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Stock Ratings / Technology / CMTL / options
WATT (23) AIRG (19) VUZI (29) CRNT (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.27 -3.79% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.26

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 17/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (17/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows β†’
ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $38.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CMTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (NASDAQ: CMTL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $1.27 (-3.79% 1D, market cap $38.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CMTL ranks #706 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CMTL compare to WATT and AIRG in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), CMTL carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.6%, and ROIC of -16.8%. By comparison, WATT (Energous Corporation) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $50.6M) and AIRG (Airgain Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.0%, cap $54.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMTL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CRNT leads on capital efficiency (4.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMTL?
β–Ό

Per CMTL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000023197), Comtech Telecommunications Corp. generated $300.9M in revenue (-44.3% YoY), -$155.3M in net income, and -$16.5M in free cash flow against $703.8M in total assets and $107.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.26 (-0.87%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (17/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510017
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (3)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.1% Base Target
$7 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CMTL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMTL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (17/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CMTL SCORES 17/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 31.6% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$1.30+1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
22
Grade E$1.32+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
20
Grade E$1.35-5.9% Next Q
Current
17
Grade E$1.27-12.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (25) β†’ E (17)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMTL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CMTL currently carries a cautious 17/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.42) and Max Pain ($1.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.52.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMTLβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCMTL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CMTL)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CMTL.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMTL)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CMTL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CMTL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -65.21%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $1.32H $1.32L $1.27C $1.27VOL 58.7K
RES: $1.40SUP: $1.09SMA50: $1.42SMA200: $3.14
$6.55$5.09$3.62$2.15$0.68RES $1.40SUP $1.09$1.272026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMTL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ CMTL Butterfly Map β†’ + Track CMTL β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -44.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMTL today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMTL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMTL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMTL)

Technology Rank #706 of 714 βš”οΈ WATT vs CMTL Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CMTL vs. WATT, AIRG, VUZI, CRNT)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) ranks #706 by composite RQD confidence (17/100, grade E) and #574 by equity capitalization ($38.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMTL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CRNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.3% ROIC and 33.8% gross margin. CRNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with CMTL at 17/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CMTL ACTIVE
Comtech Telecommunications Corp.
E 17/100 β€” 31.6% -16.8% -3.79% $38.3M Benchmark Subject
WATT
Energous Corporation
E 23/100 β€” 36.0% -35.0% -11.58% $50.6M /watt-vs-cmtl β†’
AIRG
Airgain Inc.
E 19/100 β€” 43.5% -32.0% +0.12% $54.8M /airg-vs-cmtl β†’
VUZI
Vuzix Corporation
E 29/100 β€” -16.9% -35.0% -7.02% $179.0M /vuzi-vs-cmtl β†’
CRNT
Ceragon Networks Ltd.
D 47/100 β€” 33.8% 4.3% -5.50% $188.0M /crnt-vs-cmtl β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-07-31 β€’ CIK 0000023197

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31), Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) reported GAAP revenue of $300.9M (-44.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $540.4M , and -45.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$155.3M, operating cash flow of -$8.3M, and free cash flow of -$16.5M (+75.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMTL closed FY2025 with $703.8M in total assets against $107.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.44, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-07-31 $300.9M -$155.3M -$8.3M -$16.5M $703.8M $107.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-07-31 $540.4M -$100.0M -$54.5M -$67.6M $770.6M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-31 $550.0M -$26.9M -$4.4M -$4.4M β€” β€”

3. CMTL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (NASDAQ: CMTL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $1.27 (-3.79% 1D, market cap $38.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CMTL ranks #706 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMTL compare to WATT and AIRG in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), CMTL carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.6%, and ROIC of -16.8%. By comparison, WATT (Energous Corporation) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $50.6M) and AIRG (Airgain Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.0%, cap $54.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMTL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CRNT leads on capital efficiency (4.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMTL?

Per CMTL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000023197), Comtech Telecommunications Corp. generated $300.9M in revenue (-44.3% YoY), -$155.3M in net income, and -$16.5M in free cash flow against $703.8M in total assets and $107.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMTL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMTL last traded at $1.27 (-3.79% on volume of 58,729 shares), positioning the stock -10.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.42) and -59.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.14). Across its 52-week range of $1.14 to $6.21, CMTL sits at the 2.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.11 to $1.43).

