Seeking Alpha report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why CABA Stock dropped -4.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CABA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Cabaletta Bio Inc. (NASDAQ: CABA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $1.51 (-4.73% 1D, market cap $268.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CABA ranks #742 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CABA compare to IPSC and LCTX in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), CABA carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IPSC (Century Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.1%, cap $264.4M) and LCTX (Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $260.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CABA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IPSC leads on capital efficiency (-14.1% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CABA?
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Per CABA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759138), Cabaletta Bio Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$167.9M in net income, and -$132.3M in free cash flow against $165.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CABA Turnaround Squeeze
While CABA currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.27) and Max Pain ($1.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.44.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why CABA Stock dropped -4.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) dropped -4.73% to $1.51, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($1.32 – $4.23). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($1.32 – $4.23) with RSI-14 at 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.51 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Timothy Sykes report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MyChesCo report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StocksToTrade report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Manila Times report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CABA)
- ✓Walkthrough of CABA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
CABA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CABA today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CABA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CABA)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CABA vs. IPSC, LCTX, FATE, OCGN)
Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) ranks #742 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #533 by equity capitalization ($268.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CABA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IPSC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -14.1% ROIC and — gross margin. FATE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 36/100 (D-) compared with CABA at 33/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CABA
ACTIVE
Cabaletta Bio Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.73% | $268.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| IPSC Century Therapeutics Inc. | E | 18/100 | — | — | -14.1% | +0.69% | $264.4M | /ipsc-vs-caba → |
| LCTX Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc. | E | 22/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.91% | $260.5M | /lctx-vs-caba → |
| FATE Fate Therapeutics Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.15% | $260.0M | /fate-vs-caba → |
| OCGN Ocugen Inc. | E | 25/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -5.58% | $252.4M | /ocgn-vs-caba → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001759138In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$167.9M, operating cash flow of -$131.1M, and free cash flow of -$132.3M (-46.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CABA closed FY2025 with $165.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$167.9M | -$131.1M | -$132.3M | $165.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$115.9M | -$88.2M | -$90.4M | $185.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$67.7M | -$53.5M | -$53.5M | — | — |
3. CABA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CABA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Cabaletta Bio Inc. (NASDAQ: CABA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $1.51 (-4.73% 1D, market cap $268.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CABA ranks #742 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CABA compare to IPSC and LCTX in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), CABA carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IPSC (Century Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.1%, cap $264.4M) and LCTX (Lineage Cell Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $260.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CABA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IPSC leads on capital efficiency (-14.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CABA?
Per CABA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759138), Cabaletta Bio Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$167.9M in net income, and -$132.3M in free cash flow against $165.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CABA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CABA last traded at $1.51 (-4.73% on volume of 3,757,101 shares), positioning the stock -33.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.27) and -47.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.85). Across its 52-week range of $1.32 to $4.23, CABA sits at the 6.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.32 to $1.70).
CABA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CABA stock moving today?
Why CABA Stock dropped -4.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
CABA — Cabaletta Bio Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, CABA scores 33 out of 100, a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillars are Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction, both of which sit at the low end of their ranges, while the Fundamental Cash Engine reflects a negative return on invested capital and zero free-cash-flow yield. The Forensic Balance Sheet score is the strongest of the five but still only half of its maximum. For a prospective investor, the rating implies that the reported cash-generation profile, institutional and insider signals, and balance-sheet quality all weigh against the position at current levels. The 52-week range of $1.32 to $4.23 against a price of $1.59 shows the stock trading near the lower end of its recent band, which an investor would need to weigh against the negative fundamental and flow readings rather than treat as a standalone signal.
Business
Cabaletta Bio Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating within the Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) industry. Per the company profile, the market capitalization is $0.3B. The source data does not identify the company's specific products, customers, or revenue model. Reported revenue for FY 2025 is $0.0M, consistent with the absence of revenue in the reported periods.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $-172.2M | $-167.9M | N/A | $-132.3M | $83.0M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $-125.1M | $-115.9M | N/A | $-90.4M | $164.0M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $-74.7M | $-67.7M | N/A | $-53.5M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, reported operating and net losses widened across the three periods, with operating income moving from $-74.7M in FY 2023 to $-172.2M in FY 2025. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data, and ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2 of 9, per the forensic balance-sheet inputs in the Roarable RQD rating. Cash declined from $164.0M in FY 2024 to $83.0M in FY 2025, and Debt/Equity is 0.5; period-level debt values are not available in source data.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the news wire, six items reference CABA. Two are flagged RISK WATCH (RED): a Timothy Sykes report headlined "CABA Stock Slips As Traders Weigh Cash Runway And Losses," and a StocksToTrade report with a similar cash-runway theme. Four are flagged YELLOW as MARKET WIRE: a Seeking Alpha item on a 40% sell-off and cash concerns, a TradingView estimates page, a Simply Wall St item on insider purchases losing roughly US$60k, and a MyChesCo item on 385,000 stock options granted to new hires. The news wire lists no proprietary signals in the Butterfly graph. The recurring catalyst themes across the wire are cash runway, losses, and the sell-off, with insider and option-grant activity as secondary items.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain: NONE; butterfly links: none; proprietary signals: none. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. The sector classification (Health Care / Biological Products) and beta of 1.0 are the only available context for sensitivity to broader biotech moves, and the source data does not quantify any such correlation.
Open Questions
- What is the company's product pipeline, and what clinical or regulatory milestones are scheduled, given the absence of revenue in reported periods?
- What is the explanation for the cash decline from $164.0M to $83.0M, and what is the runway implied by the FY 2025 burn rate of $-132.3M in FCF?
- What are the period-level debt figures behind the Debt/Equity of 0.5, given that debt is listed as N/A in every reported period?
- What is the scope and timing of the insider purchases and the 385,000-option grant referenced in the news wire?
- What is the supply-chain and partnership exposure, given that the Butterfly graph reports no links?
CABA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Seeking Alpha report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Timothy Sykes report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MyChesCo report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StocksToTrade report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Manila Times report covering Cabaletta Bio Inc. (CABA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CABA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.51?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CABA (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $1.59?
Welcome to the CABA (Cabaletta Bio Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on CABA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CABA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Cabaletta Bio Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
CABA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CABA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.59 (52-wk range $1.32 - $4.23), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.