Citizens Financial Group Inc. (CFG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.2% Move

$63.81 -2.96% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.35

Citizens Financial Group Inc. (CFG) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $27.57B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CFG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE: CFG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $63.81 (-2.96% 1D, market cap $27.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CFG ranks #235 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CFG compare to BBDO and FCNCA in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CFG carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.1%. By comparison, BBDO (Banco Bradesco Sa (each representing one Common Share)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $27.88B) and FCNCA (First Citizens BancShares Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $26.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RF leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while BBD leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CFG?
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Per CFG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000759944), Citizens Financial Group Inc. generated $1.64B in revenue (+6.7% YoY), $1.83B in net income, and $2.14B in free cash flow against $226.35B in total assets and $90.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $63.35 (-0.72%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 130.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$79 Bull$66 Base$52 Bear
📬 FREE CFG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CFG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CFG SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$63.30+1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$64.22+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$65.31-2.3% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$63.81+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CFG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, CFG faces multiple-compression risk if 15.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($66.27) or 200D SMA ($65.64) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($66.11) toward Bear Floor ($51.57).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CFG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CFG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.2% Swing Band

±$2.68 Expected Swing
$61.13 (-4.2%)Spot $63.81$66.49 (+4.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CFG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 66/100

Trailing EPS: $4.37 • YoY Revenue Growth: 6.7%

Model Bullish Setup (66/100)Model Risk Weight (34/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.64B$1.83B$2.14B52%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.53B$1.51B$1.93B52%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.27B$1.61B$2.90B52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CFG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CFG
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CFG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.39%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $65.27H $65.76L $63.81C $63.81VOL 3.29M
RES: $66.14SUP: $59.41SMA50: $66.27SMA200: $65.64
$76.66$71.16$65.67$60.18$54.69RES $66.14SUP $59.41$63.812026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CFG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
7.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CFG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CFG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CFG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CFG)

Financials Rank #235 of 1096 ⚔️ BBDO vs CFG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CFG vs. BBDO, FCNCA, BBD, RF)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Citizens Financial Group Inc. (CFG) ranks #235 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #99 by equity capitalization ($27.57B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RF leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while BBD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. FCNCA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with CFG at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CFG ACTIVE
Citizens Financial Group Inc.
C+ 66/100 15.1x — 2.1% -2.96% $27.57B Benchmark Subject
BBDO
Banco Bradesco Sa (each representing one Common Share)
D 49/100 — — — -2.81% $27.88B /bbdo-vs-cfg →
FCNCA
First Citizens BancShares Inc.
B- 71/100 12.2x — 2.6% -1.25% $26.91B /fcnca-vs-cfg →
BBD
Banco Bradesco Sa
D+ 52/100 32.8x — 9.9% -3.04% $29.45B /bbd-vs-cfg →
RF
Regions Financial Corporation
C 64/100 11.4x — 0.1% -1.07% $24.60B /rf-vs-cfg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000759944

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Citizens Financial Group Inc. (CFG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.64B (+6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.53B , and +29.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.83B, operating cash flow of $2.21B, and free cash flow of $2.14B (+10.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CFG closed FY2025 with $226.35B in total assets against $90.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.64B $1.83B $2.21B $2.14B $226.35B $90.02B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.53B $1.51B $2.00B $1.93B $217.52B $86.97B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.27B $1.61B $2.96B $2.90B $15.16B $3.55B

3. CFG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CFG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE: CFG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $63.81 (-2.96% 1D, market cap $27.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CFG ranks #235 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CFG compare to BBDO and FCNCA in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CFG carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.1%. By comparison, BBDO (Banco Bradesco Sa (each representing one Common Share)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $27.88B) and FCNCA (First Citizens BancShares Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $26.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RF leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while BBD leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CFG?

Per CFG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000759944), Citizens Financial Group Inc. generated $1.64B in revenue (+6.7% YoY), $1.83B in net income, and $2.14B in free cash flow against $226.35B in total assets and $90.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CFG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CFG last traded at $63.81 (-2.96% on volume of 3,513,010 shares), positioning the stock -3.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($66.27) and -2.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($65.64). Across its 52-week range of $49.00 to $75.33, CFG sits at the 56.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($61.13 to $66.49).

