Yahoo Finance report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why COP Stock surged +2.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ConocoPhillips (COP) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 82/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (57% profit margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is COP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 82/100 at a spot price of $154.03 (+2.67% 1D, market cap $180.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, COP ranks #5 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does COP compare to BP and MPC in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), COP carries a Roarable A- (82/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.6x, gross margin of 56.9%, and ROIC of 9.4%. By comparison, BP (BP p.l.c.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $131.81B) and MPC (Marathon Petroleum Corporation) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 16.9%, cap $121.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, COP leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COP?
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Per COP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001163165), ConocoPhillips generated $51.82B in revenue (+4.9% YoY), $7.99B in net income, and $17.46B in free cash flow against $121.94B in total assets and $25.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.5% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 64.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
Capital intensity & 18.2% operating margin leave 6 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the COP Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 82/100 (A-) score, COP faces multiple-compression risk if 22.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 54.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($136.77) or 200D SMA ($121.82) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($170.67) toward Bear Floor ($126.30).
Why COP Stock surged +2.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ConocoPhillips (COP) surged +2.67% to $154.03, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($85.57 – $154.28). High-quality cash engine (57% profit margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($85.57 – $154.28) with RSI-14 at 64.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.5% around $154.03 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable A- (Buy) backed by 56.9% gross margin and $17.5B annual free cash flow.
The Motley Fool report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Barchart.com report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ConocoPhillips is set to report third quarter results on 5 November under new CEO Andy O'Brien, with the update arriving as crude prices remain elevated and the producer continues to focus on upstream oil and gas operati
TALO's Q3 earnings outlook signals strong revenue and profit growth, as rising crude prices offer support while cost inflation poses challenges.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (COP Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
COP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COP today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COP)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (COP vs. BP, MPC, EQNR, VLO)
Industry: Integrated oil Companies (15 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ConocoPhillips (COP) ranks #5 by composite RQD confidence (82/100, grade A-) and #6 by equity capitalization ($180.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, COP leads on earnings valuation at 22.6x trailing P/E, while MPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 10.0% gross margin. COP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 82/100 (A-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COP
ACTIVE
ConocoPhillips | A- | 82/100 | 22.6x | 56.9% | 9.4% | +2.67% | $180.24B | Benchmark Subject |
| BP BP p.l.c. | B | 72/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +0.08% | $131.81B | /bp-vs-cop → |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 30.0x | 10.0% | 16.9% | +2.83% | $121.46B | /mpc-vs-cop → |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | B | 74/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +2.46% | $118.96B | /eqnr-vs-cop → |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | C+ | 69/100 | 45.7x | — | 8.2% | +3.92% | $107.25B | /vlo-vs-cop → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001163165In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ConocoPhillips (COP) reported GAAP revenue of $51.82B (+4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $49.42B , and +6.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.99B, operating cash flow of $19.80B, and free cash flow of $17.46B (-2.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, COP closed FY2025 with $121.94B in total assets against $25.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.40, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $51.82B | $7.99B | $19.80B | $17.46B | $121.94B | $25.85B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $49.42B | $9.24B | $20.12B | $17.90B | $122.78B | $26.09B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $48.52B | $10.96B | $19.96B | $17.78B | $99.13B | $23.20B |
3. COP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs COP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 82/100 at a spot price of $154.03 (+2.67% 1D, market cap $180.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, COP ranks #5 in composite RQD confidence.
How does COP compare to BP and MPC in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), COP carries a Roarable A- (82/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.6x, gross margin of 56.9%, and ROIC of 9.4%. By comparison, BP (BP p.l.c.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $131.81B) and MPC (Marathon Petroleum Corporation) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 16.9%, cap $121.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, COP leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COP?
Per COP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001163165), ConocoPhillips generated $51.82B in revenue (+4.9% YoY), $7.99B in net income, and $17.46B in free cash flow against $121.94B in total assets and $25.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is COP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
COP last traded at $154.03 (+2.67% on volume of 7,033,209 shares), positioning the stock +12.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($136.77) and +26.44% above its 200-day simple moving average ($121.82). Across its 52-week range of $85.57 to $154.28, COP sits at the 99.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($147.10 to $160.96).
