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Why CMT Stock advanced +0.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$22.60 +0.89% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.59

Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $198.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Core Molding Technologies Inc (NYSE: CMT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $22.60 (+0.89% 1D, market cap $198.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CMT ranks #250 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CMT compare to DSWL and SWIM in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), CMT carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 17.4%, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, DSWL (Deswell Industries Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 4.4x, ROIC —, cap $46.1M) and SWIM (Latham Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 76.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $860.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DSWL leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMT?
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Per CMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001026655), Core Molding Technologies Inc generated $273.8M in revenue (-9.5% YoY), $11.2M in net income, and $1.9M in free cash flow against $228.1M in total assets and $17.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.59 (-0.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$30 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE CMT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CMT SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.38 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$23.69-4.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$22.56+1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$22.78-0.8% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$22.60-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CMT currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.46) and Max Pain ($23.73) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CMT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CMT Stock advanced +0.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) advanced +0.89% to $22.60, trading at 50% of its 52-week range ($16.6 – $28.69). Stretched risk/reward at 18x P/E (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 50% of its 52-week range ($16.6 – $28.69) with RSI-14 at 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.7% around $22.60 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 17.4% gross margin and $1.9M annual free cash flow.
Live CMT Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CMT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.93%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $22.52H $22.60L $22.40C $22.60VOL 26.1K
RES: $27.76SUP: $21.79SMA50: $23.46SMA200: $23.10
$27.89$25.75$23.61$21.47$19.34RES $27.76SUP $21.79$22.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
10.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMT)

Industrials Rank #250 of 486 ⚔️ DSWL vs CMT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CMT vs. DSWL, SWIM, KRT, MYE)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) ranks #250 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #350 by equity capitalization ($198.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DSWL leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with CMT at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CMT ACTIVE
Core Molding Technologies Inc
D 48/100 17.8x 17.4% 8.2% +0.89% $198.2M Benchmark Subject
DSWL
Deswell Industries Inc.
D 44/100 4.4x 22.4% — -1.72% $46.1M /dswl-vs-cmt →
SWIM
Latham Group Inc.
D+ 57/100 76.8x 33.4% 3.5% +2.05% $860.0M /swim-vs-cmt →
KRT
Karat Packaging Inc.
B+ 78/100 34.4x 36.8% 29.3% -1.72% $1.08B /krt-vs-cmt →
MYE
Myers Industries Inc.
C- 61/100 32.7x 33.4% 10.4% -2.20% $1.11B /mye-vs-cmt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001026655 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) reported GAAP revenue of $273.8M (-9.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $302.4M , and -23.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $11.2M, operating cash flow of $19.2M, and free cash flow of $1.9M (-91.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMT closed FY2025 with $228.1M in total assets against $17.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.38, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $273.8M $11.2M $19.2M $1.9M $228.1M $17.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $302.4M $13.3M $35.2M $23.6M $209.6M $19.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $357.7M $20.3M $34.8M $34.8M — —

3. CMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Core Molding Technologies Inc (NYSE: CMT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $22.60 (+0.89% 1D, market cap $198.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CMT ranks #250 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMT compare to DSWL and SWIM in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), CMT carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 17.4%, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, DSWL (Deswell Industries Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 4.4x, ROIC —, cap $46.1M) and SWIM (Latham Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 76.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $860.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DSWL leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMT?

Per CMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001026655), Core Molding Technologies Inc generated $273.8M in revenue (-9.5% YoY), $11.2M in net income, and $1.9M in free cash flow against $228.1M in total assets and $17.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMT last traded at $22.60 (+0.89% on volume of 53,298 shares), positioning the stock -3.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.46) and -2.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.10). Across its 52-week range of $16.60 to $28.69, CMT sits at the 49.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($21.09 to $24.11).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CMT — Core Molding Technologies Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $22.60 (+0.89% 1D, market capitalization $198.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.2%, gross margin of 17.4%, operating margin of 5.2%, and free cash flow yield of 0.96%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.38, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.11x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And the profile, Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector and Plastic Products industry. The profile identifies the company as an Industrials issuer operating in Plastic Products with a market capitalization of $0.2B. Products, customers, and revenue-generation details are — The source data also does not describe the company's specific end markets beyond the sector and industry classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) reported $273.8M in annual revenue (up from $302.4M in FY2024, -9.5% YoY) and $11.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($357.7M revenue, $20.3M net income) through FY2025, CMT scaled operating cash flow to $19.2M and free cash flow to $1.9M, backed by $228.1M in total assets against $17.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.96% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $16.60 – $28.69 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 17.8x trailing P/E and 6.2x EV/EBITDA against 5.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is therefore — Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks are — beyond the Industrials / Plastic Products classification. Investors should note that the revenue decline across the three reported periods and the expansion plans referenced in the news are not linked to any mapped supply-chain relationship in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can CMT sustain or expand its 5.2% operating margin and 8.2% ROIC against Plastic Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $273.8M and free cash flow of $1.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $17.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CMT's 16.6x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CMT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CMT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CMT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.60?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CMT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CMT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $26.66 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet is the strongest pillar with Altman Z 4.38, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.11 supporting resilience.

Don't sleep on CMT's setup in Industrials. Balance sheet is the strongest pillar with Altman Z 4.38, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.11 supporting resilience.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (48/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 48/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $22.40 and keeping dry powder in case we test $20.83.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.02 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $22.40

Free cash flow collapsed to $1.9M in FY 2025 from $23.6M in FY 2024 while revenue fell from $357.7M to $273.8M over three periods.

Fading this rally in CMT at $22.40. Free cash flow collapsed to $1.9M in FY 2025 from $23.6M in FY 2024 while revenue fell from $357.7M to $273.8M over three periods.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $22.40 (52-wk range $16.60–$28.69), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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