Stock Ratings / Industrials / CSX / earnings

NSC (73) CP (63) CNI (67) UNP (74) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

CSX Corporation (CSX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.9% Move

$51.99 -0.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.85

CSX Corporation (CSX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $96.30B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CSX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CSX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, CSX Corporation (NASDAQ: CSX) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $51.99 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $96.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CSX ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CSX compare to NSC and CP in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), CSX carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 33.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 17.2%. By comparison, NSC (Norfolk Southern Corporation) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 26.8x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $76.86B) and CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $76.84B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UNP leads on earnings multiple (25.1x) while UNP leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSX?

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Per CSX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000277948), CSX Corporation generated $14.09B in revenue (-3.1% YoY), $2.89B in net income, and $1.71B in free cash flow against $43.68B in total assets and $13.73B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.84 (-0.28%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CSX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CSX SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (19% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 92% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 68.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$47.76+0.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$48.08+8.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$52.27-0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$51.99+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CSX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, CSX faces multiple-compression risk if 33.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($48.89) or 200D SMA ($45.76) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($54.10) toward Bear Floor ($42.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CSX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CSX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.9% Swing Band

±$2.03 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CSX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 67/100

Trailing EPS: $1.57 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3.1%

Model Bullish Setup (67/100)Model Risk Weight (33/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$14.09B	$2.89B	$1.71B	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$14.54B	$3.47B	$2.72B	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$14.66B	$3.67B	$4.85B	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CSX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CSX
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CSX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.26%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $51.98H $52.24L $51.98C $51.99VOL 13.15M

RES: $52.95SUP: $46.33SMA50: $48.89SMA200: $45.76

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CSX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CSX Butterfly Map → + Track CSX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CSX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CSX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CSX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CSX)

Industrials Rank #65 of 485 ⚔️ NSC vs CSX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CSX vs. NSC, CP, CNI, UNP)

Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CSX Corporation (CSX) ranks #65 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #12 by equity capitalization ($96.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UNP leads on earnings valuation at 25.1x trailing P/E, while UNP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.1% ROIC and — gross margin. UNP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with CSX at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CSX ACTIVE CSX Corporation	C+	67/100	33.3x	—	17.2%	-0.48%	$96.30B	Benchmark Subject
NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation	B	73/100	26.8x	—	13.0%	+0.13%	$76.86B	/nsc-vs-csx →
CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited	C	63/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.48%	$76.84B	/cp-vs-csx →
CNI Canadian National Railway Company	C+	67/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-0.30%	$74.94B	/cni-vs-csx →
UNP Union Pacific Corporation	B	74/100	25.1x	—	20.1%	+0.69%	$179.42B	/unp-vs-csx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000277948

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CSX Corporation (CSX) reported GAAP revenue of $14.09B (-3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.54B , and -3.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.89B, operating cash flow of $4.61B, and free cash flow of $1.71B (-37.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CSX closed FY2025 with $43.68B in total assets against $13.73B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.88, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$14.09B	$2.89B	$4.61B	$1.71B	$43.68B	$13.73B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$14.54B	$3.47B	$5.25B	$2.72B	$42.76B	$13.62B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$14.66B	$3.67B	$5.51B	$4.85B	$52.96B	$12.39B

3. CSX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CSX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CSX compare to NSC and CP in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSX?

Where is CSX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CSX last traded at $51.99 (-0.48% on volume of 17,936,778 shares), positioning the stock +6.34% above its 50-day simple moving average ($48.89) and +13.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($45.76). Across its 52-week range of $33.63 to $53.60, CSX sits at the 91.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($49.96 to $54.02).

CSX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CSX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, CSX Corporation (CSX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CSX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.9% event move for CSX, spanning a range between $49.96 and $54.02.

