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CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$48.68 -0.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.76

CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $13.22B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CNA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, CNA Financial Corporation (NYSE: CNA) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $48.68 (-0.39% 1D, market cap $13.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CNA ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNA compare to BNT and RNR in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), CNA carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 19.7%. By comparison, BNT (Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. Class A Exchangeable Limited Voting Shares) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $13.33B) and RNR (RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $13.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNR leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while CNA leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNA?

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Per CNA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000021175), CNA Financial Corporation generated $1.58B in revenue (-2.0% YoY), $1.28B in net income, and $2.40B in free cash flow against $69.44B in total assets and $2.97B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.76 (+0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 152.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CNA SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 152.4% FCF Margin ($2.40B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$46.73+3.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$48.40-0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$48.08+1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B$48.68+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CNA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, CNA faces multiple-compression risk if 10.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($47.67) or 200D SMA ($47.73) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($51.97) toward Bear Floor ($39.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CNA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CNA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $48.68: 205.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $39.92

$8,200

$-1,800 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $51.97

$10,676

+$676 (+6.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $61.32

$12,597

+$2,597 (+26.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$54	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$58	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$46	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CNA Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CNA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.09%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $47.89H $48.87L $47.89C $48.68VOL 368.1K

RES: $49.54SUP: $42.88SMA50: $47.67SMA200: $47.73

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNA Butterfly Map → + Track CNA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-0.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNA)

Financials Rank #58 of 1096 ⚔️ BNT vs CNA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CNA vs. BNT, RNR, AFG, AIZ)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) ranks #58 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #156 by equity capitalization ($13.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNR leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while CNA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.7% ROIC and — gross margin. RNR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with CNA at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CNA ACTIVE CNA Financial Corporation	B	73/100	10.3x	—	19.7%	-0.39%	$13.22B	Benchmark Subject
BNT Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. Class A Exchangeable Limited Voting Shares	D	48/100	—	—	—	-0.61%	$13.33B	/bnt-vs-cna →
RNR RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.	B	75/100	5.1x	—	10.6%	+0.20%	$13.68B	/rnr-vs-cna →
AFG American Financial Group Inc.	B	73/100	15.1x	—	5.7%	+0.50%	$12.70B	/afg-vs-cna →
AIZ Assurant Inc.	B	75/100	16.5x	—	5.0%	+0.04%	$14.44B	/aiz-vs-cna →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000021175

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) reported GAAP revenue of $1.58B (-2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.61B , and -2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.28B, operating cash flow of $2.49B, and free cash flow of $2.40B (-2.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNA closed FY2025 with $69.44B in total assets against $2.97B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.58B	$1.28B	$2.49B	$2.40B	$69.44B	$2.97B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.61B	$959.0M	$2.57B	$2.48B	$66.49B	$2.97B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.62B	$1.21B	$2.29B	$2.21B	$7.27B	$1.70B

3. CNA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CNA compare to BNT and RNR in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNA?

Where is CNA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNA last traded at $48.68 (-0.39% on volume of 494,599 shares), positioning the stock +2.12% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.67) and +1.99% above its 200-day simple moving average ($47.73). Across its 52-week range of $41.53 to $55.71, CNA sits at the 50.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($46.78 to $50.58).

CNA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CNA's 12-month stock price target?

CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $51.97 (+6.8% from $48.68), with a bull-case target of $61.32 and a bear-case floor of $39.92.

Is CNA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CNA B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 73/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: CNA RQD Cockpit CNA 12M Forecast CNA Earnings & Move CNA Dividends & DRIP CNA Insiders & 13F CNA Whale Options CNA Profit Sankey CNA News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CNA — CNA Financial Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:15:16Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CNA scores 73 out of 100, a letter grade of B, labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15 of 20 (ROIC 19.7%; FCF yield 18.18%); Whale 13F Flow at 11 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 18 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 14 of 20 (beta 0.92; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

The strongest pillar is insider conviction, which is the highest-weighted component at 18 of 20, suggesting insider and congressional flow is a notable positive input to the score. The weakest pillar is whale 13F flow at 11 of 20, indicating institutional positioning contributes less to the rating than insider activity. The cash-engine pillar, at 15 of 20, is supported by the 19.7% ROIC and 18.18% FCF yield cited in the rating. Forensic balance sheet metrics (Piotroski 8/9, Altman Z 2.5) are sound per the rating's own scoring. Macro fit (14 of 20) reflects the low 0.92 beta.

