Why CDW Stock dropped -6.91% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$153.79 -6.91% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $152.25

CDW Corporation (CDW) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (22% profit margin, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $19.23B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CDW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, CDW Corporation (NASDAQ: CDW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $153.79 (-6.91% 1D, market cap $19.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CDW ranks #105 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CDW compare to W and CPNG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), CDW carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.4x, gross margin of 21.7%, and ROIC of 19.8%. By comparison, W (Wayfair Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.0%, cap $15.88B) and CPNG (Coupang Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 125.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $25.83B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIPS leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while VIPS leads on capital efficiency (35.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDW?
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Per CDW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001402057), CDW Corporation generated $22.42B in revenue (+6.8% YoY), $1.07B in net income, and $1.09B in free cash flow against $16.03B in total assets and $4.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (22% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $152.25 (-1.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 4.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (15)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$193 Bull$163 Base$126 Bear
📬 FREE CDW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CDW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CDW SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.9% FCF Margin ($1.09B FCF) & 21.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$150.10+5.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$158.28+2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$162.66-5.5% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$153.79+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CDW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, CDW faces multiple-compression risk if 19.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 19.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($148.53) or 200D SMA ($133.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($163.48) toward Bear Floor ($126.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CDW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CDW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CDW Stock dropped -6.91% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

CDW Corporation (CDW) dropped -6.91% to $153.79, trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($97.12 – $166.15). High-quality cash engine (22% profit margin, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($97.12 – $166.15) with RSI-14 at 49.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.9% around $153.79 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 21.7% gross margin and $1.1B annual free cash flow.
Live CDW Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 18h ago
Interlock Equity Completes Sale of Lovelytics to CDW

LOS ANGELES, November 02, 2026--Interlock Equity ("Interlock"), a Los Angeles-based private equity firm focused on knowledge-based, people-driven businesses, is pleased to announce the sale of Lovelytics, a leading data

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CDW Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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CDW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.67%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $165.2H $165.2L $153.8C $153.8VOL 2.44M
RES: $168.0SUP: $137.2SMA50: $148.5SMA200: $133.6
$171.0$151.0$130.9$110.9$90.91RES $168.0SUP $137.2$153.82026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CDW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CDW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #105 of 1011 ⚔️ W vs CDW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CDW vs. W, CPNG, CHWY, VIPS)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CDW Corporation (CDW) ranks #105 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #101 by equity capitalization ($19.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VIPS leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while VIPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 35.7% ROIC and 23.1% gross margin. CDW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CDW ACTIVE
CDW Corporation
B 72/100 19.4x 21.7% 19.8% -6.91% $19.23B Benchmark Subject
W
Wayfair Inc.
C- 60/100 — 30.2% 1.0% -3.50% $15.88B /w-vs-cdw →
CPNG
Coupang Inc.
D 47/100 125.9x 29.4% 9.7% -1.37% $25.83B /cpng-vs-cdw →
CHWY
Chewy Inc.
C 62/100 37.6x 29.8% 30.0% +2.21% $8.56B /chwy-vs-cdw →
VIPS
Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two
C- 61/100 5.9x 23.1% 35.7% +1.10% $6.19B /vips-vs-cdw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001402057

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CDW Corporation (CDW) reported GAAP revenue of $22.42B (+6.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $21.00B , and +4.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.07B, operating cash flow of $1.21B, and free cash flow of $1.09B (-5.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDW closed FY2025 with $16.03B in total assets against $4.62B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.33, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $22.42B $1.07B $1.21B $1.09B $16.03B $4.62B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $21.00B $1.08B $1.28B $1.15B $14.68B $5.61B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $21.38B $1.10B $1.60B $636.8M $25.65B $6.00B

3. CDW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CDW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, CDW Corporation (NASDAQ: CDW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $153.79 (-6.91% 1D, market cap $19.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CDW ranks #105 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CDW compare to W and CPNG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), CDW carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.4x, gross margin of 21.7%, and ROIC of 19.8%. By comparison, W (Wayfair Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.0%, cap $15.88B) and CPNG (Coupang Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 125.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $25.83B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIPS leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while VIPS leads on capital efficiency (35.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDW?

Per CDW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001402057), CDW Corporation generated $22.42B in revenue (+6.8% YoY), $1.07B in net income, and $1.09B in free cash flow against $16.03B in total assets and $4.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (22% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CDW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CDW last traded at $153.79 (-6.91% on volume of 2,444,776 shares), positioning the stock +3.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($148.53) and +15.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($133.62). Across its 52-week range of $97.12 to $166.15, CDW sits at the 82.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($141.64 to $165.94).

CDW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is CDW stock moving today?

Why CDW Stock dropped -6.91% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (22% profit margin, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CDW — CDW Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:37Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CDW scores 76 out of 100, grading B+ under the verdict "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 (ROIC 19.8%; FCF yield 5.27%), Whale 13F Flow at 18/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 12/20 (Beta 0.9; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 3.33; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 1.77). The strongest pillar is whale/institutional flow, which is the largest contributor to the score; the weakest is macro regime fit, where the moderate beta of 0.9 and sector sensitivity limit the score. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a cash-generative business with supportive institutional positioning, offset by a leveraged balance sheet (Debt/Equity 1.77) and a sector-sensitive macro profile. Valuation is a tradeoff: the stock trades at 19.4x trailing earnings and 18x forward earnings, with an EV/EBITDA of 14, while the 52-week range of $97.12 to $166.15 places the current price of $165.2 near the top of that band. The rating is an analytical summary of the source data and is not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$165.2$20.65B19.418148.531.59%0.9$97.12 - $166.1519.8%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$22424.1M$1655.6M$1066.6MN/A$1088.1M$618.7M$4622.3M
FY 2024$20998.7M$1651.3M$1077.8MN/A$1154.7M$503.5M$5607.0M
FY 2023$21376.0M$1680.9M$1104.3MN/A$636.8MN/A$6002.4M

Per the market data, gross margin is 21.7%, operating margin 7.4%, and net margin 4.8%, with ROIC of 19.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.33 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt/Equity is 1.77 per the RQD forensic pillar. Across the three reported periods, debt declined from $6002.4M (FY 2023) to $4622.3M (FY 2025), while reported revenue moved from $21376.0M to $22424.1M.

Open Questions

  • What are CDW's specific revenue drivers and customer concentration, given that the business description is not provided?
  • What is the basis for the EPS field reporting N/A in every period, and what are the reported diluted EPS figures?
  • Does the AI services deal referenced in the news wire materially change revenue or margin trajectory, and what is its disclosed size?
  • What is the composition of the institutional and insider flow underlying the whale and insider pillars, given that the holders section is empty?
  • What drove the reduction in debt from FY 2023 to FY 2025, and what is the cash balance for FY 2023?

CDW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CDW Corporation (CDW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CDW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CDW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $153.79?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CDW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CDW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $194.94 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CDW (B+ • RQD 76/100) a Buy at $165.20?

Welcome to the CDW (CDW Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 76/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Catalog/Specialty Distribution. Bulls point to capital efficiency (19.8% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $127.20 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $165.20

Pump the brakes on CDW — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CDW, but look at what you are paying: 19.4x trailing P/E with 21.7% gross margins. Unless CDW Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $199.89 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $165.20

CDW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CDW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Catalog/Specialty Distribution and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $165.20 (52-wk range $97.12 - $166.15), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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