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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CPNG / earnings
CDW (72) W (60) CHWY (62) VIPS (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Coupang Inc. (CPNG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.4% Move

$14.70 +2.30% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.73

Coupang Inc. (CPNG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $25.83B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CPNG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPNG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Coupang Inc. (NYSE: CPNG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $14.70 (+2.30% 1D, market cap $25.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPNG ranks #605 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPNG compare to CDW and W in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), CPNG carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 125.9x, gross margin of 29.4%, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, CDW (CDW Corporation) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 19.4x, ROIC 19.8%, cap $19.23B) and W (Wayfair Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.0%, cap $15.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIPS leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while VIPS leads on capital efficiency (35.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPNG?
▼

Per CPNG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001834584), Coupang Inc. generated $34.53B in revenue (+14.1% YoY), $208.0M in net income, and $522.0M in free cash flow against $17.79B in total assets and $5.92B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.73 (+0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (4)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$34 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE CPNG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPNG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CPNG SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.93 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.5% FCF Margin ($522.0M FCF) & 29.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$14.40-3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$13.87+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$14.11+4.2% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$14.70-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CPNG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CPNG currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.67) and Max Pain ($15.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.93.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPNG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CPNG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.4% Swing Band

±$1.09 Expected Swing
$13.61 (-7.4%)Spot $14.70$15.79 (+7.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CPNG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $0.12 • YoY Revenue Growth: 14.1%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$34.53B$208.0M$522.0M29.4%
FY 20242024-12-31$30.27B$154.0M$1.01B29.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$24.38B$1.36B$1.55B29.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CPNG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CPNG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CPNG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $14.57H $14.70L $14.37C $14.70VOL 13.53M
RES: $15.49SUP: $12.54SMA50: $14.67SMA200: $17.17
$26.09$22.64$19.19$15.73$12.28RES $15.49SUP $12.54$14.702026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPNG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CPNG Butterfly Map → + Track CPNG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPNG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPNG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPNG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPNG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #605 of 1009 ⚔️ CDW vs CPNG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CPNG vs. CDW, W, CHWY, VIPS)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Coupang Inc. (CPNG) ranks #605 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #76 by equity capitalization ($25.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VIPS leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while VIPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 35.7% ROIC and 23.1% gross margin. CDW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with CPNG at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CPNG ACTIVE
Coupang Inc.
D 47/100 125.9x 29.4% 9.7% +2.30% $25.83B Benchmark Subject
CDW
CDW Corporation
B 72/100 19.4x 21.7% 19.8% -2.08% $19.23B /cdw-vs-cpng →
W
Wayfair Inc.
C- 60/100 — 30.2% 1.0% -2.39% $15.88B /w-vs-cpng →
CHWY
Chewy Inc.
C 62/100 37.6x 29.8% 30.0% +4.60% $8.56B /chwy-vs-cpng →
VIPS
Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two
C- 61/100 5.9x 23.1% 35.7% +3.49% $6.19B /vips-vs-cpng →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001834584 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Coupang Inc. (CPNG) reported GAAP revenue of $34.53B (+14.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $30.27B , and +41.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $208.0M, operating cash flow of $1.77B, and free cash flow of $522.0M (-48.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPNG closed FY2025 with $17.79B in total assets against $5.92B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.93, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $34.53B $208.0M $1.77B $522.0M $17.79B $5.92B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $30.27B $154.0M $1.89B $1.01B $15.34B $5.03B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $24.38B $1.36B $2.65B $1.55B $29.26B $6.85B

3. CPNG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPNG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Coupang Inc. (NYSE: CPNG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $14.70 (+2.30% 1D, market cap $25.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPNG ranks #605 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPNG compare to CDW and W in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), CPNG carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 125.9x, gross margin of 29.4%, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, CDW (CDW Corporation) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 19.4x, ROIC 19.8%, cap $19.23B) and W (Wayfair Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.0%, cap $15.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIPS leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while VIPS leads on capital efficiency (35.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPNG?

Per CPNG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001834584), Coupang Inc. generated $34.53B in revenue (+14.1% YoY), $208.0M in net income, and $522.0M in free cash flow against $17.79B in total assets and $5.92B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPNG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPNG last traded at $14.70 (+2.30% on volume of 12,419,638 shares), positioning the stock +0.20% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.67) and -14.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.17). Across its 52-week range of $13.35 to $32.31, CPNG sits at the 7.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($13.61 to $15.79).

Direct Sub-Reports: CPNG RQD Cockpit CPNG 12M Forecast CPNG Earnings & Move CPNG Dividends & DRIP CPNG Insiders & 13F CPNG Whale Options CPNG Profit Sankey CPNG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CPNG — Coupang Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Coupang Inc. (CPNG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.70 (+2.30% 1D, market capitalization $25.83B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.7%, gross margin of 29.4%, operating margin of 1.4%, and free cash flow yield of 1.99%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.94x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.93, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.20x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Coupang Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry. It carries a market capitalization of $26.2B. Gross margin is reported at 29.4%, operating margin at 1.4%, and net margin at 0.6%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Coupang Inc. (CPNG) reported $34.53B in annual revenue (up from $30.27B in FY2024, +14.1% YoY) and $208.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($24.38B revenue, $1.36B net income) through FY2025, CPNG scaled operating cash flow to $1.77B and free cash flow to $522.0M, backed by $17.79B in total assets against $5.92B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.99% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $13.35 – $32.31 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 125.9x trailing P/E and 16.5x EV/EBITDA against 1.4% operating margins and a 0.94x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data. The only sector-level information available is the Consumer Discretionary classification and the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry label. — for supplier, customer, or correlation mapping beyond these labels.

  • Key Question #1: Can CPNG sustain or expand its 1.4% operating margin and 9.7% ROIC against Catalog/Specialty Distribution peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $34.53B and free cash flow of $522.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.92B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CPNG's 105.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.94x)?

CPNG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Coupang Inc. (CPNG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CPNG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPNG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.70?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPNG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CPNG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.67 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 2.93 and Piotroski F 7/9, and the stock trades 3.26% higher on the day with 52-week l

Picked up a starter position in CPNG in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $14.37. Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 2.93 and Piotroski F 7/9, and the stock trades 3.26% higher on the day with 52-week low at $13.35 near the current price of $14.57.. Trading inside a $13.35–$32.14 52-week range with 1.99% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Catalog/Specialty Distribution multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $14.37 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.35 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $14.37

Macro regime fit scores only 4/20 and FCF yield is 1.99% against a trailing P/E of 125.9, while reported FCF fell from $1.55B in FY 2

Fading this rally in CPNG at $14.37. Macro regime fit scores only 4/20 and FCF yield is 1.99% against a trailing P/E of 125.9, while reported FCF fell from $1.55B in FY 2023 to $522.0M in FY 2025.. With a beta of 0.94 and the stock sitting at $14.37 (52-wk range $13.35–$32.14), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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