For a prospective investor, the implications are analytical rather than prescriptive. Upside drivers in the data include the high FCF yield and the insider-flow pillar. Valuation tradeoffs visible in the market data include a trailing P/E of 10.3 and forward P/E of 9.6, with the price of 48.87 sitting inside a 52-week range of $41.53 – $55.71. The 7.92% dividend yield is a notable feature of the data. Investors should weigh these against the news-wire items flagged as risk and against the open questions below.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$48.87	$13.22B	10.3	9.6	4.8	4.72	7.92%	0.92	$41.53 - $55.71	19.7%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Q3 earnings preview (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Headline cites investor focus on insurance pricing pressure and underwriting margins.
Q3'26 EPS estimate (TradingView, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Headline cites an EPS estimate of 1.21 USD.
Institutional position (MarketBeat, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Headline reports newly acquired CNA shares by 1834 Investment Advisors Co.
Long-term care reserve update (Stock Titan, RED, RISK WATCH): Headline cites a $137 million after-tax impact on the life unit, which reported a $171 million core loss. This is the only item flagged red.
200-day moving average (MarketBeat, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Headline reports the stock breaking above its 200-day moving average.
Support level (siam.in-sourced item, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Headline reports the stock ticking higher while holding above key support. The summary field in this item is malformed and attributes the report to a URL rather than a publisher.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, sector is Financials, industry is Property-Casualty Insurers, supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What is the magnitude and duration of the long-term care reserve impact, and does the $137 million after-tax effect recur?
What do the EPS and revenue consensus figures look like for the upcoming Q3 report, and how does the 1.21 USD estimate compare to prior periods?
What is the reason for the disparity between reported FY 2025 net income ($1278.0M) and operating income ($1508.0M) relative to revenue, and how is it reconciled?
Why are EPS and cash fields reported as N/A across all three periods?
What is the source of the 7.92% dividend yield and the sustainability of that distribution given the reported figures?

CNA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CNA Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 12h ago

CNA Financial Q3 Earnings Preview: Investors Focus on Insurance Pricing Pressure and Underwriting Margins

Yahoo Finance report covering CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 15h ago

CNA Q3'26 Earnings: EPS estimate is 1.21 USD

TradingView report covering CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 18h ago

CNA Financial Corporation $CNA Shares Newly Acquired by 1834 Investment Advisors Co.

MarketBeat report covering CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Titan • 21h ago

Long-term care reserve updates had a $137 million after-tax impact on CNA's life unit, which reported a $171 million core loss.

Stock Titan report covering CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

CNA Financial (NYSE:CNA) Stock Breaks Above 200 Day Moving Average - Here's Why

MarketBeat report covering CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) Ticks Higher as Insurer Holds Above Key Support - Turnaround Stocks

https://www.siam.in/ report covering CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

CNA Financial (CNA) Ticks Up 1.25% to $47.90, Holding Above Key Support - SMA Signal

https://www.siam.in/ report covering CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE SeekingAlpha • 14h ago

CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Prepared Remarks Transcript

CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call November 1, 2026 7:00 PM ESTCompany ParticipantsDouglas Worman - President, CEO & ChairmanScott...

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $48.68?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $57.67 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CNA (B • RQD 73/100) a Buy at $48.87?

Welcome to the CNA (CNA Financial Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 73/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Property-Casualty Insurers. Bulls point to capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $37.63 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $48.87

Pump the brakes on CNA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CNA, but look at what you are paying: 10.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless CNA Financial Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $61.58 (+26.0%)

Spot @ $48.87

CNA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CNA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Property-Casualty Insurers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $48.87 (52-wk range $41.53 - $55.71), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.