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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CRI / forecast
GIII (62) REF (60) CPRI (43) GOOS (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Carter's Inc. (CRI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$31.54 -5.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.17

Carter's Inc. (CRI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.23B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CRI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Carter's Inc. (NYSE: CRI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $31.54 (-5.51% 1D, market cap $1.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CRI ranks #279 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CRI compare to GIII and REF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), CRI carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.3x, gross margin of 45.4%, and ROIC of 11.3%. By comparison, GIII (G-III Apparel Group LTD.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.3%, cap $1.30B) and REF (Reformation Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $958.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRI leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while CRI leads on capital efficiency (11.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRI?
▼

Per CRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001060822), Carter's Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $91.8M in net income, and $68.6M in free cash flow against $2.57B in total assets and $567.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.17 (-1.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$47 Bull$32 Base$25 Bear
📬 FREE CRI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CRI SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.63 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.1) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$32.03+2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$32.75-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$31.81-0.8% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$31.54+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CRI faces multiple-compression risk if 13.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 42.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($31.93) or 200D SMA ($36.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.25) toward Bear Floor ($25.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CRI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $31.54: 317.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $25.16
$7,977
$-2,023 (-20.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $32.25
$10,225
+$225 (+2.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $46.66
$14,794
+$4,794 (+47.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$4469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$2958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CRI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
CRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.91%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $31.04H $33.38L $31.04C $31.54VOL 2.05M
RES: $34.10SUP: $22.64SMA50: $31.93SMA200: $36.23
$45.36$40.89$36.42$31.94$27.47RES $34.10SUP $22.64$31.542026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CRI Butterfly Map → + Track CRI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #279 of 1011 ⚔️ GIII vs CRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CRI vs. GIII, REF, CPRI, GOOS)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Carter's Inc. (CRI) ranks #279 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #487 by equity capitalization ($1.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRI leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while CRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.3% ROIC and 45.4% gross margin. CRI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CRI ACTIVE
Carter's Inc.
C 63/100 13.3x 45.4% 11.3% -5.51% $1.23B Benchmark Subject
GIII
G-III Apparel Group LTD.
C 62/100 — 39.4% 6.3% -0.26% $1.30B /giii-vs-cri →
REF
Reformation Inc.
C- 60/100 — — — -2.47% $958.3M /ref-vs-cri →
CPRI
Capri Holdings Limited
D- 43/100 23.1x 62.3% 10.4% +16.31% $1.83B /cpri-vs-cri →
GOOS
Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares
D 48/100 — — — 0.00% $785.2M /goos-vs-cri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001060822

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Carter's Inc. (CRI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (+1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.84B , and -1.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $91.8M, operating cash flow of $122.3M, and free cash flow of $68.6M (-71.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRI closed FY2025 with $2.57B in total assets against $567.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.63, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-03 $2.90B $91.8M $122.3M $68.6M $2.57B $567.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $2.84B $185.5M $298.8M $242.6M $2.43B $498.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $2.95B $232.5M $529.1M $529.1M — —

3. CRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Carter's Inc. (NYSE: CRI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $31.54 (-5.51% 1D, market cap $1.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CRI ranks #279 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CRI compare to GIII and REF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), CRI carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.3x, gross margin of 45.4%, and ROIC of 11.3%. By comparison, GIII (G-III Apparel Group LTD.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.3%, cap $1.30B) and REF (Reformation Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $958.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRI leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while CRI leads on capital efficiency (11.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRI?

Per CRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001060822), Carter's Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $91.8M in net income, and $68.6M in free cash flow against $2.57B in total assets and $567.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRI last traded at $31.54 (-5.51% on volume of 1,850,612 shares), positioning the stock -1.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.93) and -12.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.23). Across its 52-week range of $27.86 to $44.44, CRI sits at the 22.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($28.73 to $34.35).

CRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CRI's 12-month stock price target?

Carter's Inc. (CRI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $32.25 (+2.3% from $31.54), with a bull-case target of $46.66 and a bear-case floor of $25.16.

