Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$70.05 -3.31% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.80

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (69% profit margin, 5% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $1.57B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (NASDAQ: CBRL) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $70.05 (-3.31% 1D, market cap $1.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CBRL ranks #159 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CBRL compare to ARCO and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), CBRL carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.9x, gross margin of 69.0%, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 6.9x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $1.42B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBRL?
β–Ό

Per CBRL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-01, CIK 0001067294), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc generated $3.48B in revenue (+0.4% YoY), $46.4M in net income, and $59.8M in free cash flow against $2.10B in total assets and $381.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.80 (-0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 1.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510070
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (17)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$87 Bull$74 Base$57 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CBRL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBRL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CBRL SCORES 70/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±8.9% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.7) create a -10 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$61.25+8.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$66.69+2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$68.19+2.7% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$70.05+6.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (62) β†’ B- (70)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CBRL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, CBRL faces multiple-compression risk if 34.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 66.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($57.38) or 200D SMA ($43.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($73.83) toward Bear Floor ($57.44).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBRLβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCBRL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How CBRL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$59.8M (1.7% FCF Margin)
Revenue$3.48BGross Profit $2.40B (69%)Cost of Sales $1.08BOp Profit $55.0M (1.6%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $2.35BNet Profit$46.4M (1.3%)Tax/Other $8.6M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $3.44B
FY24
Rev $3.47B
FY25
Rev $3.48B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$3.48B69%1.6%$46.4M$59.8M5.4%
FY 2024$3.47B68.7%1.3%$40.9M$40.7M3.9%
FY 2023$3.44B69%3.5%$99.1M$250.5M5.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CBRL)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CBRL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CBRL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +140.89%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $72.45H $72.45L $70.05C $70.05VOL 747.4K
RES: $74.11SUP: $40.10SMA50: $57.38SMA200: $43.08
$76.85$63.67$50.50$37.32$24.14RES $74.11SUP $40.10$70.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBRL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBRL today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBRL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBRL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBRL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #159 of 1011 βš”οΈ ARCO vs CBRL Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CBRL vs. ARCO, WEN, BJRI, SG)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) ranks #159 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #448 by equity capitalization ($1.57B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCO leads on earnings valuation at 6.9x trailing P/E, while ARCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. CBRL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CBRL ACTIVE
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc
B- 70/100 34.9x 69.0% 5.4% -3.31% $1.57B Benchmark Subject
ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D 48/100 6.9x 96.0% 18.9% -2.46% $1.42B /arco-vs-cbrl β†’
WEN
Wendy's Company
D 49/100 8.3x 63.6% 10.7% +0.63% $1.37B /wen-vs-cbrl β†’
BJRI
BJ's Restaurants Inc.
C- 61/100 27.6x 74.7% 10.7% -1.18% $1.33B /bjri-vs-cbrl β†’
SG
Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -2.98% $1.32B /sg-vs-cbrl β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-08-01 β€’ CIK 0001067294

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-01), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) reported GAAP revenue of $3.48B (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.47B , and +1.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $46.4M, operating cash flow of $218.9M, and free cash flow of $59.8M (+46.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBRL closed FY2025 with $2.10B in total assets against $381.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-01 $3.48B $46.4M $218.9M $59.8M $2.10B $381.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-02 $3.47B $40.9M $169.0M $40.7M $2.15B $471.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-28 $3.44B $99.1M $250.5M $250.5M β€” β€”

3. CBRL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBRL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (NASDAQ: CBRL) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $70.05 (-3.31% 1D, market cap $1.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CBRL ranks #159 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBRL compare to ARCO and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), CBRL carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.9x, gross margin of 69.0%, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 6.9x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $1.42B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBRL?

