Why CGNT Stock dropped -2.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$9.51 -2.86% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.44

Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $723.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CGNT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CGNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Cognyte Software Ltd. (NASDAQ: CGNT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $9.51 (-2.86% 1D, market cap $723.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CGNT ranks #315 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CGNT compare to DCBO and SPT in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CGNT carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.4%, and ROIC of 11.7%. By comparison, DCBO (Docebo Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $735.2M) and SPT (Sprout Social Inc (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.7%, cap $740.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCSI leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while CCSI leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CGNT?
▼

Per CGNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001824814), Cognyte Software Ltd. generated $400.0M in revenue (+14.1% YoY), -$638.0K in net income, and $29.9M in free cash flow against $521.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.44 (-0.70%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 7.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (13)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$13 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE CGNT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CGNT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CGNT SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.09 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.6) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$8.77-0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$8.72+14.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$9.97-4.6% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$9.51-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CGNT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CGNT currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.78) and Max Pain ($9.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.93.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CGNT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CGNT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CGNT Stock dropped -2.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) dropped -2.86% to $9.51, trading at 53% of its 52-week range ($6.29 – $12.31). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 53% of its 52-week range ($6.29 – $12.31) with RSI-14 at 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.3% around $9.51 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 72.4% gross margin and $29.9M annual free cash flow.
Live CGNT Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CGNT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CGNT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CGNT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.93%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $9.95H $9.95L $9.51C $9.51VOL 643.5K
RES: $10.55SUP: $7.77SMA50: $8.78SMA200: $8.83
$12.63$11.31$10.00$8.69$7.37RES $10.55SUP $7.77$9.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CGNT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
26.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CGNT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CGNT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CGNT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CGNT)

Technology Rank #315 of 714 ⚔️ DCBO vs CGNT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CGNT vs. DCBO, SPT, VTEX, CCSI)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) ranks #315 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #392 by equity capitalization ($723.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCSI leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while CCSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.2% ROIC and 79.8% gross margin. CCSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with CGNT at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CGNT ACTIVE
Cognyte Software Ltd.
D+ 54/100 — 72.4% 11.7% -2.86% $723.5M Benchmark Subject
DCBO
Docebo Inc.
C- 61/100 — — — +0.68% $735.2M /dcbo-vs-cgnt →
SPT
Sprout Social Inc (Class A)
D+ 53/100 — 77.6% -31.7% -1.39% $740.4M /spt-vs-cgnt →
VTEX
VTEX (Class A)
C+ 66/100 34.8x 77.5% 6.6% -1.24% $697.2M /vtex-vs-cgnt →
CCSI
Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc.
C+ 69/100 8.2x 79.8% 24.2% -0.93% $690.7M /ccsi-vs-cgnt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001824814

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) reported GAAP revenue of $400.0M (+14.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $350.6M , and +27.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$638.0K, operating cash flow of $40.3M, and free cash flow of $29.9M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CGNT closed FY2025 with $521.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.09, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $400.0M -$638.0K $40.3M $29.9M $521.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $350.6M -$12.1M $46.8M $36.2M $497.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $313.4M -$15.6M $34.6M $34.6M — —

3. CGNT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CGNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Cognyte Software Ltd. (NASDAQ: CGNT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $9.51 (-2.86% 1D, market cap $723.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CGNT ranks #315 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CGNT compare to DCBO and SPT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CGNT carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 72.4%, and ROIC of 11.7%. By comparison, DCBO (Docebo Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $735.2M) and SPT (Sprout Social Inc (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.7%, cap $740.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCSI leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while CCSI leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CGNT?

Per CGNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001824814), Cognyte Software Ltd. generated $400.0M in revenue (+14.1% YoY), -$638.0K in net income, and $29.9M in free cash flow against $521.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CGNT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CGNT last traded at $9.51 (-2.86% on volume of 671,117 shares), positioning the stock +8.31% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.78) and +7.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.83). Across its 52-week range of $6.29 to $12.31, CGNT sits at the 53.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($8.63 to $10.39).

CGNT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is CGNT stock moving today?

Why CGNT Stock dropped -2.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CGNT — Cognyte Software Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:33Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating places CGNT at 54 out of 100, a D+ grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim," per the Roarable RQD rating. The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 11.7% and an FCF yield of 4.14%. These are the rating's cash-generation inputs and are a modest contributor to the score.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data contains no 13F holder detail (see Analyst View section), so the basis for this score cannot be independently traced in this dossier.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. No underlying insider transactions are provided in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity, the weakest pillar relative to its maximum.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.09, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating's composite message is that the balance sheet and cash metrics are adequate but not strong, while macro-sensitivity and insider/institutional conviction signals score below midpoint. The rating's own verdict is a trim-oriented stance, which implies that on this framework the risk-reward is not presently favorable. A low FCF yield of 4.14% paired with an EV/EBITDA of 27.5 (per the market data) suggests the market is pricing in substantial future earnings expansion, a valuation tradeoff that depends on operating margin improvement from its current 3.3%. Upside drivers would need to come from margin expansion and sustained cash generation; the rating's weaker pillars indicate that these are not yet reflected in the score.

Business

Cognyte Software Ltd. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe the company's products, customers, or revenue model beyond this classification. Per the market data, the company reports gross margin of 72.4%, operating margin of 3.3%, and net margin of -0.2%. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 revenue was $400.0M.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$400.0M$13.3M$-0.6MN/A$29.9M$116.9MN/A
FY 2024$350.6M$-5.1M$-12.1MN/A$36.2M$112.7MN/A
FY 2023$313.4M$-18.1M$-15.6MN/A$34.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $313.4M in FY 2023 to $400.0M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from $-18.1M to $13.3M over the same span. Per the market data, ROIC is 11.7%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.09 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5; debt values are not available in source data for the reported periods.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the following items were reported:

  • Yahoo! Finance Canada coverage of market action and institutional positioning (classified YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Yahoo Finance report referencing an analyst-implied move of 41.24% (classified GREEN, CATALYST). The headline attributes this to analysts, but no analyst data is provided in the source data to verify it.
  • TradingView estimates coverage (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • GuruFocus report of a $20M+ defense contract with a NATO ministry (GREEN, CATALYST).
  • Kalkine report questioning weaker billings alongside faster software growth (GREEN, CATALYST). This is a potential risk watch item regarding revenue quality.
  • Stock Titan coverage of investigative analytics solutions highlighted at IACP 2026 (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links or proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order links are mapped for CGNT. Not available in source data for supplier, customer, or competitor linkages. The only sector context available is the Technology / Prepackaged Software classification. A prospective investor should note that any ripple analysis beyond this classification would require data not present in this source set.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products and customer concentration, given that the source data provides only a sector classification?
  • What is the reconciliation between the reported net loss in FY 2025 and the positive operating income, and what drives the gap?
  • Why do the financial periods show Cash and Debt as N/A for several years, and what is the current debt load?
  • What supports the "Could Surge 41.24%" analyst headline, given that no analyst data or price targets are provided?
  • What are the insider and institutional holder details underlying the Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction pillar scores?

CGNT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CGNT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CGNT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.51?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CGNT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CGNT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $10.57 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CGNT (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $9.79?

Welcome to the CGNT (Cognyte Software Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.73 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $9.79

Pump the brakes on CGNT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CGNT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 72.4% gross margins. Unless Cognyte Software Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.14 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $9.79

CGNT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CGNT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.79 (52-wk range $6.29 - $12.31), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%