Direct Sub-Reports: CSX RQD Cockpit CSX 12M Forecast CSX Earnings & Move CSX Dividends & DRIP CSX Insiders & 13F CSX Whale Options CSX Profit Sankey CSX News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CSX — CSX Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CSX scores 67 out of 100 (letter grade C+), with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 17.2% and FCF yield is 1.78%. The strong return on invested capital is offset by a thin free-cash-flow yield at the current price, which tempers the appeal of the cash generation on a valuation basis.
Whale 13F Flow: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the main contributor to the upper-neutral framing.
Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is only moderately supportive.
Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.88, indicating below-market sensitivity, with a sector sensitivity assessment that is not further detailed in the source data.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.88, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.97.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating implies a balanced setup: strong operating returns and institutional interest against a demanding trailing valuation (P/E TTM 33.3) and a low free-cash-flow yield. The "Watch for Breakout" label signals the rating is awaiting confirmation rather than signaling a directional call. Upside drivers would be the whale-flow and cash-return pillars sustaining; valuation tradeoffs are the main constraint. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
52.24	$96.3B	33.3	31	14.9	1.57	1.01%	0.88	$33.63 - $53.6	17.2%

Business

CSX Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically the Railroads industry. Per the profile, it has a market capitalization of $96.3B. Source data does not describe its customers or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification and the reported financial figures.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Price target raise (GREEN, CATALYST): A TradingView item reports the 12-month price target raised to $54.02, implying 12% upside.
Earnings review (GREEN, CATALYST): A Seeking Alpha item titled "The 6% Rally Is Deserved (Earnings Review)" is tagged as a catalyst.
Leadership/efficiency (GREEN, CATALYST): A Yahoo Finance comparison with UNP and NSC asks whether new leadership can turn efficiency gains into lasting growth.
Market wire items (YELLOW): Yahoo Finance Australia, Seeking Alpha ("Still Not Willing To Climb Aboard"), and Yahoo Finance options-market coverage are tagged as market wire, with the options item asking whether the options market predicts a spike.
Risk watch: The Seeking Alpha "Still Not Willing To Climb Aboard" headline reflects a cautious view in the source set.
Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, none are present.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Per <analyst_data>, analyst data is NONE. Per <holders>, holder data is NONE. Consensus rating and insider, 13F, or Congressional trade detail are not available in source data beyond the RQD pillar commentary and the price-target headline cited above.

Open Questions

What are the reported EPS and cash balances for the three fiscal periods, which the financials table lists as N/A?
What drove the decline in reported net income and free cash flow from FY 2023 to FY 2025?
What supply-chain or sector dependencies connect CSX to other issuers, given the Butterfly graph is empty?
What is the identity and size of the institutional holders behind the whale-flow pillar score?
Does the $54.02 price target reflect an updated earnings outlook, and what assumptions underpin it?

CSX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CSX Corporation (CSX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CSX Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Australia • 8h ago

CSX Corporation (CSX) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Australia report covering CSX Corporation (CSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 11h ago

CSX Corporation Stock 12‑Month Price Target Raised to $54.02, Implies 12% Upside

TradingView report covering CSX Corporation (CSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 14h ago

CSX Corporation: Still Not Willing To Climb Aboard (NASDAQ:CSX)

Seeking Alpha report covering CSX Corporation (CSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in CSX Stock?

Yahoo Finance report covering CSX Corporation (CSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 20h ago

CSX Corporation: The 6% Rally Is Deserved (Earnings Review) (NASDAQ:CSX)

Seeking Alpha report covering CSX Corporation (CSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

CSX (CSX) vs. UNP and NSC: Can New Leadership Turn Efficiency Gains Into Lasting Growth?

Yahoo Finance report covering CSX Corporation (CSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

CSX Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend

Yahoo Finance report covering CSX Corporation (CSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

CSX Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Cards?

Yahoo Finance report covering CSX Corporation (CSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CSX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $51.99?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CSX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $56.42 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CSX (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $52.24?

Welcome to the CSX (CSX Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Railroads. Bulls point to capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (33.3x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $40.22 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $52.24

Pump the brakes on CSX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CSX, but look at what you are paying: 33.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless CSX Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $60.60 (+16.0%)

Spot @ $52.24

CSX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CSX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Railroads and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $52.24 (52-wk range $33.63 - $53.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.