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MVBF (45) BCML (61) COSO (73) JMSB (66) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$51.51 +1.82% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.58

Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $332.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CBNA Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CBNA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: CBNA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $51.51 (+1.82% 1D, market cap $332.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CBNA ranks #468 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CBNA compare to MVBF and BCML in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CBNA carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.7x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, MVBF (MVB Financial Corp.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $330.3M) and BCML (BayCom Corp) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 14.1x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $336.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, COSO leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while CBNA leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBNA?
β–Ό

Per CBNA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001392272), Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) generated $735.2M in revenue (+24.9% YoY), $20.2M in net income, and $11.5M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.58 (+0.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 1.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C- Β· Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (14)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$61 Bull$52 Base$40 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CBNA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBNA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CBNA SCORES 58/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±7.8% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$49.32+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$49.34+4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$51.36+0.3% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$51.51+0% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D+ (58)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CBNA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, CBNA faces multiple-compression risk if 16.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($48.14) or 200D SMA ($40.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($51.51) toward Bear Floor ($40.18).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBNAβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCBNA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CBNA)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CBNA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CBNA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +40.97%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $51.40H $51.51L $50.59C $51.51VOL 10.0K
RES: $55.79SUP: $47.87SMA50: $48.14SMA200: $40.72
$55.61$49.39$43.18$36.96$30.74RES $55.79SUP $47.87$51.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBNA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ CBNA Butterfly Map β†’ + Track CBNA β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
9.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +24.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBNA today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBNA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBNA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBNA)

Financials Rank #468 of 1097 βš”οΈ MVBF vs CBNA Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CBNA vs. MVBF, BCML, COSO, JMSB)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) ranks #468 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #788 by equity capitalization ($332.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, COSO leads on earnings valuation at 13.2x trailing P/E, while CBNA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. COSO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with CBNA at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CBNA ACTIVE
Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A)
D+ 58/100 16.7x β€” 12.0% +1.82% $332.0M Benchmark Subject
MVBF
MVB Financial Corp.
D 45/100 β€” β€” 0.0% +3.10% $330.3M /mvbf-vs-cbna β†’
BCML
BayCom Corp
C- 61/100 14.1x β€” 7.1% +1.79% $336.0M /bcml-vs-cbna β†’
COSO
CoastalSouth Bancshares Inc.
B 73/100 13.2x β€” 9.6% +1.29% $327.1M /coso-vs-cbna β†’
JMSB
John Marshall Bancorp Inc.
C+ 66/100 15.4x β€” 8.0% +1.35% $323.7M /jmsb-vs-cbna β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001392272 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) reported GAAP revenue of $735.2M (+24.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $588.5M , and +1130.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.2M, operating cash flow of $15.6M, and free cash flow of $11.5M (-46.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBNA closed FY2025 with $1.75B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $735.2M $20.2M $15.6M $11.5M $1.75B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $588.5M $20.9M $21.8M $21.6M $1.40B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $59.8M $8.8M $12.8M $12.8M β€” β€”

3. CBNA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBNA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: CBNA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $51.51 (+1.82% 1D, market cap $332.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CBNA ranks #468 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBNA compare to MVBF and BCML in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CBNA carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.7x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, MVBF (MVB Financial Corp.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $330.3M) and BCML (BayCom Corp) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 14.1x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $336.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, COSO leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while CBNA leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBNA?

Per CBNA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001392272), Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) generated $735.2M in revenue (+24.9% YoY), $20.2M in net income, and $11.5M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBNA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBNA last traded at $51.51 (+1.82% on volume of 15,348 shares), positioning the stock +7.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($48.14) and +26.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($40.72). Across its 52-week range of $28.14 to $54.11, CBNA sits at the 90.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.8% ($47.49 to $55.53).

Direct Sub-Reports: CBNA RQD Cockpit CBNA 12M Forecast CBNA Earnings & Move CBNA Dividends & DRIP CBNA Insiders & 13F CBNA Whale Options CBNA Profit Sankey CBNA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 58/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CBNA β€” Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $51.51 (+1.82% 1D, market capitalization $332.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.0%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of 3.40%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) is listed on the NYSE under the ticker CBNA..

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) reported $735.2M in annual revenue (up from $588.5M in FY2024, +24.9% YoY) and $20.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($59.8M revenue, $8.8M net income) through FY2025, CBNA scaled operating cash flow to $15.6M and free cash flow to $11.5M, backed by $1.75B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 58/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 3.40% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $28.14 – $54.11 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 16.7x trailing P/E against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Major Banks (Financials), CBNA carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can CBNA sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and 12.0% ROIC against Major Banks peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $735.2M and free cash flow of $11.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CBNA's 15.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CBNA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A) (CBNA) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CBNA Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CBNA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $51.51?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CBNA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CBNA:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Verified $100K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $63.24 (+25.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional whale flow (14/20) and insider conviction (13/20) score in the mid-range alongside a 12% ROIC and a Raymond James upgrade

Don't sleep on CBNA's setup in Financials. Institutional whale flow (14/20) and insider conviction (13/20) score in the mid-range alongside a 12% ROIC and a Raymond James upgrade on rate outlook.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (58/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” CBNA's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $43.00 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $50.59

The RQD rating is a D+ Sell, with the cash engine scoring 8/20 on a 3.4% FCF yield and a Q3 earnings miss, weak Piotroski F-Score (3/9)

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short CBNA above $50.59. The RQD rating is a D+ Sell, with the cash engine scoring 8/20 on a 3.4% FCF yield and a Q3 earnings miss, weak Piotroski F-Score (3/9), and free cash flow declining from $21.6M to $11.5M.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20) and FCF yield (3.4%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $54.11.

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