Stock Ratings / Technology / CBRS / financials

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Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$109.18 -5.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $107.95

Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $27.36B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CBRS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CBRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Cerebras Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CBRS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $109.18 (-5.19% 1D, market cap $27.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CBRS ranks #147 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CBRS compare to Q and GFS in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), CBRS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 58.3%. By comparison, Q (Qnity Electronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 35.2x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $25.66B) and GFS (GlobalFoundries Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $25.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBRS leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while CBRS leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBRS?

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Per CBRS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002021728), Cerebras Systems Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $107.96 (-1.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBRS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CBRS SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 22.36 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$149.09-20.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$118.24+0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$119.31-8.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$109.18+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CBRS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, CBRS faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($165.79) or 200D SMA ($197.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($113.11) toward Bear Floor ($88.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBRS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CBRS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How CBRS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY25

Rev $4.00B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$4.00B	0%	0%	$0	$0	0%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CBRS)

✓Walkthrough of CBRS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CBRS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -64.90%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $112.6H $115.2L $109.2C $109.2VOL 10.31M

RES: $174.9SUP: $102.6SMA50: $165.8SMA200: $197.3

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBRS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CBRS Butterfly Map → + Track CBRS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBRS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBRS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBRS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBRS)

Technology Rank #147 of 714 ⚔️ Q vs CBRS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CBRS vs. Q, GFS, ON, CRDO)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) ranks #147 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #95 by equity capitalization ($27.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CBRS leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while CBRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and — gross margin. CBRS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CBRS ACTIVE Cerebras Systems Inc.	C+	66/100	21.7x	—	58.3%	-5.19%	$27.36B	Benchmark Subject
Q Qnity Electronics Inc.	D+	55/100	35.2x	46.2%	7.8%	-4.88%	$25.66B	/q-vs-cbrs →
GFS GlobalFoundries Inc.	C-	60/100	21.7x	—	14.9%	-8.61%	$25.56B	/gfs-vs-cbrs →
ON ON Semiconductor Corporation	D+	54/100	—	33.1%	0.8%	-4.74%	$29.29B	/on-vs-cbrs →
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd	C-	61/100	65.8x	68.0%	14.1%	-8.65%	$31.07B	/crdo-vs-cbrs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002021728

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, CBRS closed FY2025 with $2.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 22.36, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	$0	$0	$2.33B	$0

3. CBRS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CBRS compare to Q and GFS in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBRS?

Where is CBRS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBRS last traded at $109.18 (-5.19% on volume of 9,203,200 shares), positioning the stock -34.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($165.79) and -44.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($197.33). Across its 52-week range of $104.18 to $386.34, CBRS sits at the 1.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($95.53 to $122.83).

CBRS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), CBRS converted $4.0B of revenue into a 0% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: CBRS RQD Cockpit CBRS 12M Forecast CBRS Earnings & Move CBRS Dividends & DRIP CBRS Insiders & 13F CBRS Whale Options CBRS Profit Sankey CBRS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CBRS — Cerebras Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:24Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CBRS scores 66 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 58.3% and an FCF yield of 3.99%. Strong capital efficiency is offset by a modest free-cash-flow yield at the current price, which suggests the market is already pricing in meaningful future cash generation.
Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. The RQD rating describes this pillar as institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the weakest pillar in the set, indicating limited evidence of aggressive institutional buying in the source data.
Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the strongest pillar and is a positive signal for a prospective investor, though the underlying transaction detail is not provided in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta of 1.34 and sector sensitivity drive this score. CBRS is more volatile than the broad market, so it is likely to amplify market moves in either direction.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 22.36, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85 indicate a financially sound balance sheet with low distress risk.

Taken together, the pillars describe a company with strong forensic health and insider support, but with weaker institutional flow and a high-beta profile. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside case rests on sustained cash generation and insider confidence converting into institutional demand. The main valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at 21.7x trailing earnings and 18.2x forward earnings against an FCF yield of 3.99%, and the 52-week range of $104.18 to $386.34 shows the stock has already experienced very large swings. The "Watch for Breakout" label signals that the rating is contingent on a change in the whale-flow and macro pillars rather than on current fundamentals alone.

Snapshot

Metric	Value
Price	115.16
Market Cap	$27.36B
P/E (TTM)	21.7
Forward P/E	18.2
EV/EBITDA	14
EPS (TTM)	5.3
Dividend Yield	0%
Beta	1.34
52-Wk Range	$104.18 - $386.34
ROIC %	58.3%

Business

Sector: Technology. Industry: Semiconductors. Exchange: NASDAQ. Per the company profile, Cerebras Systems Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer operating in Semiconductors with a market capitalization of $27.4B. Not available in source data for product lines, customer base, or revenue model.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)	$0.0M	$0.0M	$0.0M	N/A	$0.0M	$701.7M	$0.0M

Per the SEC financials, the only reported period shows revenue, operating income, net income, and FCF each at $0.0M, which conflicts with the market data showing an operating margin of 21.1% and a net margin of 16.4%; these figures cannot be reconciled from the source data. Per the market data, gross margin is reported as 0%, operating margin 21.1%, and net margin 16.4%, with ROIC at 58.3%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 22.36 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Per the SEC financials, cash is $701.7M and debt is $0.0M, consistent with the RQD balance-sheet pillar, though the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.85 is reported separately and cannot be checked against the financials table.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Risk Watch (RED): A headline describing CBRS as stretched following a 54% slump, per the Yahoo Finance item.
Market Wire (YELLOW): Motley Fool comparison of CBRS scale to Nvidia's data center business, per the news wire.
Market Wire (YELLOW): 24/7 Wall St. item stating the stock has fallen about 20% this year and citing an analyst view of a potential doubling in price.
Catalyst (GREEN): CNBC report that the stock rose 9% after Sam Altman described the chipmaker as a "close partner."
Market Wire (YELLOW): Seeking Alpha piece titled around the earnings curve changing the setup.
Market Wire (YELLOW): Yahoo Finance item on a Gimlet Labs deal and whether the stock remains below fair value.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, sector is Technology, industry is Semiconductors, supply chain is listed as NONE, and no butterfly links or proprietary signals are recorded. The news set contains one green catalyst, a red risk item, and four yellow market-wire items; the mix is more cautionary on price momentum than supportive, though the partnership headline is the single strongest positive datapoint.

Open Questions

The FY 2025 financials show $0.0M in revenue, net income, and FCF, while the market data reports 21.1% operating margin and 16.4% net margin. Which figures reflect the reported results?
What are the customer, product, and revenue-concentration details that explain the Technology/Semiconductors classification?
What insider and Congressional transactions make up the "cluster flow" behind the 17/20 insider score, and over what period?
Who are the analysts behind the price-target claim, and what consensus rating applies?
Does the Gimlet Labs deal and the Altman partnership appear in any filing or supply-chain link, and what is their economic size?

CBRS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CBRS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 9h ago

Cerebras Systems (CBRS) Stock Looks Stretched Following Its 54% Slump

Yahoo Finance report covering Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Motley Fool • 12h ago

Cerebras Is About as Big as Nvidia's Data Center Business Was Nearly a Decade Ago. The Similarities Mostly End There.

The Motley Fool report covering Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE 24/7 Wall St. • 15h ago

Cerebras Systems Cratered by 20% This Year: It's Going to Double in Price According to This Respected Wall Street Analyst

24/7 Wall St. report covering Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST CNBC • 18h ago

Cerebras stock pops 9% after Sam Altman calls the chipmaker a 'close partner'

CNBC report covering Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 21h ago

Cerebras: The Earnings Curve Changes The Entire Setup (NASDAQ:CBRS)

Seeking Alpha report covering Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Cerebras Systems (CBRS) Lands Gimlet Labs Deal, Is The Stock Still Below Fair Value?

Yahoo Finance report covering Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST The Motley Fool • 1d ago

Why Cerebras Systems Stock Jumped on Tuesday

The Motley Fool report covering Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE 24/7 Wall St. • 1d ago

Cerebras Systems' Tough 2026 Continues: It'll Double Soon According to One of The Biggest Global Banks

24/7 Wall St. report covering Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CBRS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $109.18?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CBRS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $124.37 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CBRS (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $115.16?

Welcome to the CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $94.43 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $115.16

Pump the brakes on CBRS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CBRS, but look at what you are paying: 21.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Cerebras Systems Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $139.34 (+21.0%)

Spot @ $115.16

CBRS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CBRS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $115.16 (52-wk range $104.18 - $386.34), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.