Per CBRL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-01, CIK 0001067294), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc generated $3.48B in revenue (+0.4% YoY), $46.4M in net income, and $59.8M in free cash flow against $2.10B in total assets and $381.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBRL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBRL last traded at $70.05 (-3.31% on volume of 747,447 shares), positioning the stock +22.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($57.38) and +62.60% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.08). Across its 52-week range of $24.85 to $73.67, CBRL sits at the 92.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.9% ($63.82 to $76.28).

CBRL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), CBRL converted $3.5B of revenue into a 69% gross margin, 1.6% operating margin, and $59.8M in free cash flow (1.7% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 70/100 (B-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CBRL β€” Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CBRL carries an RQD Score of 70, graded B-, with the verdict "Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20 (ROIC 5.4%; FCF yield 3.69%); Whale 13F Flow 17/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 14/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 10/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 15/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.9).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is institutional flow (17/20), which suggests upside momentum is being supported by large holders, though the source does not identify those holders. The weakest pillar is macro regime fit (10/20), reflecting a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity, meaning the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market rather than offering defensive insulation. The cash engine score (14/20) pairs a 5.4% ROIC with a 3.69% FCF yield, which is positive but modest relative to the market-cap-based valuation shown in the Snapshot. The forensic balance sheet score (15/20) indicates a reasonably stable financial posture. Valuation tradeoffs are notable: a P/E (TTM) of 34.9 sits well above the EV/EBITDA of 10.5, and the price sits near the top of its 52-week range, so upside depends on sustaining earnings growth that the reported operating margin of 1.6% does not yet demonstrate. This brief is analytical and educational, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
72.45$1.62B34.932.510.52.081.43%1.0$24.85 - $73.675.4%

Business

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Restaurants industry, per the profile. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 69%, an operating margin of 1.6%, and a net margin of 1.3%. The source data does not provide a detailed description of its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond these figures. Revenue of $3483.7M for FY 2025 is reported per the SEC financials.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$3483.7M$55.0M$46.4MN/A$59.8M$8.6M$381.8M
FY 2024$3470.8M$45.1M$40.9MN/A$40.7M$10.3M$471.5M
FY 2023$3442.8M$120.6M$99.1MN/A$250.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose modestly across the three reported periods while operating income declined from $120.6M in FY 2023 to $55.0M in FY 2025. Per the market data, ROIC is 5.4% and the reported net margin is 1.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.9. Debt declined from $471.5M to $381.8M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items reference CBRL. Headlines include a 52-week-high report from Yahoo Finance, a stock price forecast from StockInvest.us, a Motley Fool piece describing the stock as a buy, a Seeking Alpha note on a major rally this year, a one-week performance update from Yahoo Finance, and a MarketBeat report citing an average price target of $50.86. The Seeking Alpha item is tagged as a CATALYST with a GREEN light; the remaining items are tagged MARKET WIRE with YELLOW lights. The MarketBeat average price target of $50.86 sits below the current price of 72.45 and is cited here only as reported. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are not available in source data beyond the sector classification of Consumer Discretionary and the industry of Restaurants.

Open Questions

  • What is the source of the institutional accumulation and options positioning referenced in the Whale 13F Flow pillar, given that holder data is absent?
  • What drove the decline in operating income from $120.6M in FY 2023 to $55.0M in FY 2025 despite stable revenue?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and how does it reconcile with the $50.86 average target cited in the news feed?
  • Which insider and Congressional transactions make up the cluster flow scored in the Insider Conviction pillar?
  • What specific catalysts underpin the Seeking Alpha "major rally" claim relative to the reported EPS of 2.08?

CBRL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CBRL Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CBRL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $70.05?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CBRL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CBRL:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $85.49 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CBRL (B- β€’ RQD 70/100) a Buy at $72.45?

Welcome to the CBRL (Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (34.9x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $57.24 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $72.45

Pump the brakes on CBRL β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CBRL, but look at what you are paying: 34.9x trailing P/E with 69.0% gross margins. Unless Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $89.84 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $72.45

CBRL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CBRL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $72.45 (52-wk range $24.85 - $73.67), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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