PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$86.83 +1.41% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.89

PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.19B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CNXN Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNXN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, PC Connection Inc. (NASDAQ: CNXN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $86.83 (+1.41% 1D, market cap $2.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNXN ranks #326 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNXN compare to GCT and PTRN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), CNXN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.8x, gross margin of 18.8%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B) and PTRN (Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.9%, cap $2.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNXN?
β–Ό

Per CNXN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001050377), PC Connection Inc. generated $2.87B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $83.7M in net income, and $58.0M in free cash flow against $1.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.88 (+0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.5% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$103 Bull$88 Base$68 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CNXN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNXN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CNXN SCORES 60/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.96 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2% FCF Margin ($58.0M FCF) & 18.8% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.5) create a -11 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$95.22-9.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$86.58+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$88.58-2% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$86.83+0.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (68) β†’ C- (60)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CNXN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, CNXN faces multiple-compression risk if 25.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 16.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($87.13) or 200D SMA ($72.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($87.61) toward Bear Floor ($68.34).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNXNβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCNXN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CNXN Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CNXN)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CNXN. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CNXN Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CNXN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.31%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $85.62H $86.83L $85.62C $86.83VOL 246.7K
RES: $99.39SUP: $84.02SMA50: $87.13SMA200: $72.66
$99.42$89.01$78.60$68.18$57.77RES $99.39SUP $84.02$86.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNXN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
19.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNXN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNXN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNXN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNXN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #326 of 1011 βš”οΈ GCT vs CNXN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CNXN vs. GCT, PTRN, RVLV, LUXE)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) ranks #326 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #404 by equity capitalization ($2.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. GCT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with CNXN at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CNXN ACTIVE
PC Connection Inc.
C- 60/100 25.8x 18.8% 10.9% +1.41% $2.19B Benchmark Subject
GCT
GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)
A- 81/100 15.8x 23.3% 85.0% -3.69% $2.08B /gct-vs-cnxn β†’
PTRN
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)
D+ 55/100 β€” 43.6% 6.9% -1.78% $2.94B /ptrn-vs-cnxn β†’
RVLV
Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 26.6x 53.5% 26.6% -2.86% $1.59B /rvlv-vs-cnxn β†’
LUXE
LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share
D+ 58/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.26% $1.35B /luxe-vs-cnxn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001050377

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.87B (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.80B , and +0.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $83.7M, operating cash flow of $65.4M, and free cash flow of $58.0M (-65.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNXN closed FY2025 with $1.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.96, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.87B $83.7M $65.4M $58.0M $1.35B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.80B $87.1M $173.9M $166.3M $1.30B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.85B $83.3M $198.0M $198.0M β€” β€”

3. CNXN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNXN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, PC Connection Inc. (NASDAQ: CNXN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $86.83 (+1.41% 1D, market cap $2.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNXN ranks #326 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNXN compare to GCT and PTRN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), CNXN carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.8x, gross margin of 18.8%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B) and PTRN (Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.9%, cap $2.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNXN?

Per CNXN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001050377), PC Connection Inc. generated $2.87B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $83.7M in net income, and $58.0M in free cash flow against $1.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNXN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNXN last traded at $86.83 (+1.41% on volume of 246,686 shares), positioning the stock -0.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($87.13) and +19.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($72.66). Across its 52-week range of $54.97 to $96.91, CNXN sits at the 76.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.6% ($81.10 to $92.56).

CNXN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are CNXN insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CNXN leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 60/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CNXN β€” PC Connection Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:26:32Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CNXN scores 60 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict label of "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 10.9% and an FCF yield of 2.69%. For an investor, the return on invested capital is respectable, but the free cash flow yield is modest relative to the stock's valuation multiples.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited evidence of strong institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is modestly below midpoint.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is assessed here. The stock's beta matches the broader market, so it offers no defensive cushion or amplified upside on macro moves.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, citing an Altman Z of 6.96, a Piotroski F of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. This suggests a balance sheet that is not a near-term solvency concern, though the Piotroski reading signals mixed fundamental-quality momentum.

Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose balance sheet is its clearest strength, while valuation, institutional flow, and macro fit provide less support. Upside drivers would need to come from improved cash generation or stronger institutional interest. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the elevated P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples relative to the thin margins reported. The verdict of "Hold" reflects this balance of a solid balance sheet against limited near-term catalysts for re-rating.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
85.62$2.16B25.82418.63.320.71%1.0$54.97 - $96.9110.9%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2872.7M$99.3M$83.7MN/A$58.0M$193.2MN/A
FY 2024$2802.1M$97.1M$87.1MN/A$166.3M$178.3MN/A
FY 2023$2850.6M$103.2M$83.3MN/A$198.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue moved from $2850.6M in FY 2023 to $2802.1M in FY 2024 and then to $2872.7M in FY 2025, while net income ranged between $83.3M and $87.1M across the three periods. Free cash flow declined from $198.0M to $166.3M to $58.0M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 18.8%, operating margin 3.5%, and net margin 2.9%, with ROIC at 10.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 6.96, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5, supporting a balance sheet assessment that is stronger than the profitability profile.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the headlines include:

  • A Yahoo Finance report questioning whether the stock is already pricing in too much earnings optimism (flagged YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A TradingView estimates report (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Yahoo Finance report describing the stock shrugging off a Q3 earnings beat as cash questions linger (GREEN, CATALYST).
  • A MarketBeat report on the stock hitting a new 1-year high (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Stock Titan report on a 25,000-unit stock grant for the COO vesting over four years (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Simply Wall St report on the stock price slipping despite record Q3 earnings (GREEN, CATALYST).

Risk watch items per the feed center on cash-flow questions and whether earnings expectations are already priced in. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the drivers behind the decline in free cash flow from $198.0M in FY 2023 to $58.0M in FY 2025, and is it operational or working-capital related?
  • What are the total debt and EPS figures for the reported periods, which the financials table lists as N/A?
  • How do the recent headlines questioning "earnings hope" and "cash questions" reconcile with the reported net income figures?
  • What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) ownership trends exist, given that holders data is absent?
  • What are the analyst consensus rating and price targets, given that analyst data is absent?

CNXN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CNXN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNXN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $86.83?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNXN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CNXN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $92.47 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CNXN (C- β€’ RQD 60/100) a Buy at $85.62?

Welcome to the CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Catalog/Specialty Distribution. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $70.21 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $85.62

Pump the brakes on CNXN β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CNXN, but look at what you are paying: 25.8x trailing P/E with 18.8% gross margins. Unless PC Connection Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $103.60 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $85.62

CNXN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CNXN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Catalog/Specialty Distribution and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $85.62 (52-wk range $54.97 - $96.91), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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