CFG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CFG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Citizens Financial Group Inc. (CFG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CFG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.2% event move for CFG, spanning a range between $61.13 and $66.49.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CFG — Citizens Financial Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:40Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CFG scores 66 out of 100 with a letter grade of C+ and a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12 of 20 (ROIC 2.1%; FCF yield 7.75%); Whale 13F Flow at 11 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 15 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 13 of 20 (Beta 1.1; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the mid-range composite suggests a balanced profile rather than a clear-cut opportunity. The strongest pillars are the balance sheet and insider flow, which point to financial resilience and some internal confidence. The weakest is institutional flow, which indicates less visible accumulation from large holders. The cash-engine score is held back by the low ROIC figure relative to the FCF yield, a tradeoff worth understanding: a high free-cash-flow yield can coexist with modest returns on invested capital, particularly in a balance-sheet-heavy business. The beta of 1.1 implies somewhat more volatility than the broad market, so macro sensitivity is a meaningful consideration. Upside drivers within this framework would be sustained institutional accumulation and improving capital efficiency; valuation tradeoffs include a trailing P/E of 15.1 alongside an EV/EBITDA of 36.8, which should be interpreted with caution given how differently those metrics apply to banks. This analysis is educational and not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

MetricValue
Price65.76
Market Cap$27.57B
P/E (TTM)15.1
Forward P/E14
EV/EBITDA36.8
EPS (TTM)4.37
Dividend Yield2.74%
Beta1.1
52-Wk Range$49 - $75.33
ROIC %2.1%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1635.0M$2160.6M$1831.0MN/A$2137.4MN/A$90015.3M
FY 2024$1533.0M$1780.6M$1509.0MN/A$1932.0MN/A$86970.1M
FY 2023$1266.0M$1897.4M$1608.0MN/A$2904.0MN/A$3547.8M

Per the market data, the operating margin is 75% and the net margin is 68%, while the gross margin is reported as 0%. The ROIC is 2.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8 of 9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. The reported debt figures rise from $3547.8M in FY 2023 to $90015.3M in FY 2025, a change that the source data does not explain, and the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 in the RQD summary is not reconciled with the debt series in the financials table.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, the feed contains six Yahoo Finance headlines about CFG published within roughly the last 15 hours of the data timestamp. Headlines describe the stock "ignoring record Q3 earnings momentum," a fair-value estimate that "edges lower after mixed analyst revisions," and a report that "shares fall 5.4% as third-quarter revenue misses estimates despite earnings beat." Other items are pre-earnings previews and an analysis of whether the earnings beat "changes the bull case." The news wire is tagged with green (catalyst) and yellow (market wire) signal lights. Risk watch item: the sourced headlines themselves conflict on whether third-quarter results were a positive or negative surprise, so the net read is not settled. No proprietary signals are provided in the Butterfly graph.

Open Questions

  • What explains the rise in reported debt from $3547.8M (FY 2023) to $90015.3M (FY 2025), and how does it reconcile with the stated Debt/Equity of 0.5?
  • Why are EPS and cash reported as N/A across all periods despite EPS (TTM) being 4.37 in market data?
  • Given conflicting headlines about the Q3 revenue result, what were the reported revenue and earnings figures for that quarter?
  • What is the company's business mix, and how does its gross margin of 0% reflect its reporting structure?
  • What institutional and insider holdings underlie the 11/20 whale-flow and 15/20 insider-conviction pillar scores?

CFG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Citizens Financial Group Inc. (CFG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CFG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CFG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $63.81?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CFG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CFG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $71.02 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CFG (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $65.76?

Welcome to the CFG (Citizens Financial Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $53.92 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $65.76

Pump the brakes on CFG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CFG, but look at what you are paying: 15.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Citizens Financial Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $76.28 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $65.76

CFG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CFG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $65.76 (52-wk range $49.00 - $75.33), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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