise After Deutsche Bank Upgrade."
Market wire (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW): Headline states BYD underperforms as weak Las Vegas tourism weighs on results.
Market wire (MarketBeat, YELLOW): Headline reports a consensus price target of $93.86 according to brokerages.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What are the reported trailing and forward EPS figures, given that EPS, P/E, and forward P/E are all unavailable in source data?
Why does FY 2025 net income ($1843.3M) exceed operating income ($748.4M), and what drives the 45% net margin against a 0% gross margin?
What specifically caused the FY 2025 decline in FCF from $746.3M (FY 2023) to $388.5M, and how does it relate to the Las Vegas tourism weakness cited in the news wire?
Which analyst brokerages make up the consensus price target, and what are their ratings?
What is the company's business model in detail, including revenue segments and geographic exposure?

BYD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BYD Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 11h ago

Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 14h ago

Boyd Gaming: The Market Sees Trouble, I See An Opportunity

Seeking Alpha report covering Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 17h ago

Boyd Gaming Corporation Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $88.65, Implies 23% Upside

TradingView report covering Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST marketscreener.com • 20h ago

Boyd Gaming Shares Rise After Deutsche Bank Upgrade

marketscreener.com report covering Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) Underperforms as Weak Las Vegas Tourism Weighs on Results

Yahoo Finance report covering Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Boyd Gaming Corporation (NYSE:BYD) Stock Has Consensus Price Target of $93.86 According to Brokerages

MarketBeat report covering Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Boyd Gaming: Odds Aren't In Your Favor (Just Yet)

Seeking Alpha report covering Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

What Boyd Gaming (BYD) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

TradingView report covering Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BYD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $72.83?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BYD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $78.22 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BYD (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $72.43?

Welcome to the BYD (Boyd Gaming Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $57.22 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $72.43

Pump the brakes on BYD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BYD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Boyd Gaming Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $89.81 (+24.0%)

Spot @ $72.43

BYD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BYD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $72.43 (52-wk range $65.00 - $91.41), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.