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Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$138.05 -0.89% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $137.57

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $3.36B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (NYSE: CPK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $138.05 (-0.89% 1D, market cap $3.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CPK ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPK compare to BTE and PARR in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CPK carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.3x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, BTE (Baytex Energy Corp) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $3.40B) and PARR (Par Pacific Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 9.9x, ROIC 19.8%, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPOR leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while PARR leads on capital efficiency (19.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPK?
β–Ό

Per CPK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000019745), Chesapeake Utilities Corporation generated $930.0M in revenue (+18.1% YoY), $140.3M in net income, and -$214.9M in free cash flow against $3.99B in total assets and $1.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $137.57 (-0.35%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk B-
Cash (7)Whales (14)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$163 Bull$138 Base$108 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CPK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CPK SCORES 58/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±3.7% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 27.5% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$129.65+0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$129.92+2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$133.70+3.3% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$138.05+0% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D+ (58)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, CPK faces multiple-compression risk if 23.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($131.07) or 200D SMA ($129.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($138.05) toward Bear Floor ($107.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPKβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCPK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.46% Total Yield
1.86% Cash ($2.57/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
41/100 β€’ ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
96% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (12.4% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $32,186

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $792/yr
$11.2K
Yr 1
$12.6K
Yr 2
$14.2K
Yr 3
$16.0K
Yr 4
$17.9K
Yr 5
$20.2K
Yr 6
$22.7K
Yr 7
$25.5K
Yr 8
$28.6K
Yr 9
$32.2K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CPK)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CPK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CPK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.69%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $136.4H $139.3L $136.4C $138.1VOL 149.6K
RES: $145.1SUP: $120.9SMA50: $131.1SMA200: $129.4
$142.4$136.0$129.6$123.3$116.9RES $145.1SUP $120.9$138.12026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ CPK Butterfly Map β†’ + Track CPK β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
17.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPK today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPK)

Energy Rank #104 of 211 βš”οΈ BTE vs CPK Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CPK vs. BTE, PARR, SDRL, GPOR)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) ranks #104 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #103 by equity capitalization ($3.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GPOR leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while PARR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. PARR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with CPK at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CPK ACTIVE
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation
D+ 58/100 23.3x β€” 6.9% -0.89% $3.36B Benchmark Subject
BTE
Baytex Energy Corp
B- 70/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -0.21% $3.40B /bte-vs-cpk β†’
PARR
Par Pacific Holdings Inc.
B+ 78/100 9.9x β€” 19.8% -1.22% $3.62B /parr-vs-cpk β†’
SDRL
Seadrill Limited
D 48/100 β€” β€” 1.2% -2.95% $2.99B /sdrl-vs-cpk β†’
GPOR
Gulfport Energy Corporation
C+ 66/100 6.8x 74.8% 18.1% -0.61% $2.96B /gpor-vs-cpk β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000019745 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) reported GAAP revenue of $930.0M (+18.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $787.2M , and +38.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $140.3M, operating cash flow of $233.7M, and free cash flow of -$214.9M (-85.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPK closed FY2025 with $3.99B in total assets against $1.33B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $930.0M $140.3M $233.7M -$214.9M $3.99B $1.33B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $787.2M $118.6M $239.4M -$115.9M $3.58B $1.26B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $670.6M $87.2M $203.5M $203.5M β€” β€”

3. CPK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (NYSE: CPK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $138.05 (-0.89% 1D, market cap $3.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CPK ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPK compare to BTE and PARR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CPK carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.3x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, BTE (Baytex Energy Corp) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $3.40B) and PARR (Par Pacific Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 9.9x, ROIC 19.8%, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPOR leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while PARR leads on capital efficiency (19.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPK?

Per CPK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000019745), Chesapeake Utilities Corporation generated $930.0M in revenue (+18.1% YoY), $140.3M in net income, and -$214.9M in free cash flow against $3.99B in total assets and $1.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPK last traded at $138.05 (-0.89% on volume of 143,428 shares), positioning the stock +5.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($131.07) and +6.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($129.38). Across its 52-week range of $118.88 to $140.83, CPK sits at the 87.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.7% ($132.94 to $143.16).

Direct Sub-Reports: CPK RQD Cockpit CPK 12M Forecast CPK Earnings & Move CPK Dividends & DRIP CPK Insiders & 13F CPK Whale Options CPK Profit Sankey CPK News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 58/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CPK β€” Chesapeake Utilities Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $138.05 (-0.89% 1D, market capitalization $3.36B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.9%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 27.5%, and free cash flow yield of -6.58%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.83x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Energy sector, Oil & Gas Production industry. Revenue of $930.0M for FY 2025 is reported . The profile identifies the company as operating with a market capitalization of $3.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) reported $930.0M in annual revenue (up from $787.2M in FY2024, +18.1% YoY) and $140.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($670.6M revenue, $87.2M net income) through FY2025, CPK scaled operating cash flow to $233.7M and free cash flow to -$214.9M, backed by $3.99B in total assets against $1.33B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 58/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of -6.58% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $118.88 – $140.83 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 23.3x trailing P/E and 7.2x EV/EBITDA against 27.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are provided. The Q3 2026 earnings call on November 6, 2026 and the Barclays target reduction are the nearest identified near-term items to monitor.

  • Key Question #1: Can CPK sustain or expand its 27.5% operating margin and 6.9% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $930.0M and free cash flow of -$214.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.33B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CPK's 19.6x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CPK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CPK Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $138.05?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CPK:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $159.60 (+17.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 15/20 with Piotroski F 7/9 and Altman Z 2.5, and revenue and net income grew across FY 2023–FY 2025.

The street is overcomplicating Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK). Forensic balance sheet scores 15/20 with Piotroski F 7/9 and Altman Z 2.5, and revenue and net income grew across FY 2023–FY 2025.. With an RQD score of 58/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $147.32.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 58/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $136.41 and keeping dry powder in case we test $126.86.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $102.31 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $136.41

Fundamental Cash Engine scores 7/20 with FCF yield at -6.58% and FCF negative in both FY 2024 and FY 2025.

Careful chasing CPK at $136.41. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 7/20 with FCF yield at -6.58% and FCF negative in both FY 2024 and FY 2025.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 27.5%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $102.31 on multiple compression.

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