Codexis Inc. (CDXS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.19 -2.46% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.18

Codexis Inc. (CDXS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $133.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CDXS Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CDXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Codexis Inc. (NASDAQ: CDXS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $1.19 (-2.46% 1D, market cap $133.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CDXS ranks #260 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CDXS compare to ACNT and LODE in the Materials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), CDXS carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ACNT (Ascent Industries Co.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E 143.4x, ROIC -18.9%, cap $124.3M) and LODE (Comstock Inc.) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.3%, cap $122.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACNT leads on earnings multiple (143.4x) while LTBR leads on capital efficiency (-9.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDXS?
β–Ό

Per CDXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001200375), Codexis Inc. generated $70.4M in revenue (+18.6% YoY), -$44.0M in net income, and -$23.8M in free cash flow against $147.8M in total assets and $40.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.18 (-0.63%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510023
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CDXS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CDXS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CDXS SCORES 23/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 86.7% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$1.41-6.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$1.32-1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$1.30-8.5% Next Q
Current
23
Grade E$1.19-11.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (31) β†’ E (23)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CDXS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CDXS currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.39) and Max Pain ($1.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.13.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CDXSβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCDXS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CDXS)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CDXS.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

πŸ† Enter Free $100K Paper Arena β†’
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CDXS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CDXS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CDXS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.59%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $1.26H $1.26L $1.19C $1.19VOL 917.3K
RES: $1.26SUP: $1.18SMA50: $1.39SMA200: $1.81
$3.11$2.58$2.06$1.53$1.01RES $1.26SUP $1.18$1.192026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CDXS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CDXS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CDXS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CDXS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CDXS)

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CDXS vs. ACNT, LODE, AMTX, LTBR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Codexis Inc. (CDXS) ranks #260 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #222 by equity capitalization ($133.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACNT leads on earnings valuation at 143.4x trailing P/E, while LTBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -9.1% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ACNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 31/100 (E) compared with CDXS at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CDXS ACTIVE
Codexis Inc.
E 23/100 β€” 86.7% -35.0% -2.46% $133.6M Benchmark Subject
ACNT
Ascent Industries Co.
E 31/100 143.4x 23.0% -18.9% -0.36% $124.3M /acnt-vs-cdxs β†’
LODE
Comstock Inc.
E 21/100 β€” -30.0% -33.3% -12.42% $122.3M /lode-vs-cdxs β†’
AMTX
Aemetis Inc.
E 28/100 β€” -0.4% -35.0% -3.10% $93.1M /amtx-vs-cdxs β†’
LTBR
Lightbridge Corporation
E 28/100 β€” β€” -9.1% -5.93% $202.3M /ltbr-vs-cdxs β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001200375

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Codexis Inc. (CDXS) reported GAAP revenue of $70.4M (+18.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $59.3M , and +0.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.0M, operating cash flow of -$19.4M, and free cash flow of -$23.8M (+55.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CDXS closed FY2025 with $147.8M in total assets against $40.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $70.4M -$44.0M -$19.4M -$23.8M $147.8M $40.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $59.3M -$65.3M -$49.4M -$53.7M $149.0M $28.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $70.1M -$76.2M -$52.6M -$52.6M β€” β€”

3. CDXS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CDXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Codexis Inc. (NASDAQ: CDXS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $1.19 (-2.46% 1D, market cap $133.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CDXS ranks #260 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CDXS compare to ACNT and LODE in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), CDXS carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ACNT (Ascent Industries Co.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E 143.4x, ROIC -18.9%, cap $124.3M) and LODE (Comstock Inc.) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.3%, cap $122.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACNT leads on earnings multiple (143.4x) while LTBR leads on capital efficiency (-9.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CDXS?

Per CDXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001200375), Codexis Inc. generated $70.4M in revenue (+18.6% YoY), -$44.0M in net income, and -$23.8M in free cash flow against $147.8M in total assets and $40.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CDXS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CDXS last traded at $1.19 (-2.46% on volume of 789,474 shares), positioning the stock -14.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.39) and -34.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.81). Across its 52-week range of $0.96 to $2.98, CDXS sits at the 11.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.04 to $1.34).

CDXS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is CDXS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CDXS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 23/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CDXS β€” Codexis Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:02Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CDXS scores 23 out of 100 with letter grade E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -17.85%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 4/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.79). Across every pillar the score sits well below the midpoint, so the rating signals weakness broadly rather than in one isolated area. The cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars carry the most concern: negative ROIC and deeply negative FCF yield indicate the business is not currently converting capital into owner returns, and the Altman Z-Score of 0.2 sits in the distress zone of the source's framing. For a prospective investor, the upside case would depend on a turnaround in operating cash flow that the source data does not show; valuation at a $133.6M market cap against a -$44.0M FY 2025 net loss offers no earnings-based anchor. The rating is an analytical signal, not a recommendation, and the risk profile it describes is elevated.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$70.4M$-41.7M$-44.0MN/A$-23.8M$50.8M$40.1M
FY 2024$59.3M$-58.5M$-65.3MN/A$-53.7M$19.3M$28.9M
FY 2023$70.1M$-68.1M$-76.2MN/A$-52.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating and net losses in all three periods, with net margin of -60% per the market data section. Revenue rose from $59.3M in FY 2024 to $70.4M in FY 2025 while the net loss narrowed from $-65.3M to $-44.0M. ROIC is reported at -35%, and the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.79 per the same section, and FY 2025 cash of $50.8M exceeds reported debt of $40.1M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Lock-up expiry: A MarketScreener report headlined that certain restricted stock units are subject to a lock-up agreement ending on 22-OCT-2026, flagged as a yellow-light market wire item. This is a dated supply-related watch item.
  • Shared-control share holding: Stock Titan reported two firms sharing control of 10.8 million CDXS shares held for clients (yellow light).
  • Insider sale: Investing.com India reported that the CFO sold $8,619 of common stock (yellow light).
  • Earnings catalyst: A report headlined a Q2 2026 earnings result described as a narrower-than-expected loss with an EPS beat, alongside a buyback announcement (green light, classified as a catalyst). Source data does not provide the underlying figures.
  • Price action: A report noted shares slipping 2.29% to $1.28 near lower support on retail volume; the current price is $1.22, down 3.17%.
  • Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Supply chain marked NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue drivers behind the $70.4M FY 2025 revenue?
  • What do the Q2 2026 earnings figures and the buyback size actually show, given the source data lacks the underlying numbers?
  • What is the scale of the 22-OCT-2026 lock-up relative to shares outstanding, and what is the company's cash runway given FY 2025 FCF of $-23.8M?
  • What are the FY 2023 cash and debt balances, which are listed as N/A?
  • What is the basis for the Congressional PTR cluster flow and Form 4 activity cited in the RQD insider pillar, given the holders section is NONE?

CDXS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Codexis Inc. (CDXS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CDXS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CDXS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.19?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CDXS 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CDXS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.07 (-12.3%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CDXS (E β€’ RQD 23/100) a Buy at $1.22?

Welcome to the CDXS (Codexis Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 23/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.94 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $1.22

Pump the brakes on CDXS β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CDXS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 86.7% gross margins. Unless Codexis Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.54 (+26.2%)
Spot @ $1.22

CDXS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CDXS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.22 (52-wk range $0.96 - $2.98), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%