COP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is COP stock moving today?
Why COP Stock surged +2.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (57% profit margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
COP — ConocoPhillips: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ConocoPhillips scores 82 out of 100, graded A- and labeled "Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20 (ROIC 9.4%; FCF yield 9.69%); Whale 13F Flow 19/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 17/20 (beta 1.16; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 16/20 (Altman Z 3.4; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.37). The strongest pillar is institutional flow, while the Fundamental Cash Engine is the lowest-scored pillar, suggesting that cash generation is rated more modestly than positioning signals. For a prospective investor, the composite points to a balance-sheet profile and flow picture the rating characterizes as favorable, with the main upside driver being the combination of free cash flow yield and institutional positioning. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: trailing P/E of 22.6 and EV/EBITDA of 16.9 are the context against which the cash-yield argument should be weighed. The rating is an analytical output from the supplied data and is not personalized financial advice.
Snapshot
Business
ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is classified in the Energy sector and the Integrated oil Companies industry, per the company profile. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 56.9%, an operating margin of 18.8%, and a net margin of 15.4%. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or revenue-generating segments beyond these classifications and margins.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $51824.0M | $9425.8M | $7988.0M | N/A | $17463.9M | $6497.0M | $25853.4M |
| FY 2024 | $49418.0M | $10909.1M | $9245.0M | N/A | $17900.2M | $5607.0M | $26092.8M |
| FY 2023 | $48522.0M | $12929.3M | $10957.0M | N/A | $17781.5M | N/A | $23196.5M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $48522.0M (FY 2023) to $51824.0M (FY 2025), while net income declined from $10957.0M to $7988.0M over the same span. Operating income and net income both fell across the three periods, though free cash flow remained in a $17.4B–$17.9B range. Per the market data, ROIC is 9.4%, and per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.4, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.37. Balance sheet posture, as reported, is characterized by moderate leverage and strong forensic scores.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six COP-related items are listed, all sourced from Google News RSS aggregation of Yahoo Finance, The Motley Fool, Barchart.com, and TradingKey:
- Catalyst (GREEN): "ConocoPhillips (COP) Stock Looks Like A Bargain On Earnings" (Yahoo Finance).
- Market wire (YELLOW): A Motley Fool headline referencing oil prices above $100 and a $7 billion offer.
- Market wire (YELLOW): A Barchart.com piece on a trading range and short put positioning.
- Market wire (YELLOW): A TradingKey report on a 3.07% move on Oct 8.
- Market wire (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance comparison of COP against WHD.
- Market wire (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance headline describing a stock that "Stays Hard To Call On Strong Q2 Earnings."
Risk watch items are implied by the YELLOW flags and by the "hard to call" framing of the earnings-related headline. The source data does not provide full article text, so the specifics of the $7 billion offer and oil-price claims cannot be verified from the supplied material. Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals and no supply-chain links (supply_chain: NONE).
Open Questions
- Source data does not include EPS for any reported fiscal period (all listed as N/A), so per-share earnings trend cannot be assessed from the filings provided.
- Cash for FY 2023 is listed as N/A, leaving the three-year cash trend incomplete.
- The content of the $7 billion offer referenced in the news feed is not described in the source data, so its relevance to valuation cannot be determined.
- No analyst consensus, price targets, or holder data are supplied, so institutional and insider positioning can only be taken from the RQD pillar scores rather than verified transaction data.
- The 52-week range sits near its high ($150.03 price vs. $154.28 high), but the source does not explain the drivers behind the move from $85.57.
COP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ConocoPhillips (COP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Barchart.com report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ConocoPhillips (COP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
COP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $154.03?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is COP (A- • RQD 82/100) a Buy at $150.03?
Welcome to the COP (ConocoPhillips) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 82/100 (Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward) in Integrated oil Companies. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on COP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on COP, but look at what you are paying: 22.6x trailing P/E with 56.9% gross margins. Unless ConocoPhillips expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
COP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on COP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Integrated oil Companies and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $150.03 (52-wk range $85.57 - $154.28), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.