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ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$9.88 +3.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.92

ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $256.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CHPT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CHPT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $9.88 (+3.56% 1D, market cap $256.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CHPT ranks #358 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHPT compare to ULBI and ELVA in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CHPT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ULBI (Ultralife Corporation) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.8%, cap $260.3M) and ELVA (Electrovaya Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $264.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHPT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALTG leads on capital efficiency (4.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHPT?
▼

Per CHPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001777393), ChargePoint Holdings Inc. generated $411.2M in revenue (-1.4% YoY), -$220.2M in net income, and -$67.0M in free cash flow against $792.2M in total assets and $228.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.92 (+0.45%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (15)SEC (6)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$12 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE CHPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHPT SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (41% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+6/20 pts (16% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$7.22+8.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$7.83+11.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$8.73+13.2% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$9.88-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CHPT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CHPT currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.33) and Max Pain ($10.37) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.82.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CHPT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $9.88: 1012.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.98
$7,065
$-2,935 (-29.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $8.95
$9,059
$-941 (-9.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $11.82
$11,964
+$1,964 (+19.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CHPT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CHPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CHPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +59.10%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $9.27H $9.88L $9.27C $9.88VOL 898.1K
RES: $11.98SUP: $5.37SMA50: $8.33SMA200: $6.69
$11.69$9.90$8.10$6.31$4.51RES $11.98SUP $5.37$9.882026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CHPT Butterfly Map → + Track CHPT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHPT)

Industrials Rank #358 of 486 ⚔️ ULBI vs CHPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CHPT vs. ULBI, ELVA, ALTG, AZ)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) ranks #358 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #336 by equity capitalization ($256.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHPT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ALTG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.0% ROIC and 25.9% gross margin. ULBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with CHPT at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CHPT ACTIVE
ChargePoint Holdings Inc.
D- 37/100 — 30.5% -35.0% +3.56% $256.2M Benchmark Subject
ULBI
Ultralife Corporation
D+ 56/100 — 24.1% -2.8% 0.00% $260.3M /ulbi-vs-chpt →
ELVA
Electrovaya Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -0.19% $264.0M /elva-vs-chpt →
ALTG
Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A)
D 51/100 — 25.9% 4.0% +0.81% $241.1M /altg-vs-chpt →
AZ
A2Z Cust2Mate Solutions Corp.
D 51/100 — — — -0.16% $275.0M /az-vs-chpt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001777393 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) reported GAAP revenue of $411.2M (-1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $417.1M , and -18.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$220.2M, operating cash flow of -$62.8M, and free cash flow of -$67.0M (+57.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHPT closed FY2025 with $792.2M in total assets against $228.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $411.2M -$220.2M -$62.8M -$67.0M $792.2M $228.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $417.1M -$277.1M -$146.9M -$159.0M $898.2M $297.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $506.6M -$457.6M -$328.9M -$328.9M — —

3. CHPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CHPT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $9.88 (+3.56% 1D, market cap $256.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CHPT ranks #358 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHPT compare to ULBI and ELVA in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CHPT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ULBI (Ultralife Corporation) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.8%, cap $260.3M) and ELVA (Electrovaya Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $264.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHPT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALTG leads on capital efficiency (4.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHPT?

Per CHPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001777393), ChargePoint Holdings Inc. generated $411.2M in revenue (-1.4% YoY), -$220.2M in net income, and -$67.0M in free cash flow against $792.2M in total assets and $228.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHPT last traded at $9.88 (+3.56% on volume of 1,378,175 shares), positioning the stock +18.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.33) and +47.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.69). Across its 52-week range of $4.44 to $11.26, CHPT sits at the 79.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.64 to $11.12).

Direct Sub-Reports: CHPT RQD Cockpit CHPT 12M Forecast CHPT Earnings & Move CHPT Dividends & DRIP CHPT Insiders & 13F CHPT Whale Options CHPT Profit Sankey CHPT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CHPT — ChargePoint Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $9.88 (+3.56% 1D, market capitalization $256.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 30.5%, operating margin of -51.1%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.50x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $0.2B. — for further business-model detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) reported $411.2M in annual revenue (up from $417.1M in FY2024, -1.4% YoY) and -$220.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($506.6M revenue, -$457.6M net income) through FY2025, CHPT scaled operating cash flow to -$62.8M and free cash flow to -$67.0M, backed by $792.2M in total assets against $228.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.44 – $11.26 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -51.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply_chain field is NONE and butterfly_links is empty, so no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. — for supply-chain ripple analysis. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means this analysis cannot be quantified from the provided materials.

  • Key Question #1: Can CHPT sustain or expand its -51.1% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $411.2M and free cash flow of -$67.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $228.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CHPT's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CHPT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CHPT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHPT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.88?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHPT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CHPT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.02 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Whale 13F flow scores 15 / 20, the strongest pillar, indicating comparatively constructive institutional positioning.

Long CHPT at $9.54 targeting $12.02. Whale 13F flow scores 15 / 20, the strongest pillar, indicating comparatively constructive institutional positioning.. Institutional whale score is 15/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $4.44 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 15/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $9.54 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.25 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $9.54

Altman Z of 0.2 and Debt/Equity of 8.5 combine with -35% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, leaving no positive earnings or cash anchor.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short CHPT above $9.54. Altman Z of 0.2 and Debt/Equity of 8.5 combine with -35% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, leaving no positive earnings or cash anchor.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $11.26.

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