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Americold Realty Trust Inc. (COLD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$14.56 -0.27% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.53

Americold Realty Trust Inc. (COLD) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $4.17B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on COLD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is COLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Americold Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE: COLD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $14.56 (-0.27% 1D, market cap $4.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, COLD ranks #987 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does COLD compare to KRC and SKT in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), COLD carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.2%. By comparison, KRC (Kilroy Realty Corporation) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $4.25B) and SKT (Tanger Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPR leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while EPR leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COLD?
▼

Per COLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001455863), Americold Realty Trust Inc. generated $2.54B in revenue (-2.5% YoY), -$115.3M in net income, and -$217.2M in free cash flow against $8.12B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.53 (-0.24%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (12)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
$18 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE COLD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COLD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY COLD SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (35% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$13.81+1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$14.04+0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$14.09+3.3% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$14.56-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (26) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a COLD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While COLD currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.33) and Max Pain ($15.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.72.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COLD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “COLD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your COLD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $14.56: 686.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.13
$6,957
$-3,043 (-30.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $12.99
$8,922
$-1,078 (-10.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $17.72
$12,170
+$2,170 (+21.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COLD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of COLD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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COLD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.43%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-04O $14.37H $14.60L $14.37C $14.56VOL 6.18M
RES: $14.57SUP: $13.18SMA50: $14.33SMA200: $13.81
$17.24$15.76$14.28$12.80$11.32RES $14.57SUP $13.18$14.562026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COLD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 COLD Butterfly Map → + Track COLD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-0.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COLD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COLD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COLD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COLD)

Financials Rank #987 of 1097 ⚔️ KRC vs COLD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (COLD vs. KRC, SKT, APLE, EPR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Americold Realty Trust Inc. (COLD) ranks #987 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #307 by equity capitalization ($4.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EPR leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while EPR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.0% ROIC and — gross margin. EPR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with COLD at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
COLD ACTIVE
Americold Realty Trust Inc.
E 34/100 — — 0.2% -0.27% $4.17B Benchmark Subject
KRC
Kilroy Realty Corporation
C- 59/100 — — 0.0% -1.31% $4.25B /krc-vs-cold →
SKT
Tanger Inc.
D+ 52/100 — — — -0.32% $4.33B /skt-vs-cold →
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT Inc.
C+ 68/100 25.3x — 6.5% -0.11% $4.41B /aple-vs-cold →
EPR
EPR Properties
B 72/100 16.3x — 9.0% -0.15% $4.57B /epr-vs-cold →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001455863 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Americold Realty Trust Inc. (COLD) reported GAAP revenue of $2.54B (-2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.60B , and -3.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$115.3M, operating cash flow of $359.6M, and free cash flow of -$217.2M (-312.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, COLD closed FY2025 with $8.12B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.54B -$115.3M $359.6M -$217.2M $8.12B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.60B -$94.7M $411.9M $102.4M $7.74B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.62B -$336.3M $366.2M $366.2M — —

3. COLD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Americold Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE: COLD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $14.56 (-0.27% 1D, market cap $4.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, COLD ranks #987 in composite RQD confidence.

How does COLD compare to KRC and SKT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), COLD carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.2%. By comparison, KRC (Kilroy Realty Corporation) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $4.25B) and SKT (Tanger Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPR leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while EPR leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COLD?

Per COLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001455863), Americold Realty Trust Inc. generated $2.54B in revenue (-2.5% YoY), -$115.3M in net income, and -$217.2M in free cash flow against $8.12B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is COLD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COLD last traded at $14.56 (-0.27% on volume of 3,924,081 shares), positioning the stock +1.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.33) and +5.43% above its 200-day simple moving average ($13.81). Across its 52-week range of $10.10 to $16.88, COLD sits at the 65.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($13.70 to $15.42).

Direct Sub-Reports: COLD RQD Cockpit COLD 12M Forecast COLD Earnings & Move COLD Dividends & DRIP COLD Insiders & 13F COLD Whale Options COLD Profit Sankey COLD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

COLD — Americold Realty Trust Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Americold Realty Trust Inc. (COLD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $14.56 (-0.27% 1D, market capitalization $4.17B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 0.3%, and free cash flow yield of -5.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Americold Realty Trust Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. The company reports annual revenue of $2.54B for FY 2025 .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Americold Realty Trust Inc. (COLD) reported $2.54B in annual revenue (up from $2.60B in FY2024, -2.5% YoY) and -$115.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.62B revenue, -$336.3M net income) through FY2025, COLD scaled operating cash flow to $359.6M and free cash flow to -$217.2M, backed by $8.12B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -5.21% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.10 – $16.88 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 8.1x EV/EBITDA against 0.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), COLD carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can COLD sustain or expand its 0.3% operating margin and 0.2% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.54B and free cash flow of -$217.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is COLD's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

COLD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Americold Realty Trust Inc. (COLD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to COLD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Morningstar • 2d ago
The Best REITs to Buy

Morningstar report covering Americold Realty Trust Inc. (COLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

COLD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.56?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON COLD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on COLD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.10 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional whale flow (14/20) and a 6.28% dividend yield signal continued interest in the stock despite weak fundamentals.

Don't sleep on COLD's setup in Financials. Institutional whale flow (14/20) and a 6.28% dividend yield signal continued interest in the stock despite weak fundamentals.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (34/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — COLD's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.06 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $14.37

Negative FY 2025 free cash flow of -$217.2M, 0.2% ROIC, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 leave the cash engine and balance sheet vulnerab

I respect the product at Americold Realty Trust Inc., but the stock at $14.37 is a different story. Negative FY 2025 free cash flow of -$217.2M, 0.2% ROIC, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 leave the cash engine and balance sheet vulnerable.. FCF yield is -5.21% and RQD sits at 34/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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