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Stock Ratings / Financials / CBNK / options
RRBI (70) BHB (65) MSBI (54) BCAL (62) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Capital Bancorp Inc. (CBNK) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$41.72 -0.60% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.78

Capital Bancorp Inc. (CBNK) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $679.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CBNK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CBNK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Capital Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: CBNK) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $41.72 (-0.60% 1D, market cap $679.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CBNK ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CBNK compare to RRBI and BHB in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CBNK carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.2%. By comparison, RRBI (Red River Bancshares Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 15.7x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $680.2M) and BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $678.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCAL leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while CBNK leads on capital efficiency (14.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBNK?
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Per CBNK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001419536), Capital Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $57.2M in net income, and $69.7M in free cash flow against $3.61B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.77 (+0.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 1.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$53 Bull$45 Base$34 Bear
📬 FREE CBNK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBNK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CBNK SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.7% FCF Margin ($69.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (67.3) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$38.72+4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$40.49+2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$41.56+0.4% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$41.72+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CBNK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, CBNK faces multiple-compression risk if 12.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.22) or 200D SMA ($33.97) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($44.72) toward Bear Floor ($34.21).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBNK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CBNK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±4.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CBNK)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CBNK.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CBNK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CBNK
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CBNK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +35.45%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $41.97H $41.97L $41.72C $41.72VOL 112.9K
RES: $42.53SUP: $37.57SMA50: $38.22SMA200: $33.97
$43.24$39.63$36.03$32.42$28.81RES $42.53SUP $37.57$41.722026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBNK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CBNK Butterfly Map → + Track CBNK →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBNK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBNK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBNK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBNK)

Financials Rank #53 of 1096 ⚔️ RRBI vs CBNK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CBNK vs. RRBI, BHB, MSBI, BCAL)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Capital Bancorp Inc. (CBNK) ranks #53 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #630 by equity capitalization ($679.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while CBNK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.2% ROIC and — gross margin. CBNK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CBNK ACTIVE
Capital Bancorp Inc.
B 74/100 12.0x — 14.2% -0.60% $679.6M Benchmark Subject
RRBI
Red River Bancshares Inc.
B- 70/100 15.7x — 11.7% +1.19% $680.2M /rrbi-vs-cbnk →
BHB
Bar Harbor Bankshares Inc.
C 65/100 18.6x — 6.9% -1.17% $678.0M /bhb-vs-cbnk →
MSBI
Midland States Bancorp Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — -22.0% -3.01% $682.5M /msbi-vs-cbnk →
BCAL
California BanCorp
C 62/100 10.9x — 10.9% +0.19% $690.6M /bcal-vs-cbnk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001419536

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Capital Bancorp Inc. (CBNK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $57.2M, operating cash flow of $69.7M, and free cash flow of $69.7M (+99.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBNK closed FY2025 with $3.61B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $57.2M $69.7M $69.7M $3.61B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $31.0M $34.9M $34.9M $3.21B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $35.9M $47.4M $47.4M — —

3. CBNK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBNK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Capital Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: CBNK) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $41.72 (-0.60% 1D, market cap $679.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CBNK ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBNK compare to RRBI and BHB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CBNK carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.2%. By comparison, RRBI (Red River Bancshares Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 15.7x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $680.2M) and BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $678.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCAL leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while CBNK leads on capital efficiency (14.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBNK?

Per CBNK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001419536), Capital Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $57.2M in net income, and $69.7M in free cash flow against $3.61B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBNK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBNK last traded at $41.72 (-0.60% on volume of 112,924 shares), positioning the stock +9.16% above its 50-day simple moving average ($38.22) and +22.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($33.97). Across its 52-week range of $26.40 to $42.37, CBNK sits at the 95.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($39.88 to $43.56).

CBNK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CBNK's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CBNK.

Direct Sub-Reports: CBNK RQD Cockpit CBNK 12M Forecast CBNK Earnings & Move CBNK Dividends & DRIP CBNK Insiders & 13F CBNK Whale Options CBNK Profit Sankey CBNK News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CBNK — Capital Bancorp Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:53Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CBNK scores 75 out of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The score is built from five pillars. The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 16 of 20 and references an ROIC of 14.2% and an FCF yield of 10.2%, indicating the cash-generation profile is a meaningful contributor to the score. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 16 of 20 and reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning, though the underlying flow detail is not itemized in the source data. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 17 of 20, the highest of the five, and references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow; the specific transactions are not itemized in the source data. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 13 of 20 with a beta of 1.0 and a noted sector sensitivity. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 and references an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside drivers implied by the score are the cash-generation metrics and the insider-conviction reading. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: a trailing P/E of 12 and forward P/E of 11.2 are presented alongside an EPS (TTM) of 3.51 and a price of 41.97, which places the stock near the upper portion of its reported 52-week range. The balance sheet and macro pillars are the more moderate contributors, suggesting the rating rests less on balance-sheet strength and more on cash flow and insider activity. This analysis is educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$57.2MN/A$69.7MN/AN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-3.7M$31.0MN/A$34.9MN/AN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-4.6M$35.9MN/A$47.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net income rose from $31.0M in FY 2024 to $57.2M in FY 2025, and free cash flow rose from $34.9M to $69.7M over the same period. Reported gross, operating, and net margins in the market data are each 0%, and the financials report revenue as $0.0M for each period, so margin analysis is not supported by the source data. The Roarable RQD rating references an ROIC of 14.2% and an FCF yield of 10.2%. The rating also references an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5, though the underlying cash and debt balances are not itemized in the financials. Not available in source data for additional balance sheet detail.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the most prominent headline reports that Capital Bancorp's Q3 earnings and revenues lagged estimates, and a related GuruFocus report cites EPS of $0.80 against an estimated $0.92 with a GF Score of 73/100. These are tagged as RED, RISK WATCH items. A separate report describes Stephens downgrading CBNK to a Hold, also tagged RED, RISK WATCH. The remaining feed items, sourced from Yahoo Finance, TradingView, and www.debelegger.nl, are tagged YELLOW, MARKET WIRE, and are general stock-coverage or key-metrics pieces without specific new facts. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links identified. The sector is Financials and the industry is Major Banks, but no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are recorded in the source data. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies. Not available in source data for sector correlations. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means the source data cannot identify ripple effects from this graph.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's revenue and operating income figures, given that the source reports $0.0M for revenue in each period and 0% for all margins?
  • What drove the Q3 earnings shortfall relative to the cited estimates, and how does it reconcile with the FY 2025 net income increase?
  • What are the specific SEC Form 4 insider and Congressional PTR transactions underlying the Insider Conviction pillar, and who were the participants?
  • What are the cash and debt balances underlying the reported Debt/Equity of 0.5 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9?
  • What is the basis of the Stephens downgrade to Hold, and are there any analyst price targets or consensus ratings available?

CBNK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Capital Bancorp Inc. (CBNK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CBNK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CBNK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $41.72?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CBNK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CBNK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $49.52 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CBNK (B • RQD 75/100) a Buy at $41.97?

Welcome to the CBNK (Capital Bancorp Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 75/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Major Banks. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.2% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.84 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $41.97

Pump the brakes on CBNK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CBNK, but look at what you are paying: 12.0x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Capital Bancorp Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $48.27 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $41.97

CBNK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CBNK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $41.97 (52-wk range $26.40 - $42.37), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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