Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$10.13 +1.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.14

Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $221.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (NASDAQ: CPSS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $10.13 (+1.71% 1D, market cap $221.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CPSS ranks #285 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPSS compare to DGXX and USDE in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), CPSS carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, DGXX (Digi Power X Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares) holds a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.0%, cap $225.1M) and USDE (StablecoinX Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $229.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFIN leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while ONIT leads on capital efficiency (30.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPSS?
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Per CPSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000889609), Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. generated $434.5M in revenue (+10.4% YoY), $19.3M in net income, and $288.3M in free cash flow against $3.86B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.14 (+0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 66.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C-
Cash (14)Whales (14)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$12 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE CPSS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPSS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CPSS SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 66.4% FCF Margin ($288.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (62.1) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$9.16-2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$8.97+6.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$9.55+6.1% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$10.13+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPSS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, CPSS faces multiple-compression risk if 11.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.36) or 200D SMA ($9.04) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.40) toward Bear Floor ($8.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPSS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CPSS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±7.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CPSS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CPSS.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CPSS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CPSS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CPSS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.22%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $9.96H $10.13L $9.96C $10.13VOL 37.5K
RES: $10.21SUP: $6.72SMA50: $9.36SMA200: $9.04
$10.69$9.87$9.04$8.22$7.39RES $10.21SUP $6.72$10.132026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPSS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
1.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPSS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPSS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPSS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPSS)

Financials Rank #285 of 1096 ⚔️ DGXX vs CPSS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CPSS vs. DGXX, USDE, ONIT, MFIN)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) ranks #285 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #867 by equity capitalization ($221.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFIN leads on earnings valuation at 6.2x trailing P/E, while ONIT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.2% ROIC and — gross margin. CPSS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CPSS ACTIVE
Consumer Portfolio Services Inc.
C 64/100 11.3x — 6.2% +1.71% $221.9M Benchmark Subject
DGXX
Digi Power X Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares
E 19/100 — — -23.0% -6.72% $225.1M /dgxx-vs-cpss →
USDE
StablecoinX Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 — — — -14.68% $229.2M /usde-vs-cpss →
ONIT
Onity Group Inc.
D- 40/100 — — 30.2% -0.86% $229.9M /onit-vs-cpss →
MFIN
Medallion Financial Corp.
D+ 52/100 6.2x — 10.5% -13.53% $231.9M /mfin-vs-cpss →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000889609

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) reported GAAP revenue of $434.5M (+10.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $393.5M , and +23.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $19.3M, operating cash flow of $289.0M, and free cash flow of $288.3M (+23.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPSS closed FY2025 with $3.86B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $434.5M $19.3M $289.0M $288.3M $3.86B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $393.5M $19.2M $233.8M $233.3M $3.49B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $352.0M $45.3M $238.0M $238.0M — —

3. CPSS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (NASDAQ: CPSS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $10.13 (+1.71% 1D, market cap $221.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CPSS ranks #285 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPSS compare to DGXX and USDE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), CPSS carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, DGXX (Digi Power X Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares) holds a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.0%, cap $225.1M) and USDE (StablecoinX Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $229.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFIN leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while ONIT leads on capital efficiency (30.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPSS?

Per CPSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000889609), Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. generated $434.5M in revenue (+10.4% YoY), $19.3M in net income, and $288.3M in free cash flow against $3.86B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPSS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPSS last traded at $10.13 (+1.71% on volume of 37,526 shares), positioning the stock +8.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.36) and +12.06% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.04). Across its 52-week range of $7.46 to $10.49, CPSS sits at the 88.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($9.39 to $10.87).

CPSS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CPSS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CPSS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CPSS — Consumer Portfolio Services Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:40:45Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CPSS scores 63 out of 100 for a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." Across its five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 14 of 20 (ROIC 6.2%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow scores 13 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction scores 12 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit scores 11 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 13 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the profile reads as balanced rather than compelling: the return on invested capital and the forensic balance sheet provide some support, but the zero free-cash-flow yield and the middling insider and macro-fit scores temper the upside case. Valuation is undemanding on the source's trailing and forward earnings multiples, which is a potential upside driver if earnings hold, though that benefit depends on the earnings base being durable. The rating does not establish a directional call; it summarizes a mixed set of factors.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$434.5M$0.0M$19.3MN/A$288.3M$6.3MN/A
FY 2024$393.5M$0.0M$19.2MN/A$233.3M$11.7MN/A
FY 2023$352.0M$0.0M$45.3MN/A$238.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $352.0M in FY 2023 to $434.5M in FY 2025, while net income declined from $45.3M to $19.3M over the same span. Market data shows a net margin of 4.4%, with gross and operating margins each reported as 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 6.2%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash fell from $11.7M to $6.3M across FY 2024 and FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Five items are tagged to CPSS in the news feed. The most recent is a Yahoo Finance piece (GREEN, CATALYST) describing an extension of a rally after Q3 earnings, a positive market-action signal. Quantisnow reported a Form 10-Q filing (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE), and TradingView, Yahoo Finance, and Stock Titan each carry neutral-to-yellow market-wire items; the Stock Titan item reports the lender's borrowing capacity topping $1 billion for the first time. The lowest-ranked item is a MarketBeat report of a downgrade from Wall Street Zen (RED, RISK WATCH). The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph contains no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are CPSS's actual products, loan or service portfolio, and customer base, given that the source data provides only a sector classification?
  • Why is operating income reported as $0.0M in every period while net income is positive, and what drives the gap?
  • What explains the reported cash decline and the absence of debt figures, and how is the balance sheet financed?
  • What is the basis for the Wall Street Zen downgrade flagged as RED, and what analyst consensus or price targets exist?
  • Does the zero free-cash-flow yield reconcile with the reported FCF figures in the SEC financials?

CPSS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CPSS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPSS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.13?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPSS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CPSS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $10.76 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CPSS (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $9.96?

Welcome to the CPSS (Consumer Portfolio Services Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.67 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $9.96

Pump the brakes on CPSS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CPSS, but look at what you are paying: 11.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.05 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $9.96

CPSS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CPSS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.96 (52-wk range $7.46 - $10.49), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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