Why CLBK Stock surged +2.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$11.04 +2.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.08

Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.89B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CLBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Columbia Financial Inc. (NASDAQ: CLBK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $11.04 (+2.89% 1D, market cap $2.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CLBK ranks #621 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CLBK compare to PFS and BKU in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), CLBK carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PFS (Provident Financial Services Inc) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $3.02B) and BKU (BankUnited Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $3.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PFS leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while PFS leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLBK?
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Per CLBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002115119), Columbia Financial Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $11.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.08 (+0.33%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-
Cash (10)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$13 Bull$11 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE CLBK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLBK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CLBK SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 82% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$10.86-2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$10.57+3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$10.89+1.4% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$11.04-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CLBK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CLBK currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.20) and Max Pain ($11.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.67.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLBK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CLBK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CLBK Stock surged +2.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) surged +2.89% to $11.04, trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($6.56 – $12). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($6.56 – $12) with RSI-14 at 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5% around $11.04 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $81.0M annual free cash flow.
Live CLBK Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Columbia Financial: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

Yahoo Finance report covering Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CLBK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CLBK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CLBK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.73%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $10.67H $11.04L $10.67C $11.04VOL 1.76M
RES: $11.17SUP: $10.53SMA50: $11.20SMA200: $9.55
$12.32$10.98$9.63$8.29$6.94RES $11.17SUP $10.53$11.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLBK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLBK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLBK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLBK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLBK)

Financials Rank #621 of 1096 ⚔️ PFS vs CLBK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CLBK vs. PFS, BKU, TFSL, EBC)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) ranks #621 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #373 by equity capitalization ($2.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PFS leads on earnings valuation at 10.4x trailing P/E, while PFS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EBC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with CLBK at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CLBK ACTIVE
Columbia Financial Inc.
D+ 52/100 — — — +2.89% $2.89B Benchmark Subject
PFS
Provident Financial Services Inc
C+ 68/100 10.4x — 10.3% -0.99% $3.02B /pfs-vs-clbk →
BKU
BankUnited Inc.
D+ 54/100 11.5x — 8.8% -0.92% $3.09B /bku-vs-clbk →
TFSL
TFS Financial Corporation
D+ 52/100 51.7x — 4.8% -1.97% $4.70B /tfsl-vs-clbk →
EBC
Eastern Bankshares Inc.
C+ 69/100 58.6x — 0.7% -1.10% $5.17B /ebc-vs-clbk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002115119

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, CLBK closed FY2025 with $11.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $11.02B —

3. CLBK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Columbia Financial Inc. (NASDAQ: CLBK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $11.04 (+2.89% 1D, market cap $2.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CLBK ranks #621 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CLBK compare to PFS and BKU in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), CLBK carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PFS (Provident Financial Services Inc) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $3.02B) and BKU (BankUnited Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $3.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PFS leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while PFS leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLBK?

Per CLBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002115119), Columbia Financial Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $11.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CLBK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLBK last traded at $11.04 (+2.89% on volume of 5,891,820 shares), positioning the stock -1.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.20) and +15.60% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.55). Across its 52-week range of $6.56 to $12.00, CLBK sits at the 82.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($10.49 to $11.59).

CLBK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is CLBK stock moving today?

Why CLBK Stock surged +2.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CLBK — Columbia Financial Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:12:08Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CLBK scores 52 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The score is built from five pillars. The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 10 of 20, reflecting an ROIC of 0% and an FCF yield of 0%; for an investor, this means the source data shows no measurable return on capital or free cash generation to support the valuation. Whale 13F Flow scores 9 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), indicating weak institutional support in the data. Insider Conviction scores 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), indicating little insider signal of confidence. Macro Regime Fit scores 11 of 20, with a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted, meaning the stock is assessed as moving in line with the broad market rather than offering defensive or differentiated exposure. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 13 of 20, the strongest pillar, reflecting an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5; this is the most supportive element of the rating. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on balance-sheet stability and the price's position well off its 52-week high, while the valuation tradeoff is that the earnings and cash-flow metrics required to justify the price are not present in the source data. This is an educational reading of the rating, not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/AN/A$340.8MN/A

Per the SEC financials section, reported revenue, operating income, and net income are each listed as $0.0M for FY 2025, and EPS and FCF are listed as N/A, so no profitability trend can be drawn from the source data. Per the market data section, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is 0%. Altman Z-Score (2.5) and Piotroski F-Score (6/9) are cited in the Roarable RQD rating, and Debt/Equity is cited as 0.5 in the same section. Cash is listed at $340.8M, while debt is listed as N/A in the SEC financials section.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, five headlines are listed, all rated YELLOW under the MARKET WIRE impact label. They include a Stocktwits market-action report, a Yahoo Finance headline stating "Columbia Financial (CLBK) Q3 Earnings Top Estimates," a Seeking Alpha piece on the company "Appears Poised For Earnings Expansion Following Second-Step Conversion," a Stock Titan report on a director's deferred stock unit purchase, and a MarketScreener earnings flash reporting Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.16 against a FactSet estimate of $0.15. A Yahoo Finance "Q3 Earnings Snapshot" is also listed. Risk watch items are not specified in the source data. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported FY 2025 revenue, operating income, and net income figures, given that the source lists them as $0.0M?
  • What is the basis for the Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.16 cited in the MarketScreener headline, and how does it reconcile with the EPS (TTM) figure, which is not available?
  • What is the debt balance, given the source lists debt as N/A while citing a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5?
  • What are the sources and timing of the Form 4 and 13F holder data, which the holders section lists as NONE?
  • What specific mechanism underlies the "second-step conversion" thesis referenced in the Seeking Alpha headline?

CLBK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Columbia Financial Inc. (CLBK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CLBK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CLBK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.04?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CLBK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CLBK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $11.59 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CLBK (D+ • RQD 52/100) a Buy at $10.73?

Welcome to the CLBK (Columbia Financial Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 52/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Savings Institutions. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.58 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $10.73

Pump the brakes on CLBK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CLBK, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Columbia Financial Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.66 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $10.73

CLBK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CLBK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Savings Institutions and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.73 (52-wk range $6.56 - $12.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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