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Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$12.13 -0.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.10

Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.05B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CLBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Cellebrite DI Ltd. (NASDAQ: CLBT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $12.13 (-0.16% 1D, market cap $3.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CLBT ranks #91 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CLBT compare to SPSC and VIA in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CLBT carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.4x, gross margin of 84.2%, and ROIC of 14.6%. By comparison, SPSC (SPS Commerce Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 33.1x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $3.02B) and VIA (Via Transportation Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.6%, cap $2.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TDC leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while TDC leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLBT?
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Per CLBT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001854587), Cellebrite DI Ltd. generated $475.7M in revenue (+18.6% YoY), $78.3M in net income, and $160.3M in free cash flow against $938.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (84.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.10 (-0.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 33.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C+ · Rk B-
Cash (17)Whales (9)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$21 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE CLBT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLBT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CLBT SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.95 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.7% FCF Margin ($160.3M FCF) & 84.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$10.83+6.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$11.50+3.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$11.92+1.8% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$12.13+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CLBT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, CLBT faces multiple-compression risk if 39.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.56) or 200D SMA ($13.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.73) toward Bear Floor ($9.93).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLBT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CLBT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CLBT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $12.13: 824.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $9.93
$8,186
$-1,814 (-18.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $12.73
$10,495
+$495 (+4.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $20.98
$17,296
+$7,296 (+73.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$2069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$1158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CLBT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CLBT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.74%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-04O $12.15H $12.15L $12.13C $12.13VOL 1.59M
RES: $12.30SUP: $11.03SMA50: $11.56SMA200: $13.33
$17.57$15.41$13.24$11.07$8.91RES $12.30SUP $11.03$12.132026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLBT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CLBT Butterfly Map → + Track CLBT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
30.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLBT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLBT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLBT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLBT)

Technology Rank #91 of 715 ⚔️ SPSC vs CLBT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CLBT vs. SPSC, VIA, TDC, ALRM)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT) ranks #91 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #250 by equity capitalization ($3.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TDC leads on earnings valuation at 24.8x trailing P/E, while TDC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 59.4% gross margin. ALRM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with CLBT at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CLBT ACTIVE
Cellebrite DI Ltd.
C+ 69/100 39.4x 84.2% 14.6% -0.16% $3.05B Benchmark Subject
SPSC
SPS Commerce Inc.
C+ 69/100 33.1x 69.2% 11.4% +2.52% $3.02B /spsc-vs-clbt →
VIA
Via Transportation Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 — 39.6% -23.6% +0.03% $2.97B /via-vs-clbt →
TDC
Teradata Corporation
C+ 66/100 24.8x 59.4% 85.0% -1.87% $3.13B /tdc-vs-clbt →
ALRM
Alarm.com Holdings Inc.
B 73/100 24.8x 66.1% 64.6% +1.80% $3.24B /alrm-vs-clbt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001854587 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT) reported GAAP revenue of $475.7M (+18.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $401.2M , and +46.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $78.3M, operating cash flow of $173.5M, and free cash flow of $160.3M (+29.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CLBT closed FY2025 with $938.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.95, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $475.7M $78.3M $173.5M $160.3M $938.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $401.2M -$283.0M $132.2M $123.6M $690.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $325.1M -$81.1M $102.1M $102.1M — —

3. CLBT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cellebrite DI Ltd. (NASDAQ: CLBT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $12.13 (-0.16% 1D, market cap $3.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CLBT ranks #91 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CLBT compare to SPSC and VIA in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CLBT carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.4x, gross margin of 84.2%, and ROIC of 14.6%. By comparison, SPSC (SPS Commerce Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 33.1x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $3.02B) and VIA (Via Transportation Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.6%, cap $2.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TDC leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while TDC leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLBT?

Per CLBT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001854587), Cellebrite DI Ltd. generated $475.7M in revenue (+18.6% YoY), $78.3M in net income, and $160.3M in free cash flow against $938.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (84.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CLBT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLBT last traded at $12.13 (-0.16% on volume of 1,587,913 shares), positioning the stock +4.93% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.56) and -9.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.33). Across its 52-week range of $9.58 to $19.98, CLBT sits at the 24.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($11.27 to $12.99).

Direct Sub-Reports: CLBT RQD Cockpit CLBT 12M Forecast CLBT Earnings & Move CLBT Dividends & DRIP CLBT Insiders & 13F CLBT Whale Options CLBT Profit Sankey CLBT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CLBT — Cellebrite DI Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $12.13 (-0.16% 1D, market capitalization $3.05B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 14.6%, gross margin of 84.2%, operating margin of 14.0%, and free cash flow yield of 5.19%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.95, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 84.2%, an operating margin of 14%, and a net margin of 16.5%. —: product lines, customer segments, and the specific mechanics of how the company generates revenue.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT) reported $475.7M in annual revenue (up from $401.2M in FY2024, +18.6% YoY) and $78.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($325.1M revenue, -$81.1M net income) through FY2025, CLBT scaled operating cash flow to $173.5M and free cash flow to $160.3M, backed by $938.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Strong cash generator (84.2% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.58 – $19.98 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 39.4x trailing P/E and 38.1x EV/EBITDA against 14.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology), CLBT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 84.2%.

  • Key Question #1: Can CLBT sustain or expand its 14.0% operating margin and 14.6% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $475.7M and free cash flow of $160.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CLBT's 33.1x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CLBT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CLBT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CLBT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.13?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CLBT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CLBT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.97 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC of 14.6% and a Piotroski F of 8/9 point to a cash-generative, financially sound business.

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC of 14.6% and a Piotroski F of 8/9 point to a cash-generative, financially sound business.. When you look under the hood at CLBT, Fundamental Cash Engine is 17/20 with 84.2% gross margins and 14.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (9/20) has been quietly accumulating below $19.98. My 12M target is $13.97.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 69/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $12.15 and keeping dry powder in case we test $11.30.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.60 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $12.15

Trailing P/E of 39.4 and EV/EBITDA of 38.1 are elevated, leaving the stock exposed if cash-flow growth slows.

Trailing P/E of 39.4 and EV/EBITDA of 38.1 are elevated, leaving the stock exposed if cash-flow growth slows.. Look at the math on CLBT: paying 39.4x trailing P/E for 14.6% ROIC and 14.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $10.69 before getting long.

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