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Canadian Solar Inc. (ON) (CSIQ) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$9.41 +1.62% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.42

Canadian Solar Inc. (ON) (CSIQ) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $638.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CSIQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Canadian Solar Inc. (ON) (NASDAQ: CSIQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $9.41 (+1.62% 1D, market cap $638.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CSIQ ranks #685 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CSIQ compare to KOPN and AOSL in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), CSIQ carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 18.3%, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, KOPN (Kopin Corporation) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.8%, cap $639.4M) and AOSL (Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.6%, cap $644.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CSIQ leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSIQ?
β–Ό

Per CSIQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001375877), Canadian Solar Inc. (ON) generated $5.60B in revenue (-6.6% YoY), -$104.1M in net income, and -$252.7M in free cash flow against $15.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.42 (+0.10%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510022
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (4)SEC (4)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.2% Base Target
$36 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CSIQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CSIQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CSIQ SCORES 22/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 18.3% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+5/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 39.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$10.33-4.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$9.83-2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$9.59-1.9% Next Q
Current
22
Grade E$9.41-11.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (30) β†’ E (22)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CSIQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CSIQ currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.26) and Max Pain ($9.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.32.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CSIQβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCSIQ Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CSIQ)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CSIQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CSIQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.99%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $9.26H $9.41L $9.26C $9.41VOL 1.50M
RES: $10.72SUP: $8.34SMA50: $11.26SMA200: $15.20
$22.35$18.67$15.00$11.32$7.65RES $10.72SUP $8.34$9.412026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CSIQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-3.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CSIQ today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CSIQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CSIQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CSIQ)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CSIQ vs. KOPN, AOSL, ARRY, DQ)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Canadian Solar Inc. (ON) (CSIQ) ranks #685 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #398 by equity capitalization ($638.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CSIQ leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.4% ROIC and 18.3% gross margin. ARRY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 31/100 (E) compared with CSIQ at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CSIQ ACTIVE
Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)
E 22/100 β€” 18.3% 2.4% +1.62% $638.2M Benchmark Subject
KOPN
Kopin Corporation
E 28/100 β€” β€” -20.8% -9.23% $639.4M /kopn-vs-csiq β†’
AOSL
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited
E 29/100 β€” 23.1% -3.6% -7.53% $644.0M /aosl-vs-csiq β†’
ARRY
Array Technologies Inc.
E 31/100 β€” 23.2% -11.0% +12.09% $585.2M /arry-vs-csiq β†’
DQ
DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five
E 25/100 β€” -20.7% -6.0% -3.25% $705.1M /dq-vs-csiq β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001375877 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Canadian Solar Inc. (ON) (CSIQ) reported GAAP revenue of $5.60B (-6.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.99B , and +340.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$104.1M, operating cash flow of -$252.7M, and free cash flow of -$252.7M (+71.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, CSIQ closed FY2025 with $15.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.56, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.60B -$104.1M -$252.7M -$252.7M $15.17B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.99B $36.1M -$885.3M -$885.3M $13.51B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.27B $274.2M $684.6M $684.6M β€” β€”

3. CSIQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CSIQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Canadian Solar Inc. (ON) (NASDAQ: CSIQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $9.41 (+1.62% 1D, market cap $638.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CSIQ ranks #685 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CSIQ compare to KOPN and AOSL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), CSIQ carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 18.3%, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, KOPN (Kopin Corporation) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.8%, cap $639.4M) and AOSL (Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.6%, cap $644.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CSIQ leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSIQ?

Per CSIQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001375877), Canadian Solar Inc. (ON) generated $5.60B in revenue (-6.6% YoY), -$104.1M in net income, and -$252.7M in free cash flow against $15.17B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CSIQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CSIQ last traded at $9.41 (+1.62% on volume of 1,504,474 shares), positioning the stock -16.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.26) and -38.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.20). Across its 52-week range of $8.79 to $34.59, CSIQ sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.0% ($8.37 to $10.45).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 22/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CSIQ β€” Canadian Solar Inc. (ON): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Canadian Solar Inc. (ON) (CSIQ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 22/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $9.41 (+1.62% 1D, market capitalization $638.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.4%, gross margin of 18.3%, operating margin of 0.8%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (4/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.56, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (ON) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry, with a market capitalization of $0.6B. Per the recent news wire, its activities include solar project development and battery storage, such as a battery project planned near a former coal mine, a 200 MWp solar project in Spain, and the sale of two BESS projects in France.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Canadian Solar Inc. (ON) (CSIQ) reported $5.60B in annual revenue (up from $5.99B in FY2024, -6.6% YoY) and -$104.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.27B revenue, $274.2M net income) through FY2025, CSIQ scaled operating cash flow to -$252.7M and free cash flow to -$252.7M, backed by $15.17B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 22/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.79 – $34.59 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 7.3x EV/EBITDA against 0.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Semiconductors (Technology), CSIQ carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 18.3%.

  • Key Question #1: Can CSIQ sustain or expand its 0.8% operating margin and 2.4% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.60B and free cash flow of -$252.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CSIQ's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CSIQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Canadian Solar Inc. (ON) (CSIQ) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CSIQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CSIQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $9.41?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CSIQ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CSIQ:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.22 (+32.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Operating income swung from -$30.1M in FY 2024 to $43.2M in FY 2025 while EV/EBITDA sits at 7.3 and cash remained at $1.37B.

Long CSIQ at $9.26 targeting $12.22. Operating income swung from -$30.1M in FY 2024 to $43.2M in FY 2025 while EV/EBITDA sits at 7.3 and cash remained at $1.37B.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $8.79 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $9.26 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.95 (-24.9%)
Spot @ $9.26

Forensic scores are weak with Altman Z at 0.56 and Piotroski F at 1/9, FCF was -$252.7M in FY 2025, and FCF yield is 0%.

I respect the product at Canadian Solar Inc. (ON), but the stock at $9.26 is a different story. Forensic scores are weak with Altman Z at 0.56 and Piotroski F at 1/9, FCF was -$252.7M in FY 2025, and FCF yield is 0%.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 22/100 (E) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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