RISK WATCHGuruFocus • 23h ago
CMB.Tech NV (CMBT) Shares Fall 8.7% -- GF Value Says Still OvervGuruFocus report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why CMBT Stock dropped -5.65% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$17.38 -5.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.17
CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $5.34B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CMBT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
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Is CMBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, CMB.TECH NV (NYSE: CMBT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $17.38 (-5.65% 1D, market cap $5.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CMBT ranks #365 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CMBT compare to INSW and STNG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), CMBT carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, INSW (International Seaways Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $5.73B) and STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INSW leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while INSW leads on capital efficiency (11.2% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMBT?
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For CMB.TECH NV (CMBT), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #365 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.17 (-1.21%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMBT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CMBT SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 69% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$20.79-16.2% Next Q
66
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$17.43+4.5% Next Q
63
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$18.21-4.6% Next Q
61
CurrentGrade D+$17.38+0% Hist 90D α
58
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CMBT Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, CMBT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.03) or 200D SMA ($15.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.38) toward Bear Floor ($13.56).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMBT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CMBT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CMBT Stock dropped -5.65% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) dropped -5.65% to $17.38, trading at 69% of its 52-week range ($9.05 – $21.19). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 69% of its 52-week range ($9.05 – $21.19) with RSI-14 at 46.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.6% around $17.38 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $149.7M annual free cash flow.
Live CMBT Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTThe Globe and Mail • 1d ago
CMB.TECH Books $59.6 Million Gain on Sale of Suezmax StellaThe Globe and Mail report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREQuiver Quantitative • 1d ago
CMB.TECH Shareholders Approve USD 0.64 Per Share Distribution and Related Resolutions | CMBT Stock NewsQuiver Quantitative report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
CMB.TECH (CMBT) Stock Price, News & AnalysisMarketBeat report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
The world's first ship to run on ammonia has begun its voyage to Australia.Stock Titan report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREPluang • 1d ago
CMBT Stock Fundamentals & Key RatiosPluang report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago
Twelve analysts set USD 20.81 target for CMB.TECH stock at 20.64 percent premiumad-hoc-news.de report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRETraders Union • 1d ago
CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) Stock Price Prediction for 2026, 2030-2040Traders Union report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
Will Tanker Sale Gain Change Cmb.Tech Stock NarrativeCmb.Tech has reported that it sold its 2011-built Suezmax tanker Stella, a 165,000 dwt vessel, and realized an approximate US$59.6 million gain in the fourth quarter of 2026 from the disposal, with the ship already deliv
RISK WATCHBenzinga • 19d ago
Reported Earlier, 'US considers easing sanctions on shadow fleet vessels to cut freight rates, official says' - Reuters Exclusivehttps://www.reuters.com/legal/government/us-considers-easing-sanctions-shadow-fleet-vessels-cut-freight-rates-official-2026-10-15/
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMBT)
- ✓Walkthrough of CMBT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CMBT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.96%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $18.75H $18.75L $17.38C $17.38VOL 675.6K
RES: $23.43SUP: $17.53SMA50: $19.03SMA200: $15.49
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CMBT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMBT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMBT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMBT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMBT)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #365 of 1009
⚔️ INSW vs CMBT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CMBT vs. INSW, STNG, GLNG, BIPC)
Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) ranks #365 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #256 by equity capitalization ($5.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INSW leads on earnings valuation at 18.8x trailing P/E, while INSW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.2% ROIC and — gross margin. INSW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with CMBT at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMBT
ACTIVE
CMB.TECH NV | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -5.65% | $5.34B | Benchmark Subject |
| INSW International Seaways Inc. | B+ | 79/100 | 18.8x | — | 11.2% | -5.60% | $5.73B | /insw-vs-cmbt → |
| STNG Scorpio Tankers Inc. | B | 72/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -6.46% | $4.79B | /stng-vs-cmbt → |
| GLNG Golar Lng Ltd | D | 44/100 | 72.3x | — | 2.5% | -3.31% | $4.70B | /glng-vs-cmbt → |
| BIPC Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | +2.03% | $4.61B | /bipc-vs-cmbt → |
2. CMBT Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTCMB.TECH NV (CMBT) operates in Marine Transportation (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $5.34B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. CMBT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CMBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, CMB.TECH NV (NYSE: CMBT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $17.38 (-5.65% 1D, market cap $5.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CMBT ranks #365 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CMBT compare to INSW and STNG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), CMBT carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, INSW (International Seaways Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $5.73B) and STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INSW leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while INSW leads on capital efficiency (11.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMBT?
For CMB.TECH NV (CMBT), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #365 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CMBT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CMBT last traded at $17.38 (-5.65% on volume of 1,077,359 shares), positioning the stock -8.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.03) and +12.20% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.49). Across its 52-week range of $9.05 to $21.19, CMBT sits at the 68.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($16.23 to $18.53).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
CMBT — CMB.TECH NV: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $17.38 (-5.65% 1D, market capitalization $5.34B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Marine Transportation industry. The profile identifies the company as operating in Marine Transportation with a market capitalization of $5.4B.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 58/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.05 – $21.19 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Marine Transportation (Consumer Discretionary), CMBT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can CMBT sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $21.19 52-week high?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is CMBT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
CMBT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🔴 RISK WATCH GuruFocus • 23h ago
CMB.Tech NV (CMBT) Shares Fall 8.7% -- GF Value Says Still Overv GuruFocus report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST The Globe and Mail • 1d ago
CMB.TECH Books $59.6 Million Gain on Sale of Suezmax Stella The Globe and Mail report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Quiver Quantitative • 1d ago
CMB.TECH Shareholders Approve USD 0.64 Per Share Distribution and Related Resolutions | CMBT Stock News Quiver Quantitative report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
CMB.TECH (CMBT) Stock Price, News & Analysis MarketBeat report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
The world's first ship to run on ammonia has begun its voyage to Australia. Stock Titan report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Pluang • 1d ago
CMBT Stock Fundamentals & Key Ratios Pluang report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago
Twelve analysts set USD 20.81 target for CMB.TECH stock at 20.64 percent premium ad-hoc-news.de report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Traders Union • 1d ago
CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) Stock Price Prediction for 2026, 2030-2040 Traders Union report covering CMB.TECH NV (CMBT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
CMBT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.38?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CMBT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $21.18 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Per the news feed, a $59.6 Million gain on sale of Suezmax Stella marks a recent GREEN catalyst.
Per the news feed, a $59.6 Million gain on sale of Suezmax Stella marks a recent GREEN catalyst.. When you look under the hood at CMBT, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (11/20) has been quietly accumulating below $21.19. My 12M target is $21.18.
VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL
@MultipleCompression Shorting a 11/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $18.42 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.
MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $14.74 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $18.42 Per the RQD rating, ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, while the insider conviction pillar scores only 9 of 20.
Per the RQD rating, ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, while the insider conviction pillar scores only 9 of 20.. Look at the math on CMBT: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Marine Transportation demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $16.21 before getting long.