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CBRE Group Inc (Class A) (CBRE) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$136.75 +6.13% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $138.00

CBRE Group Inc (Class A) (CBRE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $37.13B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CBRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, CBRE Group Inc (Class A) (NYSE: CBRE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $136.75 (+6.13% 1D, market cap $37.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CBRE ranks #892 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CBRE compare to BEKE and JLL in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CBRE carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.0x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 11.5%. By comparison, BEKE (KE Holdings Inc American) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 46.0x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $20.01B) and JLL (Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 20.4x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $16.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JLL leads on earnings multiple (20.4x) while CBRE leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBRE?
β–Ό

Per CBRE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001138118), CBRE Group Inc (Class A) generated $39.90B in revenue (+13.4% YoY), $1.16B in net income, and -$236.5M in free cash flow against $30.88B in total assets and $5.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $137.99 (+0.91%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510041
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (3)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target
$183 Bull$126 Base$99 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CBRE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBRE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CBRE SCORES 41/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (34% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 17.3% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.9) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$128.87+4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$134.65-8.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$123.70+10.5% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$136.75-7.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (33) β†’ D- (41)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CBRE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CBRE currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($135.02) and Max Pain ($143.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $182.98.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBREβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCBRE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $21,589

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $130/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.7K
Yr 2
$12.6K
Yr 3
$13.6K
Yr 4
$14.7K
Yr 5
$15.9K
Yr 6
$17.1K
Yr 7
$18.5K
Yr 8
$20.0K
Yr 9
$21.6K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CBRE)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CBRE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CBRE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.36%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $128.6H $136.8L $128.6C $136.8VOL 3.18M
RES: $162.4SUP: $120.3SMA50: $135.0SMA200: $141.1
$159.0$148.8$138.6$128.5$118.3RES $162.4SUP $120.3$136.82026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBRE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
24.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBRE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBRE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBRE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBRE)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CBRE vs. BEKE, JLL, INVH, CSGP)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CBRE Group Inc (Class A) (CBRE) ranks #892 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #80 by equity capitalization ($37.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JLL leads on earnings valuation at 20.4x trailing P/E, while CBRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.5% ROIC and β€” gross margin. JLL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with CBRE at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CBRE ACTIVE
CBRE Group Inc (Class A)
D- 41/100 32.0x β€” 11.5% +6.13% $37.13B Benchmark Subject
BEKE
KE Holdings Inc American
D 44/100 46.0x β€” 2.1% +1.13% $20.01B /beke-vs-cbre β†’
JLL
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated
C 64/100 20.4x β€” 7.8% +5.42% $16.43B /jll-vs-cbre β†’
INVH
Invitation Homes Inc.
C- 61/100 26.8x β€” 4.3% +1.13% $15.30B /invh-vs-cbre β†’
CSGP
CoStar Group Inc.
D 47/100 β€” β€” -0.7% +5.47% $12.14B /csgp-vs-cbre β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001138118 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CBRE Group Inc (Class A) (CBRE) reported GAAP revenue of $39.90B (+13.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $35.18B , and +26.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.16B, operating cash flow of $1.56B, and free cash flow of -$236.5M (-289.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBRE closed FY2025 with $30.88B in total assets against $5.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $39.90B $1.16B $1.56B -$236.5M $30.88B $5.05B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $35.18B $968.0M $1.71B $124.9M $24.38B $3.25B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $31.50B $986.0M $480.0M -$937.7M $37.81B $8.85B

3. CBRE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, CBRE Group Inc (Class A) (NYSE: CBRE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $136.75 (+6.13% 1D, market cap $37.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CBRE ranks #892 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBRE compare to BEKE and JLL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CBRE carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.0x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 11.5%. By comparison, BEKE (KE Holdings Inc American) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 46.0x, ROIC 2.1%, cap $20.01B) and JLL (Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 20.4x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $16.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JLL leads on earnings multiple (20.4x) while CBRE leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBRE?

Per CBRE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001138118), CBRE Group Inc (Class A) generated $39.90B in revenue (+13.4% YoY), $1.16B in net income, and -$236.5M in free cash flow against $30.88B in total assets and $5.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBRE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBRE last traded at $136.75 (+6.13% on volume of 2,773,326 shares), positioning the stock +1.28% above its 50-day simple moving average ($135.02) and -3.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($141.11). Across its 52-week range of $121.44 to $174.27, CBRE sits at the 29.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.0% ($127.18 to $146.32).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 41/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CBRE β€” CBRE Group Inc (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

CBRE Group Inc (Class A) (CBRE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $136.75 (+6.13% 1D, market capitalization $37.13B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.5%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 4.4%, and free cash flow yield of -0.64%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.90x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Financials. Industry: Real Estate. Exchange: NYSE..1B. β€” for the remainder of this section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), CBRE Group Inc (Class A) (CBRE) reported $39.90B in annual revenue (up from $35.18B in FY2024, +13.4% YoY) and $1.16B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($31.50B revenue, $986.0M net income) through FY2025, CBRE scaled operating cash flow to $1.56B and free cash flow to -$236.5M, backed by $30.88B in total assets against $5.05B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.64% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $121.44 – $174.27 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 32.0x trailing P/E and 12.3x EV/EBITDA against 4.4% operating margins and a 0.90x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate (Financials), CBRE carries a macro regime beta of 0.90 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can CBRE sustain or expand its 4.4% operating margin and 11.5% ROIC against Real Estate peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $39.90B and free cash flow of -$236.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.05B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CBRE's 26.9x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.90x)?

CBRE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CBRE Group Inc (Class A) (CBRE) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CBRE Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CBRE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $136.75?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CBRE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CBRE:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $148.18 (+15.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The balance sheet is the strongest pillar at 14 of 20, with Piotroski F at 7 of 9 and Debt/Equity at 0.5 supporting structural resilien

The balance sheet is the strongest pillar at 14 of 20, with Piotroski F at 7 of 9 and Debt/Equity at 0.5 supporting structural resilience.. When you look under the hood at CBRE, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 11.5% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (8/20) has been quietly accumulating below $174.27. My 12M target is $148.18.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 41/100 quality, though with 0.9 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $128.85 and keeping dry powder in case we test $119.83.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $103.08 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $128.85

Free cash flow is negative at -0.64% FCF yield and FY 2025 FCF of -$236.5M, while macro regime fit scores only 3 of 20.

Free cash flow is negative at -0.64% FCF yield and FY 2025 FCF of -$236.5M, while macro regime fit scores only 3 of 20.. Look at the math on CBRE: paying 32.0x trailing P/E for 11.5% ROIC and 4.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Real Estate demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $113.39 before getting long.

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