Is CRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CRI C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 63/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: CRI RQD Cockpit CRI 12M Forecast CRI Earnings & Move CRI Dividends & DRIP CRI Insiders & 13F CRI Whale Options CRI Profit Sankey CRI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CRI — Carter's Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CRI scores 63 out of 100, graded C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20 (ROIC 11.3%; FCF yield 5.6%); Whale 13F Flow 11/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 17/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 9/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 14/20 (Altman Z 2.63; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.61).

The strongest pillar is insider conviction, which is the main upside driver in this rating. The weakest is macro regime fit, which indicates that the stock's sensitivity to sector and market conditions is a meaningful constraint. The cash-engine pillar is moderate, consistent with the ROIC and FCF yield figures in the market data. Balance-sheet strength is a supporting factor. For a prospective investor, the valuation picture (P/E TTM 13.3, forward P/E 12.4) is undemanding relative to the rating, but the reported operating margin of 5% and net margin of 3.2% leave limited cushion if revenue or margins weaken. The verdict label signals balanced rather than asymmetric risk-reward. This is an analytical summary, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$33.38$1.23B13.312.46.92.54.6%1.0$27.86 - $44.4411.3%

Business

Carter's Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Apparel industry, per the company profile. Not available in source data for product detail, customer segments, or revenue model. The reported gross margin of 45.4% indicates the company's gross-level economics per the market data, but the source does not describe what it sells or to whom.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2898.4M$143.9M$91.8MN/A$68.6M$487.1M$567.2M
FY 2024$2844.1M$254.7M$185.5MN/A$242.6M$412.9M$498.1M
FY 2023$2945.6M$323.4M$232.5MN/A$529.1MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly stable across the three reported years while operating income, net income, and FCF declined from FY 2023 to FY 2025. Reported net margin is 3.2% and operating margin is 5% per the market data. ROIC is 11.3%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.63 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, per the forensic balance-sheet pillar. Debt/Equity is 0.61. Cash rose to $487.1M in FY 2025 against debt of $567.2M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Yellow-light market wire items: Yahoo Finance (value-investor framing), ChartMill (dividend-quality framing), The Motley Fool (stock slipped), TradingView (shares falling), and Yahoo Finance (undervaluation after a reported 60% share decline). These are headline-level reports; the source does not provide their underlying content.
  • Red-light risk-watch items: TradingView (shares falling today) and MarketBeat (Wells Fargo price-target cut). The price-target cut is the most concrete analyst-related event in the wire, though the source does not state the new target.
  • Proprietary signals: None. Not available in source data for butterfly links.
  • The latest recorded price move is +7.54% on volume of 2,053,623, per the market data, which sits alongside wire items describing both declines and undervaluation framing.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies are not available in source data. Sector correlations beyond the Consumer Discretionary / Apparel classification are not available in source data. Second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. The beta of 1.0 and the RQD macro-regime score of 9/20 indicate sector and market sensitivity, but the source does not identify the specific channels.

Open Questions

  • What is the consensus analyst rating and the current price target, given that the wire references a Wells Fargo target cut without stating the figure?
  • What drove the decline from FY 2023 to FY 2025 in operating income, net income, and FCF, and is the cash-cushion trend sustainable?
  • What are the institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) holdings and recent transaction details behind the 11/20 and 17/20 pillar scores?
  • What is the company's upstream supply base and downstream customer concentration, given that the supply-chain graph is empty?
  • What is the EPS figure for each fiscal year, since the reported EPS is N/A across all three periods?

CRI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Carter's Inc. (CRI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CRI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CRI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $31.54?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CRI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CRI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $36.05 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CRI (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $33.38?

Welcome to the CRI (Carter's Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Apparel. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $26.70 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $33.38

Pump the brakes on CRI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CRI, but look at what you are paying: 13.3x trailing P/E with 45.4% gross margins. Unless Carter's Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $42.73 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $33.38

CRI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CRI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Apparel and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $33.38 (52-wk range $27.86 - $44.44), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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