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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CNDT / forecast
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Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.56 +1.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.56

Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $239.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CNDT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Conduent Incorporated (NASDAQ: CNDT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $1.56 (+1.30% 1D, market cap $239.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNDT ranks #902 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNDT compare to ALIT and CURR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), CNDT carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 18.1%, and ROIC of -24.8%. By comparison, ALIT (Alight Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $240.6M) and CURR (Currenc Group Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $238.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNDT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CNDT leads on capital efficiency (-24.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNDT?
▼

Per CNDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001677703), Conduent Incorporated generated $3.04B in revenue (-9.4% YoY), -$170.0M in net income, and -$132.0M in free cash flow against $2.40B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.56 (+0.04%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510028
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (7)SEC (5)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE CNDT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CNDT SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 18.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
20
Grade E$1.54-3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$1.48+6.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$1.57-0.6% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$1.56-10% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (20) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CNDT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CNDT currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.62) and Max Pain ($1.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.50.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNDT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CNDT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CNDT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.56: 6410.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.05
$6,731
$-3,269 (-32.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.35
$8,654
$-1,346 (-13.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.50
$16,026
+$6,026 (+60.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CNDT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CNDT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CNDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.24%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $1.55H $1.56L $1.54C $1.56VOL 1.75M
RES: $2.03SUP: $1.33SMA50: $1.62SMA200: $1.54
$2.11$1.87$1.64$1.41$1.18RES $2.03SUP $1.33$1.562026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNDT Butterfly Map → + Track CNDT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNDT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNDT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #902 of 1009 ⚔️ ALIT vs CNDT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CNDT vs. ALIT, CURR, ZH, AMWL)

Industry: Business Services (88 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) ranks #902 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #668 by equity capitalization ($239.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CNDT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CNDT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -24.8% ROIC and 18.1% gross margin. AMWL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 39/100 (D-) compared with CNDT at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CNDT ACTIVE
Conduent Incorporated
E 28/100 — 18.1% -24.8% +1.30% $239.5M Benchmark Subject
ALIT
Alight Inc. (Class A)
E 28/100 — 33.8% -35.0% +10.64% $240.6M /alit-vs-cndt →
CURR
Currenc Group Inc.
E 31/100 — 40.8% -35.0% -8.96% $238.0M /curr-vs-cndt →
ZH
Zhihu Inc. each representing three (3) (Class A)
E 16/100 — 59.9% -35.0% -8.90% $252.7M /zh-vs-cndt →
AMWL
American Well Corporation (Class A)
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% -1.65% $216.5M /amwl-vs-cndt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001677703 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) reported GAAP revenue of $3.04B (-9.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.36B , and -18.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$170.0M, operating cash flow of -$73.0M, and free cash flow of -$132.0M (-69.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNDT closed FY2025 with $2.40B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.04B -$170.0M -$73.0M -$132.0M $2.40B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.36B $426.0M -$50.0M -$78.0M $2.60B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.72B -$296.0M $89.0M $89.0M — —

3. CNDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Conduent Incorporated (NASDAQ: CNDT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $1.56 (+1.30% 1D, market cap $239.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNDT ranks #902 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNDT compare to ALIT and CURR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), CNDT carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 18.1%, and ROIC of -24.8%. By comparison, ALIT (Alight Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $240.6M) and CURR (Currenc Group Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $238.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNDT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CNDT leads on capital efficiency (-24.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNDT?

Per CNDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001677703), Conduent Incorporated generated $3.04B in revenue (-9.4% YoY), -$170.0M in net income, and -$132.0M in free cash flow against $2.40B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNDT last traded at $1.56 (+1.30% on volume of 1,212,790 shares), positioning the stock -3.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.62) and +1.30% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.54). Across its 52-week range of $1.15 to $2.38, CNDT sits at the 33.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.36 to $1.76).

Direct Sub-Reports: CNDT RQD Cockpit CNDT 12M Forecast CNDT Earnings & Move CNDT Dividends & DRIP CNDT Insiders & 13F CNDT Whale Options CNDT Profit Sankey CNDT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CNDT — Conduent Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 28/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.56 (+1.30% 1D, market capitalization $239.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -24.8%, gross margin of 18.1%, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Business Services industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity market capitalization of $239.5M. The business operates with a gross margin of 18.1%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -24.8% (free cash flow yield of 0%). Within the Business Services peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) reported $3.04B in annual revenue (up from $3.36B in FY2024, -9.4% YoY) and -$170.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.72B revenue, -$296.0M net income) through FY2025, CNDT scaled operating cash flow to -$73.0M and free cash flow to -$132.0M, backed by $2.40B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 28/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.15 – $2.38 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore — Sector correlations beyond the Beta of 1.0 are not established in the source. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided data.

  • Key Question #1: Can CNDT sustain or expand its — operating margin and -24.8% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.04B and free cash flow of -$132.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CNDT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CNDT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CNDT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNDT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.56?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNDT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CNDT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.93 (+25.3%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Macro Regime Fit scores 10/20 and the 52-week range of $1.15 - $2.41 leaves the price below its high, leaving room for a rebound if sec

Don't sleep on CNDT's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Macro Regime Fit scores 10/20 and the 52-week range of $1.15 - $2.41 leaves the price below its high, leaving room for a rebound if sector sensitivity turns favorable.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (28/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.54 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.16 (-24.7%)
Spot @ $1.54

ROIC of -24.8%, FCF yield of 0%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate weak cash generation and a fragile forensic balance sheet.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CNDT: ROIC of -24.8%, FCF yield of 0%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate weak cash generation and a fragile forensic balance sheet.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Business Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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