CMTL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is CMTL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CMTL.

Direct Sub-Reports: CMTL RQD Cockpit CMTL 12M Forecast CMTL Earnings & Move CMTL Dividends & DRIP CMTL Insiders & 13F CMTL Whale Options CMTL Profit Sankey CMTL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 17/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CMTL β€” Comtech Telecommunications Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CMTL scores 19 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars, each scored out of 20, are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 5/20 (ROIC -16.8%; FCF yield 0%). The cash-generation pillar is weak; the company is not currently earning a return on invested capital and shows no free-cash-flow yield.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). Institutional signal is weak per this pillar. Note that no holder data is provided in the source (see Analyst View section).
  • Insider Conviction: 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). This is the lowest-scoring pillar, suggesting insider and congressional activity does not offer conviction support.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 4/20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). Beta of 1.0 indicates market-level volatility, with the sector sensitivity component weighing the score down.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 2/20 (Altman Z 0.44; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 1.64). This is the most severe pillar. An Altman Z of 0.44 sits in a distress-oriented range, a Piotroski F of 3/9 indicates weak fundamental strength, and Debt/Equity of 1.64 indicates leverage that is high relative to equity.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the implication is that the rating's forensic and cash-generation pillars point to financial stress that would need to reverse before a valuation case could be built on earnings or cash flow. Upside drivers would have to come from a restructuring or balance-sheet repair rather than from the current operating base. Valuation tradeoffs are unusually hard to assess because the P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA metrics are not available in the source data; the stock trades at a low absolute price with a small market capitalization, but a low price alone does not establish value. The 52-week range of $1.14 to $6.21 shows the shares have already declined substantially, which the data does not explain.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$300.9M$-29.9M$-155.3MN/A$-16.5M$32.8M$107.7M
FY 2024$540.4M$-79.9M$-100.0MN/A$-67.6M$26.7M$0.0M
FY 2023$550.0M$-14.7M$-26.9MN/A$-4.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $550.0M (FY 2023) to $540.4M (FY 2024) and then to $300.9M (FY 2025), while net losses were reported in each period. Per the market data section, operating margin is -9.9% and net margin is -51.6%, with gross margin at 31.6%. ROIC is -16.8% per the market data section, and the Roarable RQD rating records an Altman Z-Score of 0.44 and a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9. Debt/Equity of 1.64 is recorded by the RQD rating; debt was $107.7M at FY 2025 against cash of $32.8M, versus $0.0M debt at FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Risk Watch (RED): A Yahoo Finance item headlined as a fair value cut citing analysts weighing leverage and restructuring. Impact label: RISK WATCH.
  • Risk Watch (RED): A Yahoo Finance item reporting a widening fiscal Q4 net loss and declining sales. Impact label: RISK WATCH.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance item reporting break-even earnings for Q4.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): A TradingView item giving a Q4'26 EPS estimate of (0.51) USD.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): A Stock Titan SEC filing item dated Oct 16, 2026.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): A Stock Titan item reporting that the company deregistered unsold shares after its obligation to keep two registrations active ended.

The news flow is mixed: the two RED items concern leverage, restructuring, and widening losses, while the YELLOW items are largely neutral filings, estimates, and a reported break-even quarter. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph contains no links and no proprietary signals (supply chain: NONE).

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, end markets, and customer concentration within the broadcasting and communications equipment industry?
  • What is the status and terms of the restructuring and leverage situation referenced in the RED-flagged news, and how does it affect the $107.7M debt position?
  • Why did revenue fall from $540.4M to $300.9M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and what portion is recurring versus one-time?
  • What drove the FY 2025 net loss of $-155.3M, and how much of it is non-cash or non-recurring?
  • What are the EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, which the source data omits, and how do they compare to peers?

CMTL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CMTL Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CMTL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.27?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CMTL 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CMTL:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.16 (-12.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CMTL (E β€’ RQD 19/100) a Buy at $1.32?

Welcome to the CMTL (Comtech Telecommunications Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 19/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.08 (-18.2%)
Spot @ $1.32

Pump the brakes on CMTL β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CMTL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 31.6% gross margins. Unless Comtech Telecommunications Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.53 (+15.9%)
Spot @ $1.32

CMTL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CMTL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.32 (52-wk range $1.14 - $6.21), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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