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Why CETX Stock dropped -4.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.18 -4.84% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.17

Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CETX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Cemtrex Inc. (NASDAQ: CETX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $1.18 (-4.84% 1D, market cap $2.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CETX ranks #587 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CETX compare to LNKS and KTCC in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), CETX carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 42.2%, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, LNKS (Linkers Industries Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.0M) and KTCC (Key Tronic Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.9%, cap $23.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ELTK leads on earnings multiple (48.9x) while ELTK leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CETX?
▼

Per CETX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001435064), Cemtrex Inc. generated $76.5M in revenue (+14.4% YoY), -$28.1M in net income, and -$1.8M in free cash flow against $60.3M in total assets and $8.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.17 (-1.06%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
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📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.9% Base Target
$102 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE CETX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CETX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CETX SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$1.88-4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$1.80-0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$1.79-34.1% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$1.18-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CETX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CETX currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.09) and Max Pain ($1.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $101.85.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CETX• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CETX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 31%NO 69%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CETX Stock dropped -4.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) dropped -4.84% to $1.18, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.23 – $97). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.23 – $97) with RSI-14 at 33.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.18 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 42.2% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CETX Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CETX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CETX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CETX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -88.97%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.78H $1.78L $1.18C $1.18VOL 1.37M
RES: $3.10SUP: $0.36SMA50: $2.09SMA200: $6.55
$62.93$46.19$29.46$12.72$-4.01RES $3.10SUP $0.36$1.182026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CETX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CETX Butterfly Map → + Track CETX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CETX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CETX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CETX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CETX)

Technology Rank #587 of 715 ⚔️ LNKS vs CETX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CETX vs. LNKS, KTCC, ELTK, KULR)

Industry: Electrical Products (34 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) ranks #587 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #697 by equity capitalization ($2.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ELTK leads on earnings valuation at 48.9x trailing P/E, while ELTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and 15.4% gross margin. LNKS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with CETX at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CETX ACTIVE
Cemtrex Inc.
E 31/100 — 42.2% 2.4% -4.84% $2.2M Benchmark Subject
LNKS
Linkers Industries Limited (Class A)
D 50/100 — — — 0.00% $1.0M /lnks-vs-cetx →
KTCC
Key Tronic Corporation
E 24/100 — 6.2% -5.9% -0.96% $23.1M /ktcc-vs-cetx →
ELTK
Eltek Ltd.
D- 35/100 48.9x 15.4% 4.2% -3.33% $42.4M /eltk-vs-cetx →
KULR
KULR Technology Group Inc.
E 26/100 — 4.8% -31.4% +1.22% $75.9M /kulr-vs-cetx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001435064 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) reported GAAP revenue of $76.5M (+14.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $66.9M , and +28.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$28.1M, operating cash flow of $159.3K, and free cash flow of -$1.8M (+66.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CETX closed FY2025 with $60.3M in total assets against $8.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $76.5M -$28.1M $159.3K -$1.8M $60.3M $8.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $66.9M -$7.2M -$3.9M -$5.2M $46.7M $11.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $59.4M -$1.5M -$2.2M -$2.2M — —

3. CETX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CETX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cemtrex Inc. (NASDAQ: CETX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $1.18 (-4.84% 1D, market cap $2.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CETX ranks #587 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CETX compare to LNKS and KTCC in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), CETX carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 42.2%, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, LNKS (Linkers Industries Limited (Class A)) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.0M) and KTCC (Key Tronic Corporation) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.9%, cap $23.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ELTK leads on earnings multiple (48.9x) while ELTK leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CETX?

Per CETX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001435064), Cemtrex Inc. generated $76.5M in revenue (+14.4% YoY), -$28.1M in net income, and -$1.8M in free cash flow against $60.3M in total assets and $8.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CETX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CETX last traded at $1.18 (-4.84% on volume of 554,267 shares), positioning the stock -43.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.09) and -81.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.55). Across its 52-week range of $1.23 to $97.00, CETX sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.03 to $1.33).

Direct Sub-Reports: CETX RQD Cockpit CETX 12M Forecast CETX Earnings & Move CETX Dividends & DRIP CETX Insiders & 13F CETX Whale Options CETX Profit Sankey CETX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CETX — Cemtrex Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 31/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.18 (-4.84% 1D, market capitalization $2.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.4%, gross margin of 42.2%, operating margin of 0.7%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.28x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Electrical Products industry. The profile does not describe the company's products, customers, or revenue model. The company reported revenue of $76.5M for FY 2025 and $66.9M for FY 2024. — for how the company makes money beyond these reported revenue figures.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) reported $76.5M in annual revenue (up from $66.9M in FY2024, +14.4% YoY) and -$28.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($59.4M revenue, -$1.5M net income) through FY2025, CETX scaled operating cash flow to $159.3K and free cash flow to -$1.8M, backed by $60.3M in total assets against $8.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 31/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.23 – $97.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against 0.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Electrical Products (Technology), CETX carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 42.2%.

  • Key Question #1: Can CETX sustain or expand its 0.7% operating margin and 2.4% ROIC against Electrical Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $76.5M and free cash flow of -$1.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $8.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CETX's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CETX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CETX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CETX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.18?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CETX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CETX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.49 (+20.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported operating income turned positive at $0.5M in FY 2025 and cash rose to $20.5M from $4.2M, with Debt/Equity at 0.28.

Long CETX at $1.24 targeting $1.49. Reported operating income turned positive at $0.5M in FY 2025 and cash rose to $20.5M from $4.2M, with Debt/Equity at 0.28.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.23 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.24 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.98 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $1.24

Net income was -$28.1M in FY 2025, FCF yield is 0%, ROIC is 2.4%, and the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 per the RQD rating.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CETX: Net income was -$28.1M in FY 2025, FCF yield is 0%, ROIC is 2.4%, and the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 per the RQD rating.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Electrical Products triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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