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Traeger Inc. (COOK) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$52.29 -1.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.08

Traeger Inc. (COOK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $148.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is COOK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Traeger Inc. (NYSE: COOK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $52.29 (-1.21% 1D, market cap $148.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, COOK ranks #718 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does COOK compare to VIOT and ATTT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Appliances), COOK carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.2%, and ROIC of -14.0%. By comparison, VIOT (Viomi Technology Co. Ltd) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 13.2%, cap $87.5M) and ATTT (Atlas Trinity Tech Limited) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 6.8x, ROIC —, cap $13.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WHR leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while VIOT leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COOK?
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Per COOK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001857853), Traeger Inc. generated $559.5M in revenue (-7.4% YoY), -$115.2M in net income, and $13.6M in free cash flow against $676.0M in total assets and $399.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.08 (-0.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 2.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (11)SEC (6)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target
$91 Bull$48 Base$38 Bear
📬 FREE COOK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COOK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY COOK SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$49.37-8.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$45.29+4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$47.44+10.2% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$52.29-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a COOK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While COOK currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($49.75) and Max Pain ($54.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $90.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COOK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “COOK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your COOK Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $52.29: 191.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $37.67
$7,204
$-2,796 (-28.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $48.29
$9,235
$-765 (-7.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $90.92
$17,388
+$7,388 (+73.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$5074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$8569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$4358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COOK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of COOK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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COOK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.32%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $52.26H $52.93L $52.26C $52.29VOL 95.4K
RES: $52.86SUP: $35.22SMA50: $49.75SMA200: $50.91
$90.20$75.23$60.26$45.29$30.31RES $52.86SUP $35.22$52.292026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COOK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 COOK Butterfly Map → + Track COOK →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COOK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COOK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COOK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COOK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #718 of 1011 ⚔️ VIOT vs COOK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (COOK vs. VIOT, ATTT, PLBL, WHR)

Industry: Consumer Electronics/Appliances (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Traeger Inc. (COOK) ranks #718 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #723 by equity capitalization ($148.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WHR leads on earnings valuation at 6.1x trailing P/E, while VIOT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 25.3% gross margin. VIOT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with COOK at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
COOK ACTIVE
Traeger Inc.
D- 41/100 — 39.2% -14.0% -1.21% $148.1M Benchmark Subject
VIOT
Viomi Technology Co. Ltd
C 64/100 — 25.3% 13.2% 0.00% $87.5M /viot-vs-cook →
ATTT
Atlas Trinity Tech Limited
D- 36/100 6.8x — — -2.11% $13.9M /attt-vs-cook →
PLBL
Polibeli Group Ltd (Class A)
E 28/100 — 8.0% -6.1% +2.79% $1.97B /plbl-vs-cook →
WHR
Whirlpool Corporation
D- 39/100 6.1x 15.4% 8.7% +5.61% $1.97B /whr-vs-cook →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001857853

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Traeger Inc. (COOK) reported GAAP revenue of $559.5M (-7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $604.1M , and -7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$115.2M, operating cash flow of $20.5M, and free cash flow of $13.6M (+14.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, COOK closed FY2025 with $676.0M in total assets against $399.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $559.5M -$115.2M $20.5M $13.6M $676.0M $399.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $604.1M -$34.0M $23.9M $11.9M $830.7M $398.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $605.9M -$84.4M $64.0M $64.0M — —

3. COOK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COOK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Traeger Inc. (NYSE: COOK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $52.29 (-1.21% 1D, market cap $148.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, COOK ranks #718 in composite RQD confidence.

How does COOK compare to VIOT and ATTT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Appliances), COOK carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.2%, and ROIC of -14.0%. By comparison, VIOT (Viomi Technology Co. Ltd) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 13.2%, cap $87.5M) and ATTT (Atlas Trinity Tech Limited) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 6.8x, ROIC —, cap $13.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WHR leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while VIOT leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COOK?

Per COOK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001857853), Traeger Inc. generated $559.5M in revenue (-7.4% YoY), -$115.2M in net income, and $13.6M in free cash flow against $676.0M in total assets and $399.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is COOK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COOK last traded at $52.29 (-1.21% on volume of 97,108 shares), positioning the stock +5.11% above its 50-day simple moving average ($49.75) and +2.71% above its 200-day simple moving average ($50.91). Across its 52-week range of $20.91 to $86.59, COOK sits at the 47.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($46.80 to $57.78).

Direct Sub-Reports: COOK RQD Cockpit COOK 12M Forecast COOK Earnings & Move COOK Dividends & DRIP COOK Insiders & 13F COOK Whale Options COOK Profit Sankey COOK News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

COOK — Traeger Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Traeger Inc. (COOK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $52.29 (-1.21% 1D, market capitalization $148.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -14.0%, gross margin of 39.2%, operating margin of -17.5%, and free cash flow yield of 9.29%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (6/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.34x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Traeger Inc. (COOK) is listed on the NYSE and operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Consumer Electronics/Appliances industry,. Reported gross margin is 39.2% with operating margin at -17.5% and net margin at -20.6%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Traeger Inc. (COOK) reported $559.5M in annual revenue (up from $604.1M in FY2024, -7.4% YoY) and -$115.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($605.9M revenue, -$84.4M net income) through FY2025, COOK scaled operating cash flow to $20.5M and free cash flow to $13.6M, backed by $676.0M in total assets against $399.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 9.29% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $20.91 – $86.59 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -17.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links recorded and no sector correlations supplied. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped dependencies means this brief cannot assess 2nd-order bottlenecks from the source data alone.

  • Key Question #1: Can COOK sustain or expand its -17.5% operating margin and -14.0% ROIC against Consumer Electronics/Appliances peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $559.5M and free cash flow of $13.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $399.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is COOK's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

COOK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Traeger Inc. (COOK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to COOK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

COOK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $52.29?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON COOK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on COOK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $69.34 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The 9.29% FCF yield and institutional accumulation pillar (11/20) suggest some cash and ownership support despite the weak rating.

Don't sleep on COOK's setup in Consumer Discretionary. The 9.29% FCF yield and institutional accumulation pillar (11/20) suggest some cash and ownership support despite the weak rating.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (41/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 41/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $52.93 and keeping dry powder in case we test $49.22.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $40.23 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $52.93

Negative ROIC of -14%, Altman Z of 0.2, and Debt/Equity of 2.34 point to a fragile balance sheet with reported net losses in every peri

Fading this rally in COOK at $52.93. Negative ROIC of -14%, Altman Z of 0.2, and Debt/Equity of 2.34 point to a fragile balance sheet with reported net losses in every period.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $52.93 (52-wk range $20.91–$86.59), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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