Why CRWD Stock dropped -4.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$250.43 -4.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $248.10

CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (CRWD) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $267.40B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CRWD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CRWD) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $250.43 (-4.11% 1D, market cap $267.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CRWD ranks #145 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CRWD compare to SAP and SHOP in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CRWD carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.7%, and ROIC of -1.1%. By comparison, SAP (SAP SE ADS) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $287.56B) and SHOP (Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.7%, cap $216.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAP leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while SAP leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRWD?
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Per CRWD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001535527), CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. generated $4.81B in revenue (+21.7% YoY), -$161.2M in net income, and $1.31B in free cash flow against $11.09B in total assets and $745.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $248.10 (-0.93%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 27.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (19)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$306 Bull$259 Base$202 Bear
📬 FREE CRWD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRWD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CRWD SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+19/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 24.79 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$261.21-13% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$227.37+17.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$268.02-6.6% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$250.43+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRWD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, CRWD faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 72.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($243.05) or 200D SMA ($168.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($259.45) toward Bear Floor ($202.37).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRWD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CRWD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CRWD Stock dropped -4.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (CRWD) dropped -4.11% to $250.43, trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($85.68 – $286.99). Solid 75% profit margin (-1% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($85.68 – $286.99) with RSI-14 at 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.6% around $250.43 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 74.7% gross margin and $1.3B annual free cash flow.
Live CRWD Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHThe Motley Fool • 11h ago
Why CrowdStrike Stock Slumped on Wednesday

The Motley Fool report covering CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (CRWD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CRWD Tape Review)

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CRWD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +113.48%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $266.7H $266.7L $250.4C $250.4VOL 9.41M
RES: $320.0SUP: $231.9SMA50: $243.1SMA200: $168.7
$299.8$246.7$193.5$140.4$87.26RES $320.0SUP $231.9$250.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRWD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRWD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRWD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRWD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRWD)

Technology Rank #145 of 714 ⚔️ SAP vs CRWD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CRWD vs. SAP, SHOP, SNOW, NOW)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (CRWD) ranks #145 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #22 by equity capitalization ($267.40B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SAP leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while SAP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SAP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with CRWD at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CRWD ACTIVE
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.
C+ 66/100 — 74.7% -1.1% -4.11% $267.40B Benchmark Subject
SAP
SAP SE ADS
B 75/100 21.7x — 14.9% +0.41% $287.56B /sap-vs-crwd →
SHOP
Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares
B- 71/100 — 48.1% 6.7% -5.63% $216.26B /shop-vs-crwd →
SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
D+ 58/100 — 67.2% -12.2% -7.32% $116.52B /snow-vs-crwd →
NOW
ServiceNow Inc.
C 64/100 65.1x 77.5% 9.8% -4.15% $113.84B /now-vs-crwd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001535527

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (CRWD) reported GAAP revenue of $4.81B (+21.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.95B ) , GAAP net income of -$161.2M, operating cash flow of $1.61B, and free cash flow of $1.31B (+16.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRWD closed FY2025 with $11.09B in total assets against $745.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 24.79, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $4.81B -$161.2M $1.61B $1.31B $11.09B $745.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $3.95B -$12.6M $1.38B $1.13B $8.70B $744.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $0 $73.4M $1.17B $1.17B $147.07B $34.41B

3. CRWD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRWD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CRWD) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $250.43 (-4.11% 1D, market cap $267.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CRWD ranks #145 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CRWD compare to SAP and SHOP in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), CRWD carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.7%, and ROIC of -1.1%. By comparison, SAP (SAP SE ADS) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $287.56B) and SHOP (Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.7%, cap $216.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAP leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while SAP leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRWD?

Per CRWD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001535527), CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. generated $4.81B in revenue (+21.7% YoY), -$161.2M in net income, and $1.31B in free cash flow against $11.09B in total assets and $745.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CRWD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRWD last traded at $250.43 (-4.11% on volume of 12,503,081 shares), positioning the stock +3.04% above its 50-day simple moving average ($243.05) and +48.43% above its 200-day simple moving average ($168.72). Across its 52-week range of $85.68 to $286.99, CRWD sits at the 81.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($223.88 to $276.98).

CRWD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is CRWD stock moving today?

Why CRWD Stock dropped -4.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 75% profit margin (-1% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CRWD — CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:08:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CRWD scores 66 / 100, grade C+, labeled "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -1.1% and an FCF yield of 0.49%. For a prospective investor, the cash-generation case is modest on a yield basis; the stock's value depends heavily on future cash growth rather than current cash returns.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 19 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score near the top of the range, the strongest pillar in the framework. This suggests large holders have been building exposure, though the source data does not show the underlying holder detail.
  • Insider Conviction: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores weakly, indicating insider activity provides limited confirmation of conviction.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta of 1.24 and sector sensitivity place the stock's market exposure above 1.0, meaning it has historically amplified broader market moves in the framework's view.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z 24.79, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.17 point to a sound balance sheet relative to the framework's thresholds.

Net for a prospective investor: the rating frames CRWD as a stock with strong institutional support and a healthy balance sheet, offset by negative returns on capital, thin current FCF yield, and high sensitivity to market swings. The forward P/E of 36 (per market data) implies the market is pricing in substantial future earnings growth; the upside case depends on that growth materializing, while the valuation leaves limited margin for error. This is an educational summary, not personalized advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2026-01-31)$4812.0M$-293.3M$-161.2MN/A$1310.2M$5230.1M$745.5M
FY 2024 (filed 2025-01-31)$3953.6M$-116.4M$-12.6MN/A$1126.9M$4323.3M$744.0M
FY 2023 (filed 2024-01-31)$0.0M$-19.1M$73.4MN/A$1166.2MN/A$34414.5M

Per the market data, operating margin is -6.1%, net margin is -3.3%, and ROIC is -1.1%, so the company is currently unprofitable at the operating and net levels despite reporting positive free cash flow in each period shown. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 24.79 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.17. The FY 2023 row shows Debt of $34414.5M and Revenue of $0.0M, which are inconsistent with the adjacent periods and should be treated with caution. Per the financials, cash rose from $4323.3M in FY 2024 to $5230.1M in FY 2025 while debt was essentially flat.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Market wire (YELLOW), Yahoo Finance, 1h ago: Headline reports the stock "Looks Above Fair Value After Its 431% Run."
  • Risk watch (RED), The Motley Fool, 3h ago: Headline reports the stock "Slumped on Wednesday."
  • Catalyst (GREEN), Reuters, 6h ago: Headline cautions "Bulls beware" and that shares could see more losses, despite the green flag.
  • Catalyst (GREEN), Yahoo Finance, 9h ago: Headline covers Q2 earnings outperformers among cybersecurity stocks.
  • Risk watch (RED), The Motley Fool, 12h ago: Repeats the Wednesday slump report.
  • Risk watch (RED), Yahoo Finance, 15h ago: Flags that valuation math is sending warning signs.

Per the news wire, the signal mix is mixed: two green catalysts tied to earnings strength and three red/yellow items focused on valuation and downside. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports sector "Technology," supply chain "NONE," zero butterfly links, and no proprietary signals, so no supply-chain signal is available.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream dependencies, butterfly links, or proprietary signals are recorded for CRWD. Sector correlations and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided source data. Investors should note that the absence of graph data is not evidence of an absent supply chain; it reflects that none was supplied.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue model and product mix, given that the source data provides only an industry classification?
  • Why is the FY 2023 debt figure ($34414.5M) so far above FY 2024 and FY 2025, and is the reported revenue of $0.0M an error?
  • What drives the gap between positive FCF and negative net income in each period?
  • What is the analyst consensus and price target range, given that no analyst data was supplied?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders drove the 13F and Form 4 signals behind the Whale and Insider pillar scores?

CRWD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (CRWD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CRWD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CRWD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $250.43?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CRWD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CRWD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $282.04 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CRWD (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $261.15?

Welcome to the CRWD (CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $195.86 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $261.15

Pump the brakes on CRWD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CRWD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 74.7% gross margins. Unless CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $308.16 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $261.15

CRWD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CRWD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $261.15 (52-wk range $85.68 - $286.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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