Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$335.53 +6.77% CBOE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $340.42

Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 78/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 27% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $35.14B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CBOE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CBOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE: CBOE) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $335.53 (+6.77% 1D, market cap $35.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CBOE ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CBOE compare to IBKR and RJF in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), CBOE carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 26.6%. By comparison, IBKR (Interactive Brokers Group Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 139.6x, ROIC 0.3%, cap $37.05B) and RJF (Raymond James Financial Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $31.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJF leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while CBOE leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBOE?
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Per CBOE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001374310), Cboe Global Markets Inc. generated $4.71B in revenue (+15.1% YoY), $1.10B in net income, and $1.68B in free cash flow against $9.31B in total assets and $1.44B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $340.43 (+1.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 35.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510078
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B
Cash (19)Whales (14)SEC (12)Macro (17)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9% Base Target
$432 Bull$366 Base$275 Bear
📬 FREE CBOE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBOE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (78/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CBOE SCORES 78/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 35.7% FCF Margin ($1.68B FCF) & 51.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 75% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$292.25+7.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
73
Grade B$315.00+3.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
75
Grade B+$324.68+3.3% Next Q
Current
78
Grade B+$335.53+7.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → B+ (78)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CBOE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 78/100 (B+) score, CBOE faces multiple-compression risk if 31.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($295.00) or 200D SMA ($292.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($365.73) toward Bear Floor ($275.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBOE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CBOE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CBOE Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $335.53: 29.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $275.13
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $365.73
$10,900
+$900 (+9.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $431.56
$12,862
+$2,862 (+28.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (43 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 32● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$38074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadSTRONG BUY$40669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$32058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CBOE Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CBOE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.00%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $320.4H $335.5L $314.3C $335.5VOL 1.21M
RES: $343.9SUP: $233.0SMA50: $295.0SMA200: $292.9
$381.3$339.5$297.7$256.0$214.2RES $343.9SUP $233.0$335.52026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBOE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBOE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBOE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBOE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBOE)

Financials Rank #12 of 1096 ⚔️ IBKR vs CBOE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CBOE vs. IBKR, RJF, TW, NMR)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) ranks #12 by composite RQD confidence (78/100, grade B+) and #83 by equity capitalization ($35.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RJF leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while CBOE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CBOE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 78/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CBOE ACTIVE
Cboe Global Markets Inc.
B+ 78/100 31.9x — 26.6% +6.77% $35.14B Benchmark Subject
IBKR
Interactive Brokers Group Inc.
D+ 55/100 139.6x — 0.3% -5.96% $37.05B /ibkr-vs-cboe →
RJF
Raymond James Financial Inc.
C+ 69/100 14.5x — 5.9% -2.52% $31.03B /rjf-vs-cboe →
TW
Tradeweb Markets Inc.
B+ 76/100 34.2x — 13.6% +3.08% $27.82B /tw-vs-cboe →
NMR
Nomura Holdings Inc ADR
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.95% $27.48B /nmr-vs-cboe →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001374310

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) reported GAAP revenue of $4.71B (+15.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.09B ) , GAAP net income of $1.10B, operating cash flow of $1.75B, and free cash flow of $1.68B (+61.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBOE closed FY2025 with $9.31B in total assets against $1.44B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.71B $1.10B $1.75B $1.68B $9.31B $1.44B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.09B $764.9M $1.10B $1.04B $7.79B $1.44B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $761.4M $1.08B $1.08B $19.33B $4.52B

3. CBOE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE: CBOE) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $335.53 (+6.77% 1D, market cap $35.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CBOE ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBOE compare to IBKR and RJF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), CBOE carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 26.6%. By comparison, IBKR (Interactive Brokers Group Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 139.6x, ROIC 0.3%, cap $37.05B) and RJF (Raymond James Financial Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $31.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJF leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while CBOE leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBOE?

Per CBOE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001374310), Cboe Global Markets Inc. generated $4.71B in revenue (+15.1% YoY), $1.10B in net income, and $1.68B in free cash flow against $9.31B in total assets and $1.44B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBOE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBOE last traded at $335.53 (+6.77% on volume of 2,460,371 shares), positioning the stock +13.74% above its 50-day simple moving average ($295.00) and +14.54% above its 200-day simple moving average ($292.93). Across its 52-week range of $227.15 to $371.18, CBOE sits at the 75.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($309.36 to $361.70).

CBOE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CBOE's 12-month stock price target?

Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $365.73 (+9% from $335.53), with a bull-case target of $431.56 and a bear-case floor of $275.13.

Is CBOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CBOE B+ (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 78/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 78/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CBOE — Cboe Global Markets Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:05Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CBOE scores 78 out of 100, a letter grade of B+, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 19 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 26.6% and an FCF yield of 4.79%. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the business converts capital into cash efficiently, which is the core upside argument.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not itemize the underlying 13F filings, so this score should be read as a summary rather than a verified holder-by-holder view.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.07 and sector sensitivity. A beta slightly above 1.0 implies the stock has historically moved modestly more than the market, so it is not a defensive holding in a sell-off.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. The F-Score is strong, while the Z-Score and this pillar's lower score indicate the balance sheet is a comparatively weaker area than cash generation.

For a prospective investor, the rating points to a cash-generative business with strong returns on capital, offset by a valuation that is not cheap on earnings (P/E TTM of 31.9) and a balance-sheet pillar that scores below the others. The upside case rests on sustained cash conversion; the valuation tradeoff is that much of that quality appears priced in. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$314.25$35.14B31.926.822.59.840.81%1.07$227.15 - $371.1826.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$4714.2M$1467.1M$1100.0MN/A$1681.6M$2216.5M$1442.9M
FY 2024$4094.5M$1098.4M$764.9MN/A$1039.7M$920.3M$1441.0M
FY 2023$0.0M$1057.9M$761.4MN/A$1075.6MN/A$4522.4M

Per the SEC financials, net income rose from $764.9M in FY 2024 to $1100.0M in FY 2025, and FCF rose from $1039.7M to $1681.6M. Per the market data, ROIC is 26.6% and net margin is 23.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9; Debt/Equity is 0.5. The FY 2023 revenue figure of $0.0M and the N/A cash entries limit year-over-year comparability for that period.

Open Questions

  • What is the composition of revenue by business line, and which portion is recurring versus transactional?
  • What were the terms and financial impact of the S&P deal renewal referenced in the news feed?
  • What is the size and timing of the buyback program, and how is it funded relative to FCF of $1681.6M?
  • Why is FY 2023 revenue reported as $0.0M, and is that a data-reporting gap or an actual figure?
  • What are the specific 13F holder changes and Form 4 insider transactions underlying the whale and insider pillar scores?

CBOE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CBOE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CBOE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $335.53?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CBOE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CBOE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $370.82 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CBOE (B+ • RQD 78/100) a Buy at $314.25?

Welcome to the CBOE (Cboe Global Markets Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 78/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (31.9x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $245.12 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $314.25

Pump the brakes on CBOE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CBOE, but look at what you are paying: 31.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Cboe Global Markets Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $377.10 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $314.25

CBOE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CBOE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $314.25 (52-wk range $227.15 - $371.18), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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