Yahoo Finance report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why CDNL Stock dropped -3.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CDNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CDNL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $15.25 (-3.42% 1D, market cap $765.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CDNL ranks #333 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CDNL compare to YSS and PKE in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), CDNL carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 54.6%. By comparison, YSS (York Space Systems Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $960.1M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $584.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDNL?
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Per CDNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002079999), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $22.7M in net income, and -$5.9M in free cash flow against $394.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CDNL Turnaround Squeeze
While CDNL currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($27.28) and Max Pain ($16.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $101.22.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why CDNL Stock dropped -3.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) dropped -3.42% to $15.25, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($13.05 – $96.4). Stretched risk/reward at 34x P/E (55% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($13.05 – $96.4) with RSI-14 at 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $15.25 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Investing.com report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PR Newswire report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StreetInsider report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Alger Dynamic Opportunities Fund underperformed during Q3 2026. Read the full analysis for more details.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CDNL)
- ✓Walkthrough of CDNL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
CDNL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDNL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDNL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDNL)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CDNL vs. YSS, PKE, XTND, ORN)
Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) ranks #333 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #271 by equity capitalization ($765.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDNL leads on earnings valuation at 33.7x trailing P/E, while CDNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with CDNL at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDNL
ACTIVE
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) | D- | 41/100 | 33.7x | — | 54.6% | -3.42% | $765.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| YSS York Space Systems Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -9.59% | $960.1M | /yss-vs-cdnl → |
| PKE Park Aerospace Corp. | C- | 60/100 | — | 30.9% | 19.0% | -2.98% | $584.9M | /pke-vs-cdnl → |
| XTND Xtend AI Robotics Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -7.78% | $475.7M | /xtnd-vs-cdnl → |
| ORN Orion Group Holdings Inc. Common | D- | 38/100 | 148.9x | 12.4% | 7.1% | -7.57% | $370.4M | /orn-vs-cdnl → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002079999In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $22.7M, operating cash flow of $37.9M, and free cash flow of -$5.9M (-127.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDNL closed FY2025 with $394.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $22.7M | $37.9M | -$5.9M | $394.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $21.4M | $42.6M | $21.9M | $140.3M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $20.6M | $30.9M | $30.9M | — | — |
3. CDNL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CDNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CDNL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $15.25 (-3.42% 1D, market cap $765.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CDNL ranks #333 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CDNL compare to YSS and PKE in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), CDNL carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 54.6%. By comparison, YSS (York Space Systems Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $960.1M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $584.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDNL?
Per CDNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002079999), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $22.7M in net income, and -$5.9M in free cash flow against $394.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CDNL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CDNL last traded at $15.25 (-3.42% on volume of 747,946 shares), positioning the stock -44.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.28) and -65.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($43.61). Across its 52-week range of $13.05 to $96.40, CDNL sits at the 2.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.34 to $17.16).
CDNL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CDNL stock moving today?
Why CDNL Stock dropped -3.42% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 34x P/E (55% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
CDNL — Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, CDNL scores 41 out of 100 with a letter grade of D- and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow."
- Fundamental Cash Engine — 12 / 20: The rating cites ROIC of 54.6% alongside a free cash flow yield of -0.77%. The strong return on invested capital is offset by negative cash generation on a yield basis, which weakens the case that earnings are converting into cash for shareholders.
- Whale 13F Flow — 3 / 20: Institutional accumulation and options positioning score near the bottom of the range, indicating limited evidence of large-holder conviction in the source data.
- Insider Conviction — 8 / 20: SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score below midpoint, providing little insider-driven support for the thesis.
- Macro Regime Fit — 5 / 20: With a beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity assessment that scores weakly, the rating signals limited alignment with the current macro regime.
- Forensic Balance Sheet — 13 / 20: The Altman Z-Score of 2.5, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 form the strongest pillar, though still moderate.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside drivers are the high ROIC and a balance sheet that is not in distress territory. The valuation tradeoffs are substantial: a trailing P/E of 33.7 and EV/EBITDA of 9.9 sit against negative FCF yield and a 52-week range of $13.05 to $96.4, meaning the price has fallen sharply. Current news flow is predominantly risk-oriented, so the rating's emphasis on flow and balance-sheet vulnerability is the central consideration.
Snapshot
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Risk-watch headlines (RED): A Yahoo Finance item titled "Bear of the Day: Cardinal Infrastructure (CDNL)" is flagged RISK WATCH. Investing.com reported that Truist cut the price target "on financing concerns." A TradingView item reports shares "Drop 36% on Probe," and a PR Newswire notice references a securities fraud investigation tied to acquisition issues. A Yahoo Finance piece reports fair value falling as analysts trim margin views.
- Market-wire items (YELLOW): A Seeking Alpha item covers a Hughes Brothers deal described as deepening a self-perform position as shares reprice. A PR Newswire notice describes the 36% decline after acquisition issues were disclosed.
- Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are recorded.
The news flow is weighted toward risk items, with the probe and financing concerns as the dominant themes.
Open Questions
- What is the nature and scope of the securities fraud investigation and the acquisition issues referenced in the news wire, and what is the expected timeline?
- What specific financing concerns led Truist to cut its price target, and what debt and cash balances underlie them?
- Why do reported revenue figures show $0.0M while operating income is positive, and what is the revenue recognition basis?
- What explains the decline in free cash flow from $30.9M to -$5.9M despite rising net income?
- What is the composition of the Hughes Brothers deal and how does it affect the self-perform position?
CDNL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PR Newswire report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StreetInsider report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) (CDNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CDNL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.25?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CDNL (D- • RQD 41/100) a Buy at $15.79?
Welcome to the CDNL (Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 41/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (33.7x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on CDNL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CDNL, but look at what you are paying: 33.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
CDNL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CDNL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $15.79 (52-wk range $13.05 - $96.40), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.