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Coherent Corp. (COHR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$210.32 -11.34% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $205.63

Coherent Corp. (COHR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $41.42B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on COHR Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is COHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Coherent Corp. (NYSE: COHR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $210.32 (-11.34% 1D, market cap $41.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, COHR ranks #386 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does COHR compare to P and NTAP in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), COHR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.2%, and ROIC of 0.3%. By comparison, P (Everpure Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $42.31B) and NTAP (NetApp Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 33.6x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $39.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while WDC leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COHR?
β–Ό

Per COHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000820318), Coherent Corp. generated $5.81B in revenue (+23.4% YoY), $30.0M in net income, and $192.8M in free cash flow against $15.09B in total assets and $3.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $205.63 (-2.23%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 3.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510046
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (5)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$462 Bull$199 Base$155 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE COHR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY COHR SCORES 46/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.19 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 9/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.3% FCF Margin ($192.8M FCF) & 35.2% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (37.9) create a -15 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$263.32-9.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$237.53+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$239.59-12.2% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$210.32-6.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (54) β†’ D (46)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a COHR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While COHR currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($276.20) and Max Pain ($220.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $462.00.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COHRβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCOHR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (13.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $35,478

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $213/yr
$11.3K
Yr 1
$12.9K
Yr 2
$14.6K
Yr 3
$16.6K
Yr 4
$18.8K
Yr 5
$21.4K
Yr 6
$24.3K
Yr 7
$27.5K
Yr 8
$31.3K
Yr 9
$35.5K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COHR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of COHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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COHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.25%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $237.2H $237.2L $210.3C $210.3VOL 11.97M
RES: $314.5SUP: $192.6SMA50: $276.2SMA200: $297.0
$458.2$382.7$307.2$231.7$156.2RES $314.5SUP $192.6$210.32026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COHR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COHR)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (COHR vs. P, NTAP, TEL, WDC)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Coherent Corp. (COHR) ranks #386 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #73 by equity capitalization ($41.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WDC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while WDC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. TEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with COHR at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
COHR ACTIVE
Coherent Corp.
D 46/100 β€” 35.2% 0.3% -11.34% $41.42B Benchmark Subject
P
Everpure Inc.
C- 61/100 β€” 70.4% 2.5% -7.45% $42.31B /p-vs-cohr β†’
NTAP
NetApp Inc.
C+ 68/100 33.6x 70.7% 38.5% -8.81% $39.12B /ntap-vs-cohr β†’
TEL
TE Connectivity plc
B- 71/100 35.0x 35.2% 15.2% -4.37% $61.68B /tel-vs-cohr β†’
WDC
Western Digital Corporation
C+ 67/100 21.7x β€” 58.3% -7.41% $137.04B /wdc-vs-cohr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-06-30 β€’ CIK 0000820318 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Coherent Corp. (COHR) reported GAAP revenue of $5.81B (+23.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.71B , and +12.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.0M, operating cash flow of $633.6M, and free cash flow of $192.8M (-3.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, COHR closed FY2025 with $15.09B in total assets against $3.25B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.19, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $5.81B $30.0M $633.6M $192.8M $15.09B $3.25B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $4.71B -$159.0M $545.7M $198.9M $14.20B $3.83B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $5.16B -$259.0M $634.0M $401.8M $25.69B $6.01B

3. COHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Coherent Corp. (NYSE: COHR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $210.32 (-11.34% 1D, market cap $41.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, COHR ranks #386 in composite RQD confidence.

How does COHR compare to P and NTAP in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), COHR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.2%, and ROIC of 0.3%. By comparison, P (Everpure Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $42.31B) and NTAP (NetApp Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 33.6x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $39.12B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while WDC leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COHR?

Per COHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000820318), Coherent Corp. generated $5.81B in revenue (+23.4% YoY), $30.0M in net income, and $192.8M in free cash flow against $15.09B in total assets and $3.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is COHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COHR last traded at $210.32 (-11.34% on volume of 11,974,212 shares), positioning the stock -23.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($276.20) and -29.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($297.04). Across its 52-week range of $123.75 to $440.00, COHR sits at the 27.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($184.03 to $236.61).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 46/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

COHR β€” Coherent Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Coherent Corp. (COHR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $210.32 (-11.34% 1D, market capitalization $41.42B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.3%, gross margin of 35.2%, operating margin of 0.6%, and free cash flow yield of 0.41%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.14x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.19, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.38x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Coherent Corp. (COHR) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Electronic Components industry. Per the market data, gross margin is 35.2%, operating margin is 0.6%, and net margin is 0.5%. Market capitalization is $46.72B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Coherent Corp. (COHR) reported $5.81B in annual revenue (up from $4.71B in FY2024, +23.4% YoY) and $30.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.16B revenue, -$259.0M net income) through FY2025, COHR scaled operating cash flow to $633.6M and free cash flow to $192.8M, backed by $15.09B in total assets against $3.25B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 46/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 0.41% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $123.75 – $440.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 95.0x EV/EBITDA against 0.6% operating margins and a 1.14x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The butterfly supply-chain graph lists no supply-chain relationships, no upstream or downstream links, and no sector correlations. A prospective investor should note that the source provides no basis for assessing 2nd-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can COHR sustain or expand its 0.6% operating margin and 0.3% ROIC against Electronic Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.81B and free cash flow of $192.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.25B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is COHR's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.14x)?

COHR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Coherent Corp. (COHR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to COHR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

COHR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $210.32?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON COHR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on COHR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $262.90 (+25.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 5.19, a Piotroski F of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.38, and debt fell from $6012.5

Don't sleep on COHR's setup in Technology. Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 5.19, a Piotroski F of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.38, and debt fell from $6.01B in FY 2023 to $3.25B in FY 2025.. Beta of 1.14 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (46/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” COHR's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $161.95 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $210.32

ROIC of 0.3%, FCF yield of 0.41%, and an EV/EBITDA of 95 leave the valuation resting on little current cash return, with the macro regi

Fading this rally in COHR at $210.32. ROIC of 0.3%, FCF yield of 0.41%, and an EV/EBITDA of 95 leave the valuation resting on little current cash return, with the macro regime fit pillar scoring only 5/20.. With a beta of 1.14 and the stock sitting at $210.32 (52-wk range $123.75–$440.00), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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