Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (NYSE: CMTG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.15 (-2.54% 1D, market cap $166.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CMTG ranks #997 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CMTG carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.9%. By comparison, AOMR (Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 3.8x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $169.0M) and DOUG (Douglas Elliman Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 9.6x, ROIC 52.5%, cap $145.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).
Per CMTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001666291), Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. generated $187.8M in revenue (-24.4% YoY), -$489.1M in net income, and -$30.5M in free cash flow against $4.72B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11% realized swing band)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While CMTG currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.36) and Max Pain ($1.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.80.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) dropped -2.54% to $1.15, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.09 – $3.62). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-32% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall Street report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -24.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMTG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMTG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) ranks #997 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #916 by equity capitalization ($166.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AOMR leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while DOUG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 52.5% ROIC and — gross margin. CHCI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with CMTG at 34/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMTG
ACTIVE
Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | — | -31.9% | -2.54% | $166.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. | D | 46/100 | 3.8x | — | 16.5% | -3.57% | $169.0M | /aomr-vs-cmtg → |
| DOUG Douglas Elliman Inc. | D | 48/100 | 9.6x | — | 52.5% | -3.12% | $145.4M | /doug-vs-cmtg → |
| CHCI Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) | C | 63/100 | 11.3x | — | 24.4% | -3.85% | $192.1M | /chci-vs-cmtg → |
| BEEP Mobile Infrastructure Corporation | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -15.2% | -0.39% | $104.5M | /beep-vs-cmtg → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) reported GAAP revenue of $187.8M (-24.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $248.4M , and -38.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$489.1M, operating cash flow of -$30.5M, and free cash flow of -$30.5M (-136.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMTG closed FY2025 with $4.72B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $187.8M | -$489.1M | -$30.5M | -$30.5M | $4.72B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $248.4M | -$221.3M | $84.5M | $84.5M | $6.97B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $306.6M | $6.0M | $111.1M | $111.1M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (NYSE: CMTG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.15 (-2.54% 1D, market cap $166.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CMTG ranks #997 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CMTG carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.9%. By comparison, AOMR (Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 3.8x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $169.0M) and DOUG (Douglas Elliman Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 9.6x, ROIC 52.5%, cap $145.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).
Per CMTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001666291), Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. generated $187.8M in revenue (-24.4% YoY), -$489.1M in net income, and -$30.5M in free cash flow against $4.72B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
CMTG last traded at $1.15 (-2.54% on volume of 559,566 shares), positioning the stock -15.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.36) and -46.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.13). Across its 52-week range of $1.09 to $3.62, CMTG sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($1.02 to $1.28).
Why CMTG Stock dropped -2.54% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-32% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, CMTG scores 34 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars. Fundamental cash engine scores 4 of 20, reflecting ROIC of -31.9% and an FCF yield of -18.3%. Whale 13F flow scores 9 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider conviction scores 3 of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro regime fit scores 10 of 20, with beta at 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. Forensic balance sheet scores 8 of 20, based on Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5.
For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the institutional flow pillar, which is the strongest of the five at 9 of 20, though still weak in absolute terms. The valuation tradeoff is stark: the stock trades at $1.15 with a market cap of $166.5M while the cash-engine metrics are negative, and the reported net margin is -60%. The lowest-scoring pillars (fundamental cash engine and insider conviction) point to the weakest evidence of durable earnings power and management or insider confidence. The Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 and the Altman Z of 2.5 signal forensic stress that a prospective investor would need to weigh heavily against any recovery thesis.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $187.8M | $0.0M | $-489.1M | N/A | $-30.5M | $173.2M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $248.4M | $0.0M | $-221.3M | N/A | $84.5M | $99.1M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $306.6M | $0.0M | $6.0M | N/A | $111.1M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $306.6M in FY 2023 to $248.4M in FY 2024 and $187.8M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $6.0M to $-221.3M to $-489.1M. Reported operating income is $0.0M across all three periods. Per the market data, gross and operating margins are both 0%, net margin is -60%, ROIC is -31.9%, and FCF yield is -18.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Debt values are not available in source data.
Six news items are listed, all tied to CMTG and all carrying a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label:
Risk watch items from the wire are the analyst target revisions and the pessimistic Keefe, Bruyette & Woods forecast. The upcoming earnings release is the nearest scheduled catalyst. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no proprietary signals.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall Street report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the CMTG (Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Real Estate. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CMTG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CMTG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.15 (52-wk range $1.09 - $3.62), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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