Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why CCL Stock surged +4.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is CCL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Carnival Corporation Ltd. (NYSE: CCL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $30.05 (+4.23% 1D, market cap $38.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CCL ranks #207 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does CCL compare to VIK and RCL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), CCL carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.3%. By comparison, VIK (Viking Holdings Ltd) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $38.99B) and RCL (Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 19.5x, ROIC 17.3%, cap $82.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCL leads on earnings multiple (14.1x) while RCL leads on capital efficiency (17.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CCL?
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Per CCL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0000815097), Carnival Corporation Ltd. generated $26.62B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $2.76B in net income, and $2.61B in free cash flow against $51.69B in total assets and $24.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.3% realized swing band)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (68.5) create a -12 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CCL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, CCL faces multiple-compression risk if 14.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($25.03) or 200D SMA ($27.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.13) toward Bear Floor ($24.28).
Why CCL Stock surged +4.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) surged +4.23% to $30.05, trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($21.45 – $34.03). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($21.45 – $34.03) with RSI-14 at 68.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.3% around $30.05 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $2.6B annual free cash flow.
CNN report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
S&P 500 stocks with notable opening gaps on November 2, 2026, including gap-up names such as IDXX, UAL and MAR, and gap-down names such as LITE, ORCL and MRVL.
Voters head to the polls with odds favoring a Dem sweep. Nonfarm payrolls seen up 65K for October. Apple, AMD and Palantir earnings test battered tech stocks.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CCL Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
CCL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CCL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CCL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CCL)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CCL vs. VIK, RCL, BIP, FRO)
Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) ranks #207 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #55 by equity capitalization ($38.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCL leads on earnings valuation at 14.1x trailing P/E, while RCL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.3% ROIC and 49.4% gross margin. FRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with CCL at 66/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCL
ACTIVE
Carnival Corporation Ltd. | C+ | 66/100 | 14.1x | — | 10.3% | +4.23% | $38.77B | Benchmark Subject |
| VIK Viking Holdings Ltd | C | 62/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -0.47% | $38.99B | /vik-vs-ccl → |
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | C | 64/100 | 19.5x | 49.4% | 17.3% | +4.52% | $82.16B | /rcl-vs-ccl → |
| BIP Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP | D+ | 57/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +2.14% | $17.09B | /bip-vs-ccl → |
| FRO Frontline Plc | B- | 71/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -8.47% | $12.67B | /fro-vs-ccl → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0000815097 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) reported GAAP revenue of $26.62B (+6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.02B , and +23.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.76B, operating cash flow of $6.22B, and free cash flow of $2.61B (+101.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CCL closed FY2025 with $51.69B in total assets against $24.04B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.66, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-11-30 | $26.62B | $2.76B | $6.22B | $2.61B | $51.69B | $24.04B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-11-30 | $25.02B | $1.92B | $5.92B | $1.30B | $49.06B | $25.94B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-11-30 | $21.59B | -$74.0M | $4.28B | $3.31B | $25.91B | $6.06B |
3. CCL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CCL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Carnival Corporation Ltd. (NYSE: CCL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $30.05 (+4.23% 1D, market cap $38.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CCL ranks #207 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CCL compare to VIK and RCL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), CCL carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.3%. By comparison, VIK (Viking Holdings Ltd) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $38.99B) and RCL (Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 19.5x, ROIC 17.3%, cap $82.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCL leads on earnings multiple (14.1x) while RCL leads on capital efficiency (17.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CCL?
Per CCL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0000815097), Carnival Corporation Ltd. generated $26.62B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $2.76B in net income, and $2.61B in free cash flow against $51.69B in total assets and $24.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CCL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CCL last traded at $30.05 (+4.23% on volume of 30,930,331 shares), positioning the stock +20.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($25.03) and +10.97% above its 200-day simple moving average ($27.08). Across its 52-week range of $21.45 to $34.03, CCL sits at the 68.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($28.16 to $31.94).
CCL — Carnival Corporation Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $30.05 (+4.23% 1D, market capitalization $38.77B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 16.8%, and free cash flow yield of 6.72%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.98x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.66, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.96x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Marine Transportation industry. It reports revenue of $26.62B for FY 2025.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-11-30), Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) reported $26.62B in annual revenue (up from $25.02B in FY2024, +6.4% YoY) and $2.76B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($21.59B revenue, -$74.0M net income) through FY2025, CCL scaled operating cash flow to $6.22B and free cash flow to $2.61B, backed by $51.69B in total assets against $24.04B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $21.45 – $34.03 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 14.1x trailing P/E and 8.1x EV/EBITDA against 16.8% operating margins and a 0.98x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Marine Transportation (Consumer Discretionary), CCL carries a macro regime beta of 0.98 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can CCL sustain or expand its 16.8% operating margin and 10.3% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $26.62B and free cash flow of $2.61B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $24.04B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is CCL's 13.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.98x)?
CCL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
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Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNN report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CCL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $30.05?
Insider conviction (17/20) and fundamental cash engine (FCF yield 6.72%) provide support within the RQD rating.
Insider conviction (17/20) and fundamental cash engine (FCF yield 6.72%) provide support within the RQD rating.. When you look under the hood at CCL, Fundamental Cash Engine is 14/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 10.3% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (15/20) has been quietly accumulating below $34.03. My 12M target is $33.15.
@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 66/100 quality, though with 0.98 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $28.83 and keeping dry powder in case we test $26.81.
Macro regime fit scores only 8/20 and Debt/Equity of 1.96 with an Altman Z of 1.66 constrains the balance sheet.
Macro regime fit scores only 8/20 and Debt/Equity of 1.96 with an Altman Z of 1.66 constrains the balance sheet.. Look at the math on CCL: paying 14.1x trailing P/E for 10.3% ROIC and 16.8% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Marine Transportation demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $25.